Sunday, August 17, 2008

KABQ [180348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 180348
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
948 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM TORNADO 4 W GLORIETA 35.58N 105.84W
08/17/2008 SANTA FE NM STORM CHASER

0648 PM TORNADO 10 SE SANTA ROSA 34.84N 104.55W
08/17/2008 GUADALUPE NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

0720 PM TORNADO 7 NW SUMNER LAKE 34.67N 104.47W
08/17/2008 GUADALUPE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0721 PM TORNADO 12 N FORT SUMNER 34.65N 104.24W
08/17/2008 DE BACA NM FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0734 PM HAIL SANTA ROSA 34.94N 104.68W
08/17/2008 M0.75 INCH GUADALUPE NM PUBLIC

0735 PM HAIL SUMNER LAKE 34.60N 104.38W
08/17/2008 M0.75 INCH DE BACA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0747 PM TORNADO 12 N FORT SUMNER 34.65N 104.24W
08/17/2008 DE BACA NM FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0816 PM HAIL FORT SUMNER 34.48N 104.24W
08/17/2008 E1.00 INCH DE BACA NM PUBLIC

0830 PM TSTM WND GST 15 S FORT SUMNER 34.26N 104.24W
08/17/2008 E70.00 MPH DE BACA NM PUBLIC

DURATION 2 MINUTES WITH LARGE BRANCHES RIPPED OFF TREE.

0830 PM HAIL 12 W FORT SUMNER 34.48N 104.45W
08/17/2008 E0.88 INCH DE BACA NM LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

50

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KMFR [180004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 180004
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
504 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HAIL 3 W HOWARD PRAIRIE 42.20N 122.44W
08/17/2008 M0.50 INCH JACKSON OR PUBLIC

FISH LAKE RESORT.


&&

$$

LUTZ

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KCAE [180004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 180004
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
803 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM FLOOD 4 ESE COLUMBIA 33.98N 80.97W
08/17/2008 RICHLAND SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

STREET FLOODING REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF TRUE AND
DAVIDSON AND ALSO NEAR VETERANS HOSPITAL ON GARNERS FERRY
RD.


&&

$$

HC

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KABQ [172350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 172350
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
550 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0541 PM HAIL 6 S BELEN 34.57N 106.78W
08/17/2008 M0.88 INCH VALENCIA NM TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DPORTER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2108

ACUS11 KWNS 172337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172336
NMZ000-180100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/ERN NM INTO THE TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 172336Z - 180100Z

TRENDS CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. BUT...THE NEED FOR A WW IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

AS ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE PIVOTS THROUGH THE WESTERN/SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE COLORADO CUT-OFF LOW...STRONGER DIVERGENT UPPER
FLOW FIELD CONTINUES TO SUPPORT SCATTERED STRONG STORMS... INCLUDING
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. ADDITIONAL
MORE WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ALSO CONTINUE TO FORM IN WEAK TO
MODERATE LATE AFTERNOON INSTABILITY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR...ASSOCIATED WITH
SOUTHERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS BENEATH MODERATE
NORTHWESTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW...IS ENHANCING ACTIVITY...AND
CONTRIBUTING TO STORM-SCALE DYNAMIC FORCING WHICH MAY MAINTAIN AT
LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE 01-03Z TIME FRAME.

HOWEVER...POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT FURTHER INCREASE IN THE SEVERE
THREAT SEEMS LOW. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A ZONE OF WEAK LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION NEAR/EAST OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
INTO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO RANGE COULD SUPPORT
INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD OR CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION BY THE EVENING
HOURS. BUT...LAPSE RATES TO THE LEE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL
REMAIN RATHER WEAK...AND THERE IS LITTLE TO INDICATE FURTHER
STRENGTHENING OF THE SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. WITH LOW-LEVEL
PROFILES ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO SOMEWHAT COOL AND
MOIST...POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE CONTINUING RISK FOR
LARGE HAIL APPEARS LOW.

..KERR.. 08/17/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

33020634 34110663 35270620 36040534 36500442 36280322
35520346 34110452 33090445 32450516 32590577

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KCAE [172328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172328
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
728 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0718 PM HAIL 3 E SOUTH CONGAREE 33.91N 81.08W
08/17/2008 E0.88 INCH LEXINGTON SC NWS EMPLOYEE

NICKEL-SIZE HAIL NEAR SOUTH CONGAREE


&&

$$

LINTON

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KABQ [172328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 172328
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
528 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HAIL 2 W GLORIETA 35.58N 105.80W
08/17/2008 E1.00 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0450 PM HAIL GLORIETA 35.58N 105.77W
08/17/2008 E0.88 INCH SANTA FE NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0519 PM HAIL CLAYTON 36.45N 103.18W
08/17/2008 E1.00 INCH UNION NM EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

50

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2107

ACUS11 KWNS 172310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172310
WAZ000-ORZ000-CAZ000-180115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2107
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0610 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN OREGON...SRN WASHINGTON

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 172310Z - 180115Z

STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND A FEW STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LOW END HAIL.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT SURGE OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
SPREADING NWD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW...AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH
ACROSS THE ERN PACIFIC. AT THE SURFACE...A HEAT LOW HAS FORMED
ACROSS THE COLUMBIA GORGE AREA WHERE SURFACE PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
FALL. SURFACE DEWPOINT ARE QUITE LOW OVER MUCH OF CNTRL AND SERN
OREGON...BUT HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES EXIST ACROSS NRN
OREGON INTO WA WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE MAINLY IN THE 40S F.

ISOLATED STORMS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE E SLOPES OF THE OREGON
CASCADES WILL PERSIST AND MAY INCREASE AS THEY MOVE NWD. VERY HIGH
EVAPORATION POTENTIAL EXISTS GIVEN THE HOT AND DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYER THUS STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY. VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES DUE TO COOLING ALOFT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN HAIL IN THE
STRONGEST CELLS.

..JEWELL.. 08/17/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OTX...PDT...MFR...SEW...PQR...

42002274 43922248 46382247 47322121 47081960 46131954
44312022 42712067 42362069 41892075 41702126 41562189
41632262

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KCAE [172302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172302
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
701 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM HAIL 7 NE COLUMBIA 34.07N 80.95W
08/17/2008 E1.00 INCH RICHLAND SC PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT AN APARTMENT COMPLEX NEAR
THE INTERSECTION OF FARROW ROAD AND I-77.


&&

$$

HC

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KSEW [172255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 172255
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
355 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0352 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW BELLINGHAM 48.71N 122.51W
08/17/2008 WHATCOM WA TRAINED SPOTTER

BETWEEN 3 AND 340 PM, STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS HIT A
HALF MILE EAST AND WEST OF I-5 EXIT 250. SMALL TO MEDIUM
SIZED TREE BRANCHES WERE DOWN.


&&

$$

GRUB

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KABQ [172252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 172252
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
452 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0434 PM HAIL 1 N BELEN 34.67N 106.78W
08/17/2008 E1.75 INCH VALENCIA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

2 INCHES DEEP AND PRODUCING DENSE HAIL FOG.

0435 PM HAIL BELEN 34.66N 106.78W
08/17/2008 E1.75 INCH VALENCIA NM EMERGENCY MNGR

BROKEN WINDOWS. SQUAD CARS DAMAGED.


&&

$$

50

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KABQ [172238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 172238
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
438 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL DES MOINES 36.76N 103.83W
08/17/2008 M1.00 INCH UNION NM PUBLIC

0411 PM HAIL LOS LUNAS 34.81N 106.74W
08/17/2008 E0.75 INCH VALENCIA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

SIGNIFICANT ROTATION WITH LOW CLOUDS.

0417 PM HAIL 5 N SANTA FE 35.75N 105.95W
08/17/2008 M0.75 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

SANTA FE OPERA HOUSE.

0421 PM HAIL LOS LUNAS 34.81N 106.74W
08/17/2008 M0.88 INCH VALENCIA NM NWS EMPLOYEE

0426 PM HAIL BELEN 34.66N 106.78W
08/17/2008 E1.75 INCH VALENCIA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL BEGAN AT 421 PM.


&&

$$

50

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KBRO [172223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 172223
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
522 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0516 PM LIGHTNING ESCOBA 27.07N 99.01W
08/17/2008 ZAPATA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE ZAPATA COUNTY SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT RECEIVED A REPORT
OF LIGHTNING STRIKING A SALT WATER STORAGE TANK NEAR
ESCOBA. THE STORAGE TANK EXPLODED AND STARTED A GRASS
FIRE.


&&

$$

BMILLER

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KJAX [172214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 172214
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
614 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NW ORANGE PARK 30.22N 81.76W
08/17/2008 M1.85 INCH DUVAL FL TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1.85 INCHES WAS REPORTED IN 1 HOUR.


&&

$$

ARS

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KGYX [172141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KGYX 172141
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
540 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0128 PM HAIL UPTON 44.69N 71.01W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH OXFORD ME PUBLIC

DIME SIZED HAIL FROM PUBLIC.

0215 PM HAIL 5 E ANDOVER 43.44N 71.72W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH MERRIMACK NH PUBLIC

3/4 INCH HAIL IN EAST ANDOVER.

0220 PM HAIL BRISTOL 43.59N 71.74W
08/16/2008 E1.25 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF PENNY TO HALF DOLLAR HAIL.

0230 PM HAIL BRISTOL 43.59N 71.74W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF 3/4 INCH HAIL.

0236 PM HAIL SALEM 42.79N 71.20W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH ROCKINGHAM NH PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0242 PM HAIL ATKINSON 42.84N 71.15W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH ROCKINGHAM NH PUBLIC

0245 PM HAIL BOW 43.13N 71.55W
08/16/2008 E1.00 INCH MERRIMACK NH PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0254 PM HAIL NEWTON 42.87N 71.04W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH ROCKINGHAM NH PUBLIC

0258 PM HAIL PLAISTOW 42.84N 71.10W
08/16/2008 E1.75 INCH ROCKINGHAM NH PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL 4 W ANSON 44.80N 69.97W
08/16/2008 E0.88 INCH SOMERSET ME PUBLIC

0324 PM HAIL NORTH WINDHAM 43.83N 70.44W
08/16/2008 E1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0330 PM HAIL WELLS 43.32N 70.58W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH YORK ME PUBLIC

0330 PM HAIL HAMPTON BEACH STATE PAR 42.90N 70.81W
08/16/2008 E0.88 INCH ROCKINGHAM NH PUBLIC

0334 PM HAIL FARMINGTON 43.39N 71.07W
08/16/2008 E1.25 INCH STRAFFORD NH PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0338 PM HAIL 4 N GORHAM 43.74N 70.44W
08/16/2008 E1.25 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC

0345 PM HAIL 4 NNE MECHANIC FALLS 44.16N 70.36W
08/16/2008 E1.75 INCH ANDROSCOGGIN ME PUBLIC

GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL IN WEST MINOT.

0348 PM HAIL NEW SHARON 44.64N 70.02W
08/16/2008 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN ME PUBLIC

0352 PM HAIL 4 W LEBANON 43.39N 70.93W
08/16/2008 E1.00 INCH YORK ME PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0356 PM HAIL SOUTH WINDHAM 43.74N 70.42W
08/16/2008 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0405 PM HAIL SHAPLEIGH 43.54N 70.85W
08/16/2008 E1.00 INCH YORK ME PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0416 PM HAIL 3 SE MERCER 44.65N 69.89W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH SOMERSET ME PUBLIC

PEA-SIZED HAIL IN SMITHFIELD NEAR NORTH POND.

0429 PM HAIL SOUTH WINDHAM 43.74N 70.42W
08/16/2008 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC

0435 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NW MINOT 44.10N 70.33W
08/16/2008 ANDROSCOGGIN ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROUTE 119 MULTIPLE WASHOUTS BETWEEN MINOT AND WEST MINOT.


0436 PM HAIL GORHAM 43.68N 70.44W
08/16/2008 E1.75 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF PENNY TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL.

0438 PM HAIL 2 N GORHAM 43.71N 70.44W
08/16/2008 E1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC

MULTIPLE REPORTS.

0446 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NW MINOT 44.14N 70.39W
08/16/2008 ANDROSCOGGIN ME PUBLIC

ROUTE 124 IN WEST MINOT WASHED OUT.

0501 PM HAIL 2 W SCARBOROUGH 43.58N 70.36W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC


&&

$$

KIRKA

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KCRP [172126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 172126
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
426 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM FLASH FLOOD LAREDO 27.53N 99.49W
08/17/2008 WEBB TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FLOODING OF LOW LYING STREETS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
OCCURRING IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH LAREDO. REPORTS OF A FEW
VEHICLES STALLED IN FLOODED AREAS.


&&

$$

RUNYEN

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KKEY [172055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 172055
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
454 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0304 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSE KEY LARGO 25.01N 80.38W
08/17/2008 M48 MPH GMZ052 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 42 KNOTS...OR 48 MPH...FROM THE SOUTHEAST
WAS RECORDED AT THE MOLASSES REEF C-MAN PLATFORM. THE
WIND GUST WAS PRODUCED BY A NORTHWESTWARD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM A DECAYED THUNDERSTORM.

0312 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SSW MARATHON 24.63N 81.11W
08/17/2008 M41 MPH GMZ053 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 36 KNOTS...OR 41 MPH...FROM THE SOUTHEAST
WAS RECORDED AT THE SOMBRERO KEY C-MAN PLATFORM. THE WIND
GUST WAS PRODUCED FROM A NORTHWESTWARD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM A DECAYED THUNDERSTORM.

0355 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
08/17/2008 M43 MPH GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 37 KNOTS...OR 43 MPH...FROM THE SOUTHEAST
WAS RECORDED AT THE SAND KEY C-MAN PLATFORM. THE WIND
GUST WAS PRODUCED FROM A NORTHWESTWARD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM A DECAYED THUNDERSTORM.


&&

$$

PFUENTES

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2106

ACUS11 KWNS 172032
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172032
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-172200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2106
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN NM AND SERN CO AND EXTREME WRN OK PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 172032Z - 172200Z

STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN CO...NRN NM
AND INTO THE FAR WRN OK PANHANDLE. ONLY A VERY LOW PROBABILITY OF A
WW ISSUANCE DUE TO MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

AT 20Z...MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW WAS LOCATED W OF COS AND MOVING SLOWLY
SEWD. COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE
RANGED FROM -14C NEAR THE CENTER TO -10C ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN NM
AND SERN CO. THOUGH SURFACE TEMPERATURES WERE NOT PARTICULARLY
WARM...THESE COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WERE RESULTING IN MLCAPES FROM
500 TO 1000 J/KG. WINDS IN THE LOWER 3 KM WERE WEAK...THOUGH SPEED
SHEAR IN THE MID AND HIGH LEVELS WAS RESULTING IN 30-40 KT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR ACROSS NRN NM AND 25 TO 30 KT ACROSS SERN CO. DESPITE
THE WEAK INSTABILITY...THE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NRN NM...WILL FAVOR SOME
BRIEFLY ROTATING STORMS AND SEVERE MULTICELL CLUSTERS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAIL...THOUGH THE LIMITED BOUNDARY
LAYER WARMING/INSTABILITY CURRENTLY SUGGESTS THE THREAT MAY NOT BE
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH FOR A WW.

..IMY.. 08/17/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

35480602 36510668 37330481 38100364 38760249 37340201
35740330

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KABQ [172016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 172016
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
216 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0128 PM HAIL 1 SW SAN ILDEFONSO PUEB 35.89N 106.14W
08/17/2008 E0.75 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

HALF MILE WEST ON HIGHWAY 502 NEAR HWY 30 AND 502
INTERCHANGE. PHILLIPS 66.


&&

$$

DPORTER

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KALY [172015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KALY 172015
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
415 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 PM HAIL BARRYTOWN 42.00N 73.92W
08/16/2008 E1.00 INCH DUTCHESS NY PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN BARRYTOWN...NEAR RED
HOOK.

0207 PM HAIL 1 SE BARRYTOWN 41.99N 73.91W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH DUTCHESS NY TRAINED SPOTTER

1/2 TO 3/4 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER NEAR RTE 9G AND
199.

0310 PM HAIL LAGRANGEVILLE 41.65N 73.76W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH DUTCHESS NY PUBLIC


&&

$$

KLIPTON

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KSEW [172006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 172006
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
106 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 PM HAIL 10 SE BREMERTON 47.43N 122.57W
08/17/2008 M0.25 INCH KITSAP WA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CERNIGLIA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 172000
SWODY1
SPC AC 171957

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 172000Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NORTHERN CA/WEST CENTRAL
ORE...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST CO/NORTHEAST
NM...

...NORTHERN CA/ORE/WA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES MULTIPLE WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS LIFTING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS DEWPOINTS OVER WESTERN ORE AND NORTHERN CA IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S...WHICH ARE CONTRIBUTING TO SBCAPE VALUES OF AROUND
1000-1500 J/KG ALONG THE CASCADES PER RUC-BASED OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS NORTHERN CA/WEST
CENTRAL ORE. HAIL/GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
TSTMS.

...AZ/NM/CO/WEST TX...
HAVE UPGRADED PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST CO/NORTHEAST NM TO A SLIGHT
RISK. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW OVER CO
TODAY...WITH A BELT OF MODERATELY STRONG WEST-NORTHWEST MID LEVEL
FLOW OVERSPREADING THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. WITH AMPLE HEATING BENEATH THE EAST-SURGING MID LEVEL
DRY SLOT...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/INCREASE
ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CO/NM/AZ THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST TSTMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL/WIND
AND PERHAPS A ROGUE TORNADO INTO EARLY EVENING.

...GREAT LAKES...
A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA TOWARD THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. FAVORABLE
DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH...LEADING TO SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MAINLY OVER
PARTS OF ONTARIO TODAY. NEVERTHELESS...TRAILING END OF CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN MN LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING. ALSO...A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY FORM OVER WI/LOWER MI LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. BUT...LACK OF LOW LEVEL FORCING/MARGINAL VERTICAL
SHEAR SUGGEST THAT THE AREAL COVERAGE OF STRONG STORMS DOES NOT
WARRANT A SLIGHT RISK.

...GA/SC AND NORTHERN FL...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES WEAK/SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW MIGRATING
EASTWARD OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STRONGER
TSTMS COULD YET PRODUCE ISOLATED/MARGINALLY SEVERE WINDS/HAIL
THROUGH EARLY EVENING...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

...FL KEYS...
TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL NOT BEGIN TO APPROACH THE FL KEYS UNTIL THE
DAY 2 PERIOD/MONDAY. HOWEVER...STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS NEAR OUTER
BANDS OF FAY MAY INCREASE THE RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO LATE
TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER 06Z.

..GUYER.. 08/17/2008

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KGSP [171736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 171736
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
136 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 SE GREENWOOD 34.09N 82.03W
08/16/2008 GREENWOOD SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES DOWN ON MCKINSEY, KINARD, AND EPWORTH CAMP ROADS.


&&

$$

TBENTHAL

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 171730
SWODY2
SPC AC 171728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS UPSTATE NY AND NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SOUTH FL...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE FLOW PATTERN WILL BECOME A LITTLE MORE PROGRESSIVE ON
MONDAY. WHILE A BROAD UPPER TROUGH TRANSITIONS EASTWARD OVER EASTERN
CANADA AND THE ADJACENT GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST STATES...AN UPPER
RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OVER SOUTHERN CANADA AND THE NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH CROSSING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
FARTHER SOUTH...WELL REMOVED FROM THE MEAN
WESTERLIES...CLOSED/CUT-OFF UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES.

...UPSTATE NY/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A POTENT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE
REGION ON MONDAY...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD NORTHERN NY/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING
THE AFTERNOON. WHILE THE PRIMARY/INITIAL DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR
ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA ALONG THE COLD FRONT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM UPSTATE NY INTO NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN/MOUNTAINS AND/OR ALONG A
POSSIBLE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. WITH A MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...INCREASING FLOW FIELDS ALOFT AND
EVENTUAL ARRIVAL OF STRONGER LARGE SCALE/FRONTAL FORCING WILL
SUPPORT A STEADILY INCREASING SEVERE THREAT DURING THE AFTERNOON. A
RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING...POTENTIALLY WITH A WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE.

...SOUTH FL...
LATEST NHC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TROPICAL STORM FAY MAY STRENGTHEN TO A
HURRICANE AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE FL KEYS/WESTERN
FL COAST ON MONDAY. SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO EXIST
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE FAVORABLE RIGHT-FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY FOR A
RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS SOUTH FL...ESPECIALLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

...WA/ORE...
STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD TOWARD WA/ORE ON
MONDAY...WITH ONE OR MORE EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS SPREADING
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE REGION. STRENGTHENING/LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPORT SOME WELL-ORGANIZED
TSTMS...INCLUDING MULTICELLS AND SOME HIGH BASED SUPERCELLS MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITHIN A MOIST/POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
PORTIONS OF THE REGION MAY BE UPGRADED TO A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK
IN SUBSEQUENT DAY 1 OUTLOOKS.

...EASTERN NM/WEST TX...
UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MIGRATE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES ON MONDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...A MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL/WIND
RISK WILL AGAIN EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NM AND FAR
WEST/SOUTHWEST TX AMIDST PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE
TRAJECTORIES...PRIMARILY ON THE WEST EDGE OF FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST/CENTRAL TX EARLY IN THE DAY.

..GUYER.. 08/17/2008

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KGSP [171658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 171658
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1257 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 AM TSTM WND DMG TROUTMAN 35.70N 80.89W
08/17/2008 IREDELL NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN IN TROUTMAN AND ON PERTH ROAD.


&&

$$

TBENTHAL

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KRAH [171634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 171634
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1234 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 WNW LAURINBURG 34.80N 79.53W
08/17/2008 SCOTLAND NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

SCOTLAND COUNTY 911 REPORTS SIGNIFICANT WATER COVERING
HIGHWAY 74 BETWEEN LAUREL HILL AND LAURINBURG. OFFICIALS
ARE IN THE PROCESS OF CLOSING THE ROAD.


&&

$$

JFB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171629
SWODY1
SPC AC 171627

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 171630Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PARTS OF NORTHERN CA AND CENTRAL ORE...

...CA/ORE...
LARGE UPPER RIDGE IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST...WITH SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS LIFTING NORTHWARD ALONG
THE CA/ORE COAST. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS DEWPOINTS OVER
WESTERN ORE AND NORTHEAST CA IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S...WHICH
WILL YIELD AFTERNOON SBCAPE VALUES OF AROUND 1000-1500 J/KG.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN NEAR THE CA/ORE BORDER LATER TODAY AND TRACK NORTHWARD INTO
CENTRAL ORE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE RISK OF HAIL AND
GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS IN STRONGER CELLS.

...AZ/NM/CO/TX...
PERSISTENT UPPER LOW REMAIN OVER CENTRAL CO TODAY...WITH BAND OF
MODERATELY STRONG WEST-NORTHWEST MID LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
STATES. SLIGHTLY DRIER MID LEVEL AIR HAS ROTATED ACROSS THIS
REGION...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN GREATER DAYTIME
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF AZ/NM AND SOUTHERN CO.
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
ACTIVITY MAY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO WEST TX BEFORE WEAKENING LATER
THIS EVENING.

...GREAT LAKES...
A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA TOWARD THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. FAVORABLE
DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH...LEADING TO SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MAINLY OVER
PARTS OF ONTARIO TODAY. NEVERTHELESS...TRAILING END OF CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN MN THIS AFTERNOON.
ALSO...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS MAY FORM OVER LOWER MI DURING PEAK
HEATING PERIOD. LACK OF LOW LEVEL FORCING OVER THESE REGIONS
SUGGEST THAT AREAL COVERAGE OF STRONG STORMS DOES NOT WARRANT A
SLIGHT RISK AT THIS TIME.

...FL/GA/SC...
WEAK MID LEVEL VORT MAX IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN NC AND WILL DRIFT
EASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST TODAY. THE ASSOCIATED POOL OF COOLER MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL HELP TO DESTABILIZE MUCH OF SC/GA AND
NORTHERN FL LATER THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY WHERE DAYTIME HEATING
IS MAXIMIZED. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP ALONG SEABREEZES OVER THIS AREA WITH THE RISK OF GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS. ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED.

...FL KEYS...
TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL NOT BEGIN TO APPROACH THE FL KEYS UNTIL THE
DAY2 PERIOD. HOWEVER...STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS NEAR OUTER BANDS
OF SYSTEM MAY INCREASE THE RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO...MAINLY
AFTER 06Z.

..HART/JEWELL.. 08/17/2008

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KGSP [171621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 171621
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1221 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 PM HAIL CHERRYVILLE 35.38N 81.38W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH GASTON NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN.

1140 PM TSTM WND DMG CHERRYVILLE 35.38N 81.38W
08/16/2008 GASTON NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN IN CHERRYVILLE AREA.


&&

$$

TBENTHAL

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KSLC [171515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 171515
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
915 AM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E BIG WATER 37.07N 111.64W
08/16/2008 KANE UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

FLASH FLOOD ON WAHWEAP WASH THREE TO FOUR FEET DEEP. WASH
IS 100 FEET WIDE AND WAS FILLED BANK TO BANK.


&&

$$

CRK

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KGSP [171344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 171344
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
944 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 AM FLASH FLOOD 8 S MONROE 34.87N 80.54W
08/17/2008 UNION NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

NUMEROUS FLOODED ROADS FROM SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH OF MONROE.

&&

$$

TBENTHAL

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KRAH [171307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 171307
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
907 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 ESE WHITE STORE 34.88N 80.22W
08/17/2008 ANSON NC PUBLIC

OVER A FOOT OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS UNION CHURCH ROAD.


&&

$$

GIH

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KOKX [171240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KOKX 171240
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
840 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM HAIL 1 S YONKERS 40.93N 73.87W
08/15/2008 E2.00 INCH WESTCHESTER NY TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY LARGE HAIL IN SOUTH YONKERS. COMPLETELY DESTROYED
GARDEN. TIME EST FROM RADAR.


&&

$$

BAS

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KSLC [171238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 171238
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
637 AM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM FLASH FLOOD 14 WNW BIG WATER 37.11N 111.91W
08/16/2008 KANE UT MESONET

4000 CFS FLASH FLOOD MEASURED ON USGS GAGE ON THE PARIA
RIVER AT HIGHWAY 89.


&&

$$

CVG

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171223
SWODY1
SPC AC 171220

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 171300Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT FOR THE ORE CASCADES AREA...

...WA/ORE CASCADES AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...
A PLUME OF LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE HAS SPREAD NWD OVER ORE/WA...NEAR
AND IMMEDIATELY W OF THE CASCADES...AND THIS MOISTURE HAS SUPPORTED
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT FROM NW ORE INTO WRN WA. THIS INITIAL
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING...WITH ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED OVER THE ORE CASCADES LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING IN CONJUNCTION WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND THE
APPROACH OF EMBEDDED WEAK SPEED MAXIMA IN ADVANCE OF AN ERN PAC MID
LEVEL TROUGH. OBSERVATIONS OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO LOCALLY LOWER
60S WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
GRADUALLY INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT
APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS.

...UPPER GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT...
A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SRN SASKATCHEWAN THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE ESEWD TO NRN WI/UPPER MI BY TONIGHT...IN PHASE WITH A LARGER
SCALE TROUGH OVER ONTARIO. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THE
ONTARIO WAVE. THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY
RESIDUAL BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 58-62 F AND SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 85-90 F THIS AFTERNOON. THESE
NEAR-SURFACE CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH A PLUME OF 7 C/KM MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES...WILL RESULT IN MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1250 J/KG IN
ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WI/MI
AS DAYTIME HEATING REMOVES CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IN THE WARM SECTOR.
THE MORE FOCUSED AREA FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE IN
PROXIMITY TO THE COLD FRONT ACROSS ONTARIO AND THE MN ARROWHEAD THIS
EVENING. DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK IN THE
WARM SECTOR AND A LITTLE STRONGER NEAR THE FRONT. MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS...BUT THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE LIMITED BY MODEST
INSTABILITY/VERTICAL SHEAR AND THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT
PRIMARILY AFTER DARK.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW WILL DRIFT SEWD OVER CO THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN
UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN/NRN ROCKIES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
GRADUALLY. SEVERAL DAYS OF RELATIVELY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION HAS
REDUCED LAPSE RATES IN THE AREA FROM NRN AZ ACROSS NM TO ERN CO.
THE NET RESULT WILL BE RATHER WEAK INSTABILITY IN THE ZONE OF
STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR OVER NM /S OF THE MID LEVEL LOW/. ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING GUSTS WITH A STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT
WHERE POCKETS OF SURFACE HEATING LOCALLY ENHANCE INSTABILITY FROM NM
INTO SE CO THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE OVERALL SEVERE STORM THREAT
APPEARS RATHER MARGINAL.

...FL KEYS AND EXTREME S FL EARLY MONDAY...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO CROSS CUBA AND ENTER THE FL
STRAITS EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE STORM IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
PARTICULARLY STRONG BY THIS TIME AS A RESULT OF RECENT LAND
INTERACTIONS /SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS/.
STILL...LOW-MID LEVEL WINDS/VERTICAL SHEAR MAY INCREASE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT A LOW PROBABILITY OF OUTER RAIN BAND SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE
KEYS/S FL NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD.

..THOMPSON/LEVIT.. 08/17/2008

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KGSP [171221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 171221
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
821 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 AM FLASH FLOOD WAXHAW 34.92N 80.74W
08/17/2008 UNION NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

COUNTY 911 REPORTS NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING...MAINLY FROM WAXHAW TO STURDIVANTS.


&&

$$

HG

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KSEW [171207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 171207
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
507 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0506 AM LIGHTNING 2 SW CARNATION 47.63N 121.94W
08/17/2008 KING WA TRAINED SPOTTER

FREQUENT LIGHTNING


&&

$$

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KCHS [171136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 171136
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
735 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG WEST ASHLEY 32.80N 80.01W
08/16/2008 CHARLESTON SC PUBLIC

A LARGE TREE FELL ON A HOUSE AND DID MINOR DAMAGE TO PART
OF THE ROOF ON SAVAGE ROAD. A LARGE OAK TREE BRANCH WAS
ALSO REPORTED DOWN.


&&

$$

REB

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KGSP [171043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 171043
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
643 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM FLASH FLOOD MAIDEN 35.58N 81.21W
08/17/2008 CATAWBA NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

CAR FLOODED AT DOMINOS PIZZA IN MAIDEN. ROAD FLOODED AT
INTERSECTION OF HWY 321 AND MAYS CHAPEL ROAD. THREE
STRUCTURES WERE FLOODED IN MAIDEN...AND PORTIONS OF HWY
16...AND SHERRILLS FORD ROAD FLOODED.


&&

$$

AKIMBALL

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 170851
SWOD48
SPC AC 170851

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 201200Z - 251200Z

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE SCALE PATTERN MAY BECOME MORE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE NCNTRL U.S. DURING THE DAY5-6
TIME FRAME. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A STRONG UPPER TROUGH
WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE NRN PLAINS DURING THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. THIS FEATURE WILL FORCE A SHARP COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE DAKOTAS INTO MN WHERE IT WILL ENCOUNTER A MARGINALLY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ENVIRONMENT...DEW POINTS MAY STRUGGLE TO RISE
INTO THE 60S UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE WEEK. GIVEN THE MEAGER MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...AT LEAST INITIALLY...ORGANIZED SEVERE
CONVECTION WILL NOT BE OUTLOOKED AT THIS TIME.

SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE WANING ACROSS THE SERN U.S. AS STRONGER SHEAR
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY WILL LIKELY BE SHUNTED OFFSHORE BY THE END OF
THE WEEK.

..DARROW.. 08/17/2008

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KGSP [170717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 170717
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
316 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 SE NEWTON 35.61N 81.16W
08/17/2008 CATAWBA NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

SEVERAL CREEKS FLOWING OVER ROADS, MANY WITH 1 TO 2 FEET
OF WATER WERE REPORTED ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE
COUNTY.


&&

$$

AKIMBALL

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 170710
SWODY3
SPC AC 170708

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0208 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL...

SHEAR PROFILES WILL REMAIN ENHANCED ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF FAY. LATEST FORECAST TRACK SUGGESTS CENTER OF
CIRCULATION WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR TPA...THEN MOVE INLAND ACROSS SRN
GA WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE UNTIL THIS SYSTEM
LIFTS INLAND AND WEAKENS.

...NRN ROCKIES...

WEAK HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES TUESDAY AS
SPEED MAX EJECTS INTO ALBERTA. THIS FEATURE WILL ALLOW A WEAK
FRONTAL ZONE TO EASE INTO WRN MT WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NRN ID/WRN MT. MOISTURE MAY BE SOMEWHAT
LIMITED THUS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE HIGH BASED AND ISOLATED. FOR THIS
REASON WILL NOT INCLUDE LOW PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

..DARROW.. 08/17/2008

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KILN [170616]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 170616
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
216 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 N CELINA 40.64N 84.57W
08/05/2008 MERCER OH TRAINED SPOTTER

ROOF DAMAGE TO A BARN

0120 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 N WAPAKONETA 40.64N 84.19W
08/05/2008 AUGLAIZE OH AMATEUR RADIO

12 INCH LIMBS SNAPPED AND ROOFING RIPPED OFF A BARN


&&

$$

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KABQ [170549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 170549
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1149 PM MDT SAT AUG 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1040 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCUMCARI 35.17N 103.73W
08/16/2008 QUAY NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE HOME FLOODED. MAJOR STREET FLOODING WITH SEVERAL
VEHICLES GETTING STUCK.


&&

$$

50

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 170539
SWODY2
SPC AC 170538

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1238 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS UPSTATE NY TO NRN ME...

...UPSTATE NY...NRN VT/NH/ME...

LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES EARLIER TRENDS OF
DIGGING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC/NEW
ENGLAND BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS FEATURE WILL PRIMARILY
INFLUENCE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SRN ONTARIO...NEWD ALONG THE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY OF CANADA THROUGH MID AFTERNOON AS SFC
FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO SURGE INTO NY/VT UNTIL AROUND 19/00Z...THEN
SEWD ACROSS THE REST OF NEW ENGLAND BY 12Z. BY LATE AFTERNOON IT
APPEARS A WELL DEVELOPED SQUALL LINE SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG
STRONGLY FORCED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER SERN CANADA. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL EASILY SPREAD ACROSS SLIGHT RISK AREA OF NY INTO NRN ME AS DEEP
WLY FLOW WILL ENSURE A RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT AND
MODEST INSTABILITY WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS. GFS FORECAST
SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT CONSIDERABLY MORE INSTABILITY THAN THE LATEST NAM
GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY ON THE CANADIAN SIDE OF THE BORDER WHERE
MLCAPE VALUES ARE PROGGED TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 2500 J/KG. IF THIS
AIRMASS EVOLVES AS GFS SUGGESTS THEN A FAIRLY STRONG/ORGANIZED
SQUALL LINE WILL PROPAGATE CONSIDERABLY FARTHER SOUTHEAST ACROSS NY
INTO ME THAN CURRENTLY OUTLOOKED. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY...MAINLY AFTER 00Z.

...FL...

TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE FL STRAIGHTS AND
APPROACH THE WCNTRL COAST OF FL NEAR TPA BY 19/12Z. NEEDLESS TO SAY
ANY INTENSIFICATION WILL RESULT IN INCREASED SHEAR AND AT LEAST SOME
THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE STATE.

...SERN NM/WEST TX...

UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SAG SEWD ACROSS NWRN TX OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...WELL REMOVED FROM STRONGER FLOW ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN
BORDER. STRONGEST MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN ON BACK SIDE OF THIS
FEATURE ACROSS NM INTO WEST TX WHERE SUFFICIENT NWLY FLOW SHOULD
ENHANCE ORGANIZATIONAL POTENTIAL OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MANAGE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION. HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THE
STRONGER STORMS.

...PACIFIC NW...

FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE PACIFIC COAST
DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD. IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE IT APPEARS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL EJECT NEWD ACROSS WA/ORE INTO SERN BC. THIS
LEAD FEATURE WILL ENHANCE LARGE SCALE ASCENT ACROSS INTERIOR WA AS
TIGHTENING BAROCLINIC ZONE FOCUSES EAST OF THE CASCADES WHERE STRONG
HEATING IS EXPECTED. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SHEAR PROFILES WILL
BE MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR DEEP ROTATING STORMS. THE MAIN QUESTION
AT THIS TIME IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP/HOLD
ACROSS THIS REGION. THERE IS REASON TO BELIEVE SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR HIGH BASED SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY NEAR
THE CANADIAN BORDER. A SLIGHT RISK MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THIS
REGION...ESPECIALLY IF IT BECOMES MORE EVIDENT THAT MOISTURE WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.

..DARROW.. 08/17/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170534
SWODY1
SPC AC 170531

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN HIGH PLAINS/SRN AND CNTRL ROCKIES...
A SLOW MOVING UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES WILL ACCELERATE
SEWD TODAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING AHEAD OF
THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW THIS MORNING WITH CONVECTIVE COVERAGE EXPANDING
THIS AFTERNOON AS SFC TEMPS WARM. THE WIDESPREAD NATURE OF
CONVECTION THIS MORNING MAY HAMPER DESTABILIZATION AND LIMIT THE
RESULTANT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS
THE REGION AT 21Z TODAY SUGGEST 30 TO 35 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
BE PRESENT ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS IN ERN NM AND SE CO. THIS MAY
BE ENOUGH FOR MULTICELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND
DAMAGE. COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MAY
ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS NEAR PEAK
HEATING.

...WRN ORE/NRN CA...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED FROM SRN CA NWD ACROSS WRN NV
INTO ERN ORE IS FORECAST TO DRIFT EWD TODAY ALLOWING HEIGHTS TO FALL
ALONG THE COASTS OF NRN CA...ORE AND WA. AT THE SFC...DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S F SHOULD BE IN PLACE ACROSS PARTS OF WRN ORE
AND NRN CA WHERE POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY ARE FORECAST BY
THIS AFTERNOON. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES AND SFC TEMPS
WARM...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE
INSTABILITY AXIS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN WRN ORE AT 21Z SHOW ABOUT 35
KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHICH WOULD BE
SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW ROTATING STORMS WITH HAIL POTENTIAL. MARGINALLY
SEVERE WIND DAMAGE COULD ALSO OCCUR AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME
STEEP IN THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE EXTENT OF THE SEVERE THREAT
REMAINS QUESTIONABLE DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES CONCERNING CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE.

...GREAT LAKES...
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION AS A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE TROUGH...MODEL FORECASTS SHOW POCKETS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY BY THIS AFTERNOON AND DEVELOP ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM NERN MN SEWD INTO NRN LOWER MI.
FORECAST SOUNDING ALONG THIS CORRIDOR SUGGEST ENOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL EXIST FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE MULTICELLS. UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS
WITH ABOUT 20 KT OF FLOW AT 850 MB AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. A PLUME OF STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES IS FORECAST JUST AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND THIS
COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY COLD TEMPS ALOFT SHOULD ALSO PROMOTE A HAIL
THREAT.

..BROYLES/LEVIT.. 08/17/2008

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KFGZ [170438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KFGZ 170438
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
938 PM MST SAT AUG 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM TORNADO 15 NW VALLE 35.81N 112.33W
08/16/2008 COCONINO AZ PUBLIC

SMALL TORNADO 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF VALLE

0145 PM HAIL 18 NW VALLE 35.84N 112.37W
08/16/2008 E0.75 INCH COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JJ

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KMFR [170421]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 170421
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
921 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM TSTM WND DMG KLAMATH FALLS 42.22N 121.77W
08/16/2008 KLAMATH OR PUBLIC

ROOF PARTIALLY BLOWN OFF A BARN. FIRMLY ANCHORED CAR
CANOPY BLOWN AWAY. BOAT DAMAGED.


&&

$$

STAVISH

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