KEWX [160424]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KEWX 160424
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1023 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 PM FLOOD 1 S PLEASANTON 28.95N 98.49W
01/14/2010 ATASCOSA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

MINOR FLOODING ON AN UNDERPASS NEAR PLEASANTON AT
HIGHWAY 97... WEST OF 1-35.

0815 PM FLOOD 3 E PLEASANTON 28.96N 98.44W
01/14/2010 ATASCOSA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER OVER THE ROAD AT JUNCTION I-37 AND HIGHWAY 281.

1120 PM FLOOD 8 N PLEASANTON 29.08N 98.49W
01/14/2010 ATASCOSA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 536 TO FM 1784 IN NORTHERN ATASCOSA IS CLOSED DUE TO
WATER ON THE ROAD.

0300 AM FLOOD 2 W LEMING 29.07N 98.52W
01/15/2010 ATASCOSA TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 1470 CLOSED DUE TO WATER ON THE ROAD FOM US 281 TO
FM 3498.

0415 AM FLOOD 4 ESE POTEET 29.02N 98.52W
01/15/2010 ATASCOSA TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 2146 CLOSED DUE TO WATER ON THE ROAD FROM SH 173 TO
FM 476.

0430 AM FLOOD 2 E SAN ANTONIO 29.42N 98.46W
01/15/2010 BEXAR TX BROADCAST MEDIA

CAR STRANDED IN WATER COVERING THE SIDE ROAD AT I-35
AND SALADO CREEK. NO HIGH WATER RESCUE REPORTED.

0346 PM FLASH FLOOD SAN ANTONIO 29.42N 98.49W
01/15/2010 BEXAR TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES IN SAN ANTONIO DUE TO FLOODING

0810 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW SAN MARCOS 29.87N 97.94W
01/15/2010 HAYS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

1 FT OF WATER OVER THE ROAD ON MCKIE ST NEAR I35. ROAD
CLOSED

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000001 EWX1000002 EWX1000003 EWX1000006 EWX1000005
EWX1000004 EWX1000007 EWX1000008

$$

JPB

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KEWX [160220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 160220
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
820 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW SAN MARCOS 29.87N 97.94W
01/15/2010 HAYS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

1 FT OF WATER OVER THE ROAD ON MCKIE ST NEAR I35. ROAD
CLOSED

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000008

$$

JPB

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KTFX [160148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 160148
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
647 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.71W
01/14/2010 M98.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

LOGAN PASS VISITORS CENTER IN GLACIER NATIONAL PARK -

ELEVATION 6775 FT. PEAK OVERNIGHT GUST PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT.

1145 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.61W
01/14/2010 M69.00 MPH TETON MT MESONET

DELLWO AUTOMATED OBSERVATION SITE. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH OVER A 30-MINUTE PERIOD BEGINNING AT 1130 PM MST
1/14.

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.71W
01/15/2010 M83.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

LOGAN PASS VISITORS CENTER IN GLACIER NATIONAL PARK -
ELEVATION 6775 FEET. PEAK GUST FOR OVERNIGHT PERIOD AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

1130 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 WNW BROWNING 48.60N 113.11W
01/15/2010 M59.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STARR-BROWNING AIRSTRIP RAWS OBSERVATION. NUMEROUS GUSTS
EXCEEDED 58 MPH BETWEEN 1130 AM MST AND 200 PM MST.

1154 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.61N 112.38W
01/15/2010 M48.00 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

CUT BANK NWS ASOS SITE.

0113 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 22 NW SANTA RITA 49.00N 112.66W
01/15/2010 M47.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

DEL BONITA PORT OF ENTRY AUTOMATED OBSERVATION - CANADIAN
SIDE OF THE BORDER.

0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
01/15/2010 M80.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

80 MPH WIND GUST AT DEEP CREEK.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BABB 48.86N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M82.00 MPH GLACIER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 WNW BROWNING 48.60N 113.11W
01/15/2010 M60.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STARR-BROWNING AIRSTRIP RAWS OBSERVATION. NUMEROUS GUSTS
EXCEEDED 58 MPH BETWEEN 1130 AM MST AND 200 PM MST.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.61W
01/15/2010 M62.00 MPH TETON MT MESONET

DELLWO AUTOMATED OBSERVATION SITE. A GUST TO 61 MPH WAS
ALSO RECORDED AT THIS SITE AT 200 PM MST.

0257 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.61N 112.38W
01/15/2010 M48.00 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

CUT BANK NWS ASOS SITE.

0309 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 18 WSW BYNUM 47.87N 112.67W
01/15/2010 M49.00 MPH TETON MT MESONET

GLEASON RAWS SITE.

0310 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW SANTA RITA 48.75N 112.37W
01/15/2010 M40.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

0312 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N BABB 48.99N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M71.00 MPH GLACIER MT OTHER FEDERAL

SUSTAINED 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 71 MPH.

0336 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N BABB 48.99N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M79.00 MPH GLACIER MT OTHER FEDERAL

HAM RADIO ANTENNA KNOCKED DOWN AND OVERTURNED CARGO BOX
TRAILER.

0339 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 9 SW DUPUYER 48.12N 112.66W
01/15/2010 M36.00 MPH TETON MT MESONET

PEAK SUSTAINED WIND AT DUPUYER AUTOMATED OBSERVATION
SITE. NUMEROUS SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH
BETWEEN 229 PM MST AND 343 PM MST.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.71W
01/15/2010 M81.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

LOGAN PASS VISITORS CENTER IN GLACIER NATIONAL PARK -
ELEVATION 6775 FEET. PEAK DAYTIME WIND GUST.

0405 PM NON-TSTM WND GST NNW HEART BUTTE 48.29N 112.84W
01/15/2010 M55.00 MPH PONDERA MT MESONET

HEART BUTTE RAWS LOCATION.

0437 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N BABB 48.99N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M79.00 MPH GLACIER MT OTHER FEDERAL

HAM RADIO ANTENNA DOWN...OVERTURNED CARGO BOX TRAILER.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160051
SWODY1
SPC AC 160050

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT-FLOW PATTERN FCST TO CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL CONUS THROUGH
REMAINDER PERIOD...DOMINATED BY CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THREE
INTERACTIVE MID-UPPER LEVEL LOWS. FIRST OF THESE -- EVIDENT IN
MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER N-CENTRAL MEX -- IS WEAKENING AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO AS DOWNSTREAM VORTICITY LOBE EVOLVES INTO DISCRETE
LOW ALOFT OVER S-CENTRAL TX. PERTURBATION OVER WRN KS -- WHICH
ORIGINATED IN NRN STREAM FLOW BELT -- WILL DIG SSEWD ACROSS
S-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TOWARD WRN OK AND ERN TX PANHANDLE THROUGH
REMAINDER PERIOD...EVOLVING INTO ANOTHER CLOSED 500 MB LOW THAT
ULTIMATELY WILL BECOME PRIMARY CYCLONE CENTER FOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH
NOW EXTENDING FROM SRN PLAINS ACROSS ERN MEX.

AT SFC...CYCLONE IS DEEPENING OFFSHORE LOWER/MIDDLE TX COAST...AND
IS FCST TO MOVE SLOWLY NEWD/ENEWD ACROSS OPEN GULF WATERS THROUGH
12Z. DOUBLE-STRUCTURED WARM FRONT IS ANALYZED...WITH SYNOPTIC
BOUNDARY ARCHING NEWD THEN EWD FROM LOW ACROSS N-CENTRAL GULF...AND
NRN BOUND OF BEST-MODIFIED/MARITIME-TROPICAL AIR MASS GENERALLY
ESEWD ACROSS CENTRAL GULF. BOTH OF THESE BOUNDARIES WILL REMAIN
WELL S OF LAND OVERNIGHT. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD OUT OF LOWER
VALLEY REGION.

...COASTAL LA/MS...
BROAD LOW LEVEL WAA AND ELEVATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT REGIME WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPAND ACROSS CENTRAL/NRN GULF...NEAR AND N OF SFC WARM
FRONT...WHILE SPREADING INLAND ACROSS LOWER DELTA AND COASTAL PLAIN
FROM LA TO FL PANHANDLE. WITHIN THIS REGIME...GRADUAL
DESTABILIZATION ...MAINLY THROUGH INCREASING THETAE ATOP ELEVATED
FRONTAL SFC...WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT OF MUCAPE GENERALLY BELOW 500
J/KG...AND POTENTIAL FOR SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER OVERNIGHT.

...DEEP S TX AND LOWER TX COAST...
TSTM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO WANE OVER TX COAST AND ADJACENT
WATERS THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD AS ALREADY MRGL INSTABILITY
DIMINISHES IN ZONE OF CAA BEHIND LOW LEVEL CYCLONE. THEREFORE ALL
SVR PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN REMOVED FOR REMAINDER PERIOD.

..EDWARDS.. 01/16/2010

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KTFX [160000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 160000
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
500 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BABB 48.86N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M82 MPH GLACIER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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KTFX [152340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...time Correction

NWUS55 KTFX 152340 CCA
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...TIME CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
439 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0336 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N BABB 48.99N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M79 MPH GLACIER MT OTHER FEDERAL

HAM RADIO ANTENNA DOWN...OVERTURNED CARGO BOX TRAILER.

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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KTFX [152339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 152339
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
439 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0437 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N BABB 48.99N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M79 MPH GLACIER MT OTHER FEDERAL

HAM RADIO ANTENNA DOWN...OVERTURNED CARGO BOX TRAILER.

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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KLCH [152315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152315
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
515 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
01/15/2010 CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

LIDS BLOWN OFF BARGES IN SHIP CHANNEL NEAR I-210 BRIDGE.

&&

$$

JTRARES

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KLCH [152258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152258
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
458 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0146 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 24 SSE INTRACOASTAL CIT 29.44N 92.06W
01/15/2010 M59 MPH GMZ455 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 217.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KBOI [152249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOI 152249
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
349 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0844 AM DENSE FOG ONTARIO 44.02N 116.97W
01/15/2010 MALHEUR OR ASOS

DENSE FOG THAT HAD MOVED OVER THE ONTARIO AIRPORT AT 1216
AM LIFTED. VISIBILITY WAS BRIEFLY 1/2 MILE IN FREEZING
FOG AT 653 PM AND 0953 AM.

1015 PM DENSE FOG 4 SSW CALDWELL 43.61N 116.71W
01/14/2010 CANYON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY 100 YARDS.

0608 PM DENSE FOG 8 WNW MELBA 43.40N 116.69W
01/14/2010 OWYHEE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY 200 FEET AT GIVENS HOT SPRINGS.

0515 PM DENSE FOG CALDWELL 43.66N 116.68W
01/14/2010 CANYON ID AWOS

DENSE FOG OVER THE CALDWELL AIRPORT...ENDED AROUND 315 AM
THE 15TH.

&&

$$

VMILLS

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KLCH [152249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152249
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
449 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0146 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 27 S HOLLY BEACH 29.39N 93.42W
01/15/2010 M61 MPH GMZ470 LA BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 267.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KTFX [152224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 152224
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
324 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.71W
01/14/2010 M98.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

LOGAN PASS ELEVATION 6775 FT

0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
01/15/2010 M80.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

80 MPH WIND GUST AT DEEP CREEK.

0312 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N BABB 48.99N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M71.00 MPH GLACIER MT OTHER FEDERAL

SUSTAINED 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 71 MPH.

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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KTFX [152220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 152220
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
320 PM MST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0312 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N BABB 48.99N 113.44W
01/15/2010 M71 MPH GLACIER MT OTHER FEDERAL

SUSTAINED 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 71 MPH.

0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
01/15/2010 M80 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

80 MPH WIND GUST AT DEEP CREEK.

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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KPDT [152200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 152200
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
159 PM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW UNION 45.24N 117.96W
01/15/2010 M59.00 MPH UNION OR MESONET

0815 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSE LA GRANDE 45.23N 118.01W
01/15/2010 E58.00 MPH UNION OR MESONET

0845 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSE LA GRANDE 45.23N 118.01W
01/15/2010 M65.00 MPH UNION OR MESONET

0910 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW UNION 45.24N 117.96W
01/15/2010 M60.00 MPH UNION OR MESONET

&&

$$

JM

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KEWX [152149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 152149
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
349 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM FLASH FLOOD SAN ANTONIO 29.42N 98.49W
01/15/2010 BEXAR TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES IN SAN ANTONIO DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000007

$$

JPB

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KLCH [152143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152143
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
343 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0224 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S CAMERON 29.78N 93.30W
01/15/2010 M48 MPH CAMERON LA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

CALCASIEU PASS MEASURED A WIND GUST AT 48 MPH

&&

$$

MGRIFFIN

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KLCH [152124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152124
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
324 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S LAKE CHARLES 30.14N 93.20W
01/15/2010 M51 MPH CALCASIEU LA ASOS

LCH ASOS REPORTED A 51 MPH WIND GUST

&&

$$

MGRIFFIN

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KLCH [152116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152116
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
316 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 S RUTHERFORD BEACH 29.59N 93.15W
01/15/2010 M50.00 MPH GMZ452 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 71.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KCRP [152115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 152115
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
315 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0249 PM FLOOD 4 ESE ORANGE GROVE 27.93N 97.88W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 70 IS CLOSED AT FM 624 DUE TO FLOODING.

0245 PM FLOOD 8 SSW PORT LAVACA 28.50N 96.65W
01/15/2010 CALHOUN TX EMERGENCY MNGR

HWY 238 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER OVER A BRIDGE CROSSING.

0215 PM FLOOD 5 SSW SKIDMORE 28.16N 97.72W
01/15/2010 BEE TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 796 CLOSED AT CR533 DUE TO FLOODING.

0208 PM FLOOD 7 ESE MATHIS 28.06N 97.72W
01/15/2010 SAN PATRICIO TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SH 188 CLOSED FROM IH 37 TO FM 796 DUE TO LOW WATER
CROSSINGS FLOODED.

1254 PM FLOOD 1 SE ROBSTOWN 27.79N 97.65W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

NORTH AND SOUTHBOUND FEEDER ROADS ON U.S. 77 CLOSED
BETWEEN CR44 AND TERRY SHEMISE BLVD DUE TO HIGH WATER.

1150 AM FLOOD BISHOP 27.58N 97.80W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS IN THE CITY WERE BEING CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

1134 AM FLOOD 4 S ALICE 27.70N 98.06W
01/15/2010 JIM WELLS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER REPORTED OVER FM 1930 BETWEEN U.S. 281 AND FM 1352.
ROADWAY IS STILL PASSABLE.

1049 AM FLOOD 3 SSE WOODSBORO 28.19N 97.31W
01/15/2010 REFUGIO TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 629 IS CLOSED FROM FM 3037 AND FM 136 DUE TO WATER
OVER THE ROAD.

1017 AM FLOOD 8 WNW SKIDMORE 28.29N 97.81W
01/15/2010 BEE TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 1349 FROM US 59 TO FM 797.

1013 AM FLOOD 3 NW TYNAN 28.18N 97.77W
01/15/2010 BEE TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD ON FM 796 BETWEEN FM 888 AND SH 359.

0930 AM FLOOD 5 NNE ARANSAS PASS 27.97N 97.12W
01/15/2010 ARANSAS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 1069 AT VARIOUS LOCATIONS BETWEEN 1069 AND
SH 188.

0755 AM FLOOD 2 W CORPUS CHRISTI 27.77N 97.53W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD ON FM 2292 BETWEEN MCGLOIN ST. AND FM
665.

0753 AM FLOOD 5 NNW DRISCOLL 27.74N 97.79W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OF ROAD ON FM 2826 BETWEEN CR85 AND CR87.

0750 AM FLOOD 4 S CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.50W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROADWAY ON FM 763 BETWEEN FM 665 AND FM 0043.

1245 AM FLOOD 4 SE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.72N 97.46W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER SH 357 JUST WEST OF THE LA JOLLA CREEK BRIDGE.

1241 AM FLOOD PORT ARANSAS 27.83N 97.08W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER REPORTED OVER SH 361 AT VARIOUS LOCATIONS INSIDE
PORT ARANSAS CITY LIMITS.

1237 AM FLOOD 4 W ROBSTOWN 27.80N 97.72W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD ON SH 44 FROM BUSINESS 44 TO FM 1889.

1236 AM FLOOD ROCKPORT 28.04N 97.05W
01/15/2010 ARANSAS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 1781 NEAR FM 1069.

1235 AM FLOOD 5 NW CORPUS CHRISTI 27.83N 97.55W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 2292 AND LEOPARD ST. INTERSECTION.

1226 AM FLOOD 2 NNE ARANSAS PASS 27.92N 97.14W
01/15/2010 ARANSAS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD SOUTHBOUND LANE OF BUSINESS 35L NEAR
STAPP ST.

1210 AM FLOOD 1 N CHAPMAN RANCH 27.59N 97.45W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SH 286 CLOSED BETWEEN FM 2444 AND FM 70 DUE TO WATER OVER
THE ROAD...PARTICULARLY BETWEEN CR12 AND CR14. FM 70 FM
US 77 AND SH 286 IS ALSO CLOSED DUE TO THIS FLOODING

1209 AM FLOOD 1 S WOODSBORO 28.22N 97.32W
01/15/2010 REFUGIO TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE FLOODED WITH WATER OVER THE
ROADWAY ON FM 1360

&&

$$

JR

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KEWX [152107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KEWX 152107
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
307 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 PM FLOOD 1 S PLEASANTON 28.95N 98.49W
01/14/2010 ATASCOSA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

MINOR FLOODING ON AN UNDERPASS NEAR PLEASANTON AT
HIGHWAY 97... WEST OF 1-35.

0815 PM FLOOD 3 E PLEASANTON 28.96N 98.44W
01/14/2010 ATASCOSA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER OVER THE ROAD AT JUNCTION I-37 AND HIGHWAY 281.

1120 PM FLOOD 8 N PLEASANTON 29.08N 98.49W
01/14/2010 ATASCOSA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 536 TO FM 1784 IN NORTHERN ATASCOSA IS CLOSED DUE TO
WATER ON THE ROAD.

0300 AM FLOOD 2 W LEMING 29.07N 98.52W
01/15/2010 ATASCOSA TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 1470 CLOSED DUE TO WATER ON THE ROAD FOM US 281 TO
FM 3498.

0415 AM FLOOD 4 ESE POTEET 29.02N 98.52W
01/15/2010 ATASCOSA TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 2146 CLOSED DUE TO WATER ON THE ROAD FROM SH 173 TO
FM 476.

0430 AM FLOOD 2 E SAN ANTONIO 29.42N 98.46W
01/15/2010 BEXAR TX BROADCAST MEDIA

CAR STRANDED IN WATER COVERING THE SIDE ROAD AT I-35
AND SALADO CREEK. NO HIGH WATER RESCUE REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000001 EWX1000002 EWX1000003 EWX1000006 EWX1000005
EWX1000004

$$

AAT

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KLCH [152102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152102
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
302 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SW JOHNSON BAYOU 29.69N 93.73W
01/15/2010 M44 MPH GMZ450 LA PUBLIC

PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 17 REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS AT 44 WITH PK WIND GUST TO 65 MPH WHICH LASTED FOR
1 HOUR.

0224 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CAMERON 29.76N 93.34W
01/15/2010 M48 MPH GMZ450 LA C-MAN STATION

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KLCH [152058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152058
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
258 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0223 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 3 SW CAMERON 29.76N 93.34W
01/15/2010 M48 MPH GMZ450 LA C-MAN STATION

&&

$$

BRAZZELL

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KCRP [152057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 152057
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
255 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM FLOOD 8 SSW PORT LAVACA 28.50N 96.65W
01/15/2010 CALHOUN TX EMERGENCY MNGR

HWY 238 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER OVER A BRIDGE CROSSING.

&&

$$

JR

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KCRP [152035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 152035
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
235 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0208 PM FLOOD 7 ESE MATHIS 28.06N 97.72W
01/15/2010 SAN PATRICIO TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SH 188 CLOSED FROM IH 37 TO FM 796 DUE TO LOW WATER
CROSSINGS FLOODED.

0215 PM FLOOD 5 SSW SKIDMORE 28.16N 97.72W
01/15/2010 BEE TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 796 CLOSED AT CR533 DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

JR

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KLCH [152020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152020
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
220 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S SEA RIM STATE PARK 29.67N 94.05W
01/15/2010 E35 MPH GMZ450 TX C-MAN STATION

&&

$$

BRAZZELL

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KLCH [152017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 152017
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
217 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 E SABINE PASS 29.73N 93.87W
01/15/2010 M40 MPH GMZ430 LA C-MAN STATION

&&

$$

BRAZZELL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151941
SWODY1
SPC AC 151939

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 152000Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH TX...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO PRIOR FORECAST SCENARIO/PROBABILITIES. WITH
PRIMARY SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFF THE
IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTH TX PER OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS/SHORT TERM
GUIDANCE...OPPORTUNITY FOR APPRECIABLE MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION
INLAND APPEARS VERY LOW. AS SUCH...ANY REMOTE SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
BE TIED TO ANY DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TX...WHERE SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUD COVER BENEATH THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE NORTHERN MEXICO UPPER LOW COULD PERHAPS YIELD SOME
LOW TOPPED STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL THROUGH SUNSET.

..GUYER.. 01/15/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010/

CORRECTED TSTM LINE

...DEEP SOUTH TX...
COMPLEX MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL DIG
SLOWLY SSEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LEADING IMPULSE NOW PUSHING
INTO THE WRN GOM. SURFACE LOW NOW ALONG OR JUST OFF S PADRE ISLAND
SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE DAY AS MAIN UPPER SYSTEM
STILL DIGS ACROSS NRN MEXICO. THIS SHOULD SUSTAIN SLIGHT OFFSHORE
FLOW ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX...WITH MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE
COASTAL BEND MAINTAINING RAIN AND LIMITED DESTABILIZATION.

CLEARING SKIES OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL LIKELY ALLOW
MODEST INSTABILITY AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE PRIMARY TSTM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS WITHIN MOIST
PLUME OFFSHORE. STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW.

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KEWX [151937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 151937
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
137 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM FLOOD 2 W LEMING 29.07N 98.52W
01/15/2010 ATASCOSA TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 1470 CLOSED DUE TO WATER ON THE ROAD FOM US 281 TO
FM 3498.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000006

$$

CJM

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KEWX [151934]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 151934
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
133 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 AM FLOOD 4 ESE POTEET 29.02N 98.52W
01/15/2010 ATASCOSA TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 2146 CLOSED DUE TO WATER ON THE ROAD FROM SH 173 TO
FM 476.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000005

$$

CJM

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KEWX [151913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 151913
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
110 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 AM FLOOD 2 E SAN ANTONIO 29.42N 98.46W
01/15/2010 BEXAR TX BROADCAST MEDIA

CAR STRANDED IN WATER COVERING THE SIDE ROAD AT I-35
AND SALADO CREEK. NO HIGH WATER RESCUE REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000004

$$

CJM

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KPQR [151912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 151912
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1112 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1107 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FLORENCE 43.99N 124.10W
01/15/2010 M60 MPH LANE OR COAST GUARD

&&

$$

DKEIRNS

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KCRP [151908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 151908
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
108 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1254 PM FLOOD 1 SE ROBSTOWN 27.79N 97.65W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

NORTH AND SOUTHBOUND FEEDER ROADS ON U.S. 77 CLOSED
BETWEEN CR44 AND TERRY SHEMISE BLVD DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

$$

JR

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KSEW [151849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151849
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1049 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ENE VAIL 46.86N 122.58W
01/15/2010 M61.00 MPH THURSTON WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SUSTAINED WINDS 40-45 MPH OUT OF THE EAST AT LAKE
LAWERENCE...WITH A GUST TO 61 MPH.

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE ELWHA 48.06N 123.57W
01/15/2010 M3.00 INCH CLALLAM WA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL

&&

$$

DDAMICO

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KCRP [151817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 151817
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1217 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 AM FLOOD 4 S ALICE 27.70N 98.06W
01/15/2010 JIM WELLS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER REPORTED OVER FM 1930 BETWEEN U.S. 281 AND FM 1352.
ROADWAY IS STILL PASSABLE.

&&

$$

JR

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KHNX [151812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 151812
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1012 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 AM DENSE FOG FRESNO 36.78N 119.79W
01/15/2010 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

*** 1 INJ *** COLLISION BETWEEN A CAR AND A MOTORCYCLE ON
HIGHWAY 145 AND SHAW AVENUE. CALIFORNIA HIGHWAY PATROL
REPORTED VISIBILITY OF 600 FEET.

0626 AM DENSE FOG 15 NW MADERA 37.12N 120.27W
01/15/2010 MADERA CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

COLLISION BETWEEN A BIG RIG AND A CAR. CALIFORNIA HIGHWAY
PATROL REPORTED HEAVY FOG.

&&

$$

SANGER

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KCRP [151758]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 151758
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1158 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 AM FLOOD BISHOP 27.58N 97.80W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS IN THE CITY WERE BEING CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

1049 AM FLOOD 3 SSE WOODSBORO 28.19N 97.31W
01/15/2010 REFUGIO TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FM 629 IS CLOSED FROM FM 3037 AND FM 136 DUE TO WATER
OVER THE ROAD.

1017 AM FLOOD 8 WNW SKIDMORE 28.29N 97.81W
01/15/2010 BEE TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 1349 FROM US 59 TO FM 797.

1013 AM FLOOD 3 NW TYNAN 28.18N 97.77W
01/15/2010 BEE TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD ON FM 796 BETWEEN FM 888 AND SH 359.

0930 AM FLOOD 5 NNE ARANSAS PASS 27.97N 97.12W
01/15/2010 ARANSAS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 1069 AT VARIOUS LOCATIONS BETWEEN 1069 AND
SH 188.

0755 AM FLOOD 2 W CORPUS CHRISTI 27.77N 97.53W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD ON FM 2292 BETWEEN MCGLOIN ST. AND FM
665.

0753 AM FLOOD 5 NNW DRISCOLL 27.74N 97.79W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OF ROAD ON FM 2826 BETWEEN CR85 AND CR87.

0750 AM FLOOD 4 S CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.50W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROADWAY ON FM 763 BETWEEN FM 665 AND FM 0043.

1245 AM FLOOD 4 SE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.72N 97.46W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER SH 357 JUST WEST OF THE LA JOLLA CREEK BRIDGE.

1241 AM FLOOD PORT ARANSAS 27.83N 97.08W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER REPORTED OVER SH 361 AT VARIOUS LOCATIONS INSIDE
PORT ARANSAS CITY LIMITS.

1237 AM FLOOD 4 W ROBSTOWN 27.80N 97.72W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD ON SH 44 FROM BUSINESS 44 TO FM 1889.

1236 AM FLOOD ROCKPORT 28.04N 97.05W
01/15/2010 ARANSAS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 1781 NEAR FM 1069.

1235 AM FLOOD 5 NW CORPUS CHRISTI 27.83N 97.55W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER FM 2292 AND LEOPARD ST. INTERSECTION.

1226 AM FLOOD 2 NNE ARANSAS PASS 27.92N 97.14W
01/15/2010 ARANSAS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WATER OVER ROAD SOUTHBOUND LANE OF BUSINESS 35L NEAR
STAPP ST.

1210 AM FLOOD 1 N CHAPMAN RANCH 27.59N 97.45W
01/15/2010 NUECES TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SH 286 CLOSED BETWEEN FM 2444 AND FM 70 DUE TO WATER OVER
THE ROAD...PARTICULARLY BETWEEN CR12 AND CR14. FM 70 FM
US 77 AND SH 286 IS ALSO CLOSED DUE TO THIS FLOODING

1209 AM FLOOD 1 S WOODSBORO 28.22N 97.32W
01/15/2010 REFUGIO TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE FLOODED WITH WATER OVER THE
ROADWAY ON FM 1360

&&

$$

JR

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Corr 1

ACUS01 KWNS 151736
SWODY1
SPC AC 151735

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 151630Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED TSTM LINE

...DEEP SOUTH TX...
COMPLEX MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL DIG
SLOWLY SSEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LEADING IMPULSE NOW PUSHING
INTO THE WRN GOM. SURFACE LOW NOW ALONG OR JUST OFF S PADRE ISLAND
SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE DAY AS MAIN UPPER SYSTEM
STILL DIGS ACROSS NRN MEXICO. THIS SHOULD SUSTAIN SLIGHT OFFSHORE
FLOW ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX...WITH MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE
COASTAL BEND MAINTAINING RAIN AND LIMITED DESTABILIZATION.

CLEARING SKIES OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL LIKELY ALLOW
MODEST INSTABILITY AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE PRIMARY TSTM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS WITHIN MOIST
PLUME OFFSHORE. STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW.

..EVANS.. 01/15/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 151735
SWODY2
SPC AC 151734

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE SCALE SPLIT UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER
THE CONUS THROUGH SATURDAY. PRIMARY FOCUS FOR DEEP CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL WILL BE TIED TO A NORTHEASTWARD MIGRATING/BROAD UPPER
TROUGH IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM OVER THE GULF COAST STATES...WITH
CORRESPONDING SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS ANTICIPATED FROM THE WEST-CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO PORTIONS OF MS/AL SATURDAY
NIGHT.

...SOUTHEAST STATES/FL...
SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING EARLY SATURDAY OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IN VICINITY OF A GULF SURFACE LOW/COLD
FRONT...WITH A GENERAL EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST/FL
PENINSULA. A RAIN-COOLED INLAND AIRMASS NORTH OF AN ENCROACHING WARM
FRONT...AND LOW LEVEL EASTERLY TRAJECTORIES /EXCEPT FL PENINSULA/
VIA HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC STATES...SHOULD
SERVE TO LIMIT APPRECIABLE DESTABILIZATION INLAND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...WITH SBCAPE LIKELY TO BE LIMITED TO A FEW HUNDRED J/KG
OR LESS.

AS THE PARENT UPPER TROUGH EVOLVES TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES AND THE LOW LEVEL AIRMASS CONTINUES TO MODIFY/MOISTEN INLAND
SATURDAY NIGHT...POTENTIAL FOR SOME SURFACE BASED SEVERE TSTMS MAY
INCREASE DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST
STATES/FL PENINSULA. DEEP VERTICAL SHEAR TO 50+ KT WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS/BOWING SEGMENTS...WITH POSSIBILITIES OF ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE/TORNADO POTENTIAL VIA A APPROACHING SQUALL LINE AND/OR
LEADING SEMI-DISCRETE DEVELOPMENT. PENDING SUBSEQUENT GUIDANCE AND
EXPECTATIONS FOR SOMEWHAT GREATER WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION...A
CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK MAY ULTIMATELY BE WARRANTED FOR THE
NORTHEAST GULF REGION/FL PENINSULA VICINITY.

..GUYER.. 01/15/2010

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KSEW [151734]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151734
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
934 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0855 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW ENUMCLAW 47.23N 122.06W
01/15/2010 M60.00 MPH KING WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SUSTAINED WINDS 30-40 MPH OUT OF THE EAST WITH A GUST TO
60 MPH.

&&

$$

DDAMICO

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KPQR [151724]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 151724
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
924 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE TILLAMOOK HEAD 45.95N 123.98W
01/15/2010 M67 MPH CLATSOP OR TRAINED SPOTTER

0917 AM NON-TSTM WND GST GARIBALDI 45.56N 123.91W
01/15/2010 M64 MPH TILLAMOOK OR COAST GUARD

0918 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE TILLAMOOK HEAD 45.95N 123.98W
01/15/2010 M54 MPH CLATSOP OR TRAINED SPOTTER

S WIND 45 MPH GUST 54 MPH

&&

$$

DKEIRNS

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KPQR [151648]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 151648
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
847 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW WALDPORT 44.44N 124.08W
01/15/2010 M72 MPH LINCOLN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

S WIND GUSTING TO 72 MPH...BLEW ANEMOMETER OFF MOUNT INTO
STREET.

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW OYSTERVILLE 46.54N 124.06W
01/15/2010 M58 MPH PACIFIC WA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DKEIRNS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151623
SWODY1
SPC AC 151621

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 151630Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DEEP SOUTH TX...
COMPLEX MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL DIG
SLOWLY SSEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LEADING IMPULSE NOW PUSHING
INTO THE WRN GOM. SURFACE LOW NOW ALONG OR JUST OFF S PADRE ISLAND
SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE DAY AS MAIN UPPER SYSTEM
STILL DIGS ACROSS NRN MEXICO. THIS SHOULD SUSTAIN SLIGHT OFFSHORE
FLOW ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX...WITH MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE
COASTAL BEND MAINTAINING RAIN AND LIMITED DESTABILIZATION.

CLEARING SKIES OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL LIKELY ALLOW
MODEST INSTABILITY AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE PRIMARY TSTM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS WITHIN MOIST
PLUME OFFSHORE. STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW.

..EVANS.. 01/15/2010

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KSEW [151546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151546
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
746 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0636 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NE BELLINGHAM 48.80N 122.37W
01/15/2010 M55 MPH WHATCOM WA TRAINED SPOTTER

WHATCOM-8 REPORTED A PEAK WIND GUST OF 55 MPH AT 636 AM.

&&

$$

TBUEHNER

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KSEW [151541]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151541
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
741 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW ANACORTES 48.50N 122.66W
01/15/2010 M51 MPH SKAGIT WA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEAK GUST 51 MPH OCCURRED AROUND 7 AM. PRESENT WINDS ARE
SOUTH 26 GUSTING TO 48 MPH.

&&

$$

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KSEW [151509]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151509
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
709 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0707 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 WNW SEKIU 48.28N 124.37W
01/15/2010 M4.64 INCH CLALLAM WA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 7 AM...4.64 INCHES.

&&

$$

DFELTON

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KSEW [151417]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151417
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
617 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0616 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ENE VAIL 46.86N 122.58W
01/15/2010 M55 MPH THURSTON WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WIND 38 MPH GUSTING 55 MPH. TEMPERATURE
66 DEGREES.

&&

$$

DFELTON

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KSEW [151348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151348
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
548 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0447 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N OAK HARBOR 48.39N 122.62W
01/15/2010 M53.00 MPH ISLAND WA OTHER FEDERAL

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH

0451 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BELLINGHAM 48.74N 122.47W
01/15/2010 M52.00 MPH WHATCOM WA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV

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KDMX [151321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 151321
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
720 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0542 AM SNOW 2 SSW GRIMES 41.63N 93.81W
01/15/2010 E0.3 INCH POLK IA BROADCAST MEDIA

AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF NEW SNOW COATING THE
GROUND NEAR DOUGLAS AND 142ND. FROM KCCI.

0636 AM SNOW CRESTON 41.06N 94.36W
01/15/2010 E0.8 INCH UNION IA BROADCAST MEDIA

ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF NEW SNOW. FROM WHOTV.

&&

$$

PODRAZIK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151254
SWODY1
SPC AC 151252

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY SAT. LARGELY ZONAL
JET WILL PERSIST OVER THE NRN TIER OF STATES...WITH MORE
HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED SRN BRANCH CONTINUING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST...MEXICO...AND THE NRN/WRN GULF OF MEXICO. APPROACH OF
SRN STREAM IMPULSE NOW NEAR 30N/137W...AND CONTINUED SSE MOTION OF
DISTURBANCE OVER THE CNTRL HI PLNS...SHOULD FORCE UPR LOW NOW OVER
NRN MEXICO TO EVOLVE INTO A MORE PROGRESSIVE/MORE
MERIDIONALLY-ORIENTED FEATURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. BY 12Z SAT...UPR
PATTERN SHOULD EXHIBIT AN ELONGATED TROUGH ARCING FROM WRN OK SSE
ACROSS THE MIDDLE TX GULF CST INTO THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO.

AT THE SFC...INVERTED TROUGH NOW PRESENT E OF BRO/CRP LIKELY WILL
REMAIN OFFSHORE. COUPLED WITH N/S ELONGATION AND SLOW PROGRESSION
OF MEXICAN UPR LOW...DIFFUSE SFC CIRCULATION NOW OVER DEEP S TX
SHOULD REFORM E AND...LATER...NE ACROSS THE NWRN GULF LATER
TODAY/TONIGHT. THE SFC LOW SHOULD BE LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES S OF
HUM /IN SE LA/ BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...S TX AND FAR SRN LA...
OVERNIGHT TSTMS HAVE PERSISTED ALONG AND E OF AFOREMENTIONED
INVERTED TROUGH OFF THE S TX GULF CST. MERGING COLD POOLS WITH THE
STORMS HAVE ALLOWED THE ACTIVITY TO FORWARD PROPAGATE EWD INTO
GULF...AWAY FROM THE CST. SEE NO REASON WHY THIS TREND SHOULD NOT
CONTINUE. THIS SETUP SHOULD KEEP THE MOST STRONGLY-MODIFIED GULF
AIR /WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S/...AND THE WIND PROFILES MOST
FAVORABLE FOR LOW-LVL STORM ROTATION...OFFSHORE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE STORMS LIKELY WILL MOVE/DEVELOP NNE ACROSS THE GULF TOWARD THE
CNTRL/ERN LA CST TONIGHT AND EARLY SAT. BUT ENELY ISALLOBARIC
NEAR-SFC FLOW ...AND ASSOCIATED LOW-LVL CAA...SUGGEST THAT ANY
ACTIVITY NEARING THE LA CST WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT ELEVATED.
THUS...WHILE A SPOT OR TWO OF HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT...SVR
POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW.

IN THE MEANTIME...MODEST DAYTIME HEATING AND MID LVL COOL
ADVECTION/ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE EWD MOVEMENT OF UPR VORT NOW S
OF THE TX BIG BEND MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SCTD TSTMS THIS AFTN
OVER THE LWR RIO GRANDE VLY OF DEEP S TX. COUPLED WITH MOIST LOW
LVL ENELY /UPSLOPE/ FLOW...SETUP MAY YIELD A STRONGER STORM OR TWO
WITH A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SVR HAIL/WIND.

..CORFIDI.. 01/15/2010

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KSEW [151246]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151246
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
446 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HURRICANE RIDGE 48.00N 123.48W
01/15/2010 M81.00 MPH CLALLAM WA OTHER FEDERAL

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV

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KHGX [151205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 151205
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
604 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 AM FLASH FLOOD PALACIOS 28.71N 96.24W
01/15/2010 MATAGORDA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ST MARYS ST...VIETNAM ST...AND ST JOSEPHS STREET
IMPASSABLE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1000001

$$

PLEWIS

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KSEW [151023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 151023
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
223 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N OAK HARBOR 48.39N 122.62W
01/14/2010 M48.00 MPH ISLAND WA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 39 MPH FROM THE SOUTHEAST.

0217 AM HIGH SUST WINDS HURRICANE RIDGE 48.00N 123.48W
01/15/2010 M60.00 MPH CLALLAM WA OTHER FEDERAL

SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 86 MPH.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 150946
SWOD48
SPC AC 150945

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 181200Z - 231200Z

...DISCUSSION...

THE ECMWF...GFS AND MREF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD
AGREEMENT...PARTICULARLY WITH EVOLUTION OF SRN BRANCH OF WLYS
THROUGH AT LEAST DAY 7. VERY ACTIVE SRN STREAM IS FORECAST ACROSS
THE SRN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY AS STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET BECOMES
ESTABLISHED.

LATE DAY 5 INTO DAY 6...INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE SRN PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DEAMPLIFYING AS IT EJECTS
THROUGH THE MS...TN AND OH VALLEYS WEDNESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BE
FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY AN UPSTREAM IMPULSE. AXIS OF PARTIALLY MODIFIED
GULF AIR SHOULD RETURN NWD FROM ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY
BENEATH STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT...LIKELY RESULTING IN DESTABILIZATION. STORMS WILL PROBABLY
DEVELOP WITHIN ZONE OF INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT AND WARM ADVECTION
ACROSS ERN TX TUESDAY NIGHT AND SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE LOWER MS
VALLEY WEDNESDAY. PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME IS DEGREE OF
SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE RETURN THAT WILL BE AVAILABLE
FOR A HIGHER END SEVERE EVENT. PREFER TO WAIT FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER
SET OF MODEL RUNS BEFORE INTRODUCING SEVERE PROBABILITIES. IF MODELS
REMAIN CONSISTENT...A SEVERE THREAT AREA MIGHT BE INTRODUCED IN THE
NEXT 4-8 OUTLOOK FROM ERN TX THROUGH PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY
AND THE GULF COASTAL REGION FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

DAY 7...SEVERE THREAT MAY SHIFT INTO THE FL PENINSULA THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN A HIGHER END SEVERE EVENT IS NOT SUFFICIENT
TO INTRODUCE A THREAT AREA AT THIS TIME.

..DIAL.. 01/15/2010

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 150832
SWODY3
SPC AC 150830

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...SYNOPSIS...

NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT UPPER JET WILL
EJECT NEWD THROUGH THE CAROLINAS AND MID ATLANTIC REGION. INITIAL
OCCLUDED LOW SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS NNEWD THROUGH THE TN AND OH
VALLEYS...WHILE SECONDARY CYCLONE DEEPENS NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE AND WITHIN EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET.
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH THE ERN CAROLINAS. COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE EAST AND OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD SUNDAY EVENING. TRAILING
PORTIONS OF FRONT WILL CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH THE FL PENINSULA DURING
THE DAY...REACHING THE SRN TIP OF THE PENINSULA OVERNIGHT.

...ERN CAROLINAS...

LOW 60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS MAY ADVECT INLAND SOUTH OF WARM
FRONT ACROSS THE ERN CAROLINAS. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
VERY MARGINAL DUE TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WITHIN ZONE OF DEEP
ASCENT ALONG WARM CONVEYOR BELT. SHALLOW PRE-FRONTAL LOW TOPPED
CONVECTION SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS EARLY SUNDAY.
ACTIVITY WILL BE EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WITH LARGE
LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY
REMAIN TOO MARGINAL FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. SOME POTENTIAL
FOR PARTIAL CLEARING WILL EXIST IN DRY-SLOT REGION IN WAKE OF
PRE-FRONTAL STORMS AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...TENDENCY WILL
BE FOR LOW-LEVEL WINDS TO VEER IN WAKE OF INITIAL CONVECTIVE BAND AS
SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS COMMENCES. THIS SHOULD LIMIT FURTHER BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING AND...IN CONJUNCTION WITH WEAK LAPSE
RATES...MAINTAIN VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ANY SHALLOW CONVECTION
DEVELOPING ALONG FRONT SHOULD HAVE LOW SEVERE POTENTIAL.

...FL...

PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS THE CNTRL FL
PENINSULA EARLY SUNDAY. ACTIVITY WILL BE EMBEDED WITHIN STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED STORMS. SOME THREAT WILL
EXIST FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND...BUT CONCERN IS THAT THE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN TOO MARGINAL FOR A MORE ROBUST
SEVERE EVENT GIVEN LIMITED DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL. THE STRONGER
DEEP FORCING AND PRIMARY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH OF
THE PENINSULA DURING THE DAY...SUGGESTING OVERALL THREAT SHOULD
REMAIN LOW AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO SOUTH FL WHERE SLIGHTLY GREATER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL EXIST.

..DIAL.. 01/15/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 150649
SWODY2
SPC AC 150648

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE GFS OUTLIER SOLUTION...THE OPERATIONAL
NAM...NAM-KF AND ECMWF ARE SIMILAR IN HANDLING LARGE SRN STREAM
UPPER LOW THIS PERIOD. A STRONG UPPER JET DROPPING SWD THROUGH THE
BAJA REGION ALONG WRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER TROUGH SITUATED OVER NRN
MEXICO WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH MEXICO FRIDAY BEFORE EMERGING OVER THE
NWRN GULF LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. THIS FEATURE SHOULD
THEN EJECT NEWD THROUGH THE NRN GULF AND INTO THE SERN STATES
SATURDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
THE N-CNTRL GULF EARLY SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH EJECTING UPPER
JET WILL OCCLUDE AS IT LIFTS NWD THROUGH AL OVERNIGHT. BY THE END OF
THIS PERIOD THE WARM FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM COASTAL SC SWWD
THROUGH SRN GA AND SERN AL WHERE IT WILL INTERSECT A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL EXTEND SWWD THROUGH THE WRN FL PENINSULA AND INTO THE NERN
GULF.

...FL THROUGH SRN GA AND ERN SC...

GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE OH VALLEY TO MID-ATLANTIC
AND DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN ELY LOW-LEVEL
TRAJECTORIES DURING THE DAY OVER MOST OF THE SERN STATES. AN
EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS FL WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO SSELY BY LATE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW DEEPENS
AND LIFTS NWD INTO AL. THE ELY LOW-LEVEL WIND COMPONENT WILL RESULT
IN TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM CP AIR AND SHOULD LIMIT OR DELAY
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MUCH OF FL UNTIL SATURDAY
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WHEN DEWPOINTS MAY RISE INTO THE LOW TO MID
60S SOUTH OF WARM FRONT. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF S FL...DIABATIC
WARMING IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED DURING THE DAY. THESE FACTORS
ALONG WITH WEAK LAPSE RATES SUGGEST MLCAPE WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW
500 J/KG. FARTHER NORTH ACROSS GA AND SERN SC...THE DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT DURING THE DAY
SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION WILL LIKELY REMAIN VERY
LIMITED.

PRE-FRONTAL ZONE OF STORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG THE WARM CONVEYOR
BELT OVER THE CNTRL GULF EARLY SATURDAY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT
ENEWD DURING THE DAY REACHING THE FL PANHANDLE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND SRN GA AND THE FL PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. DEEP VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50+ KT...FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES. GIVEN EXPECTED 60+ KT LOW LEVEL
JET...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AS STORMS
PROGRESS EWD THROUGH FL AND SRN GA OVERNIGHT. LARGE HODOGRAPHS WILL
ALSO SUPPORT A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO.
PRESENT CONCERN IS THAT INSTABILITY MAY BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED FOR A
MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED...AND IF IT BEGINS TO APPEAR MORE INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP
THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED THEN AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK MAY BE
NEEDED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..DIAL.. 01/15/2010

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KEWX [150540]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 150540
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1140 PM CST THU JAN 14 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1120 PM FLOOD 8 N PLEASANTON 29.08N 98.49W
01/14/2010 ATASCOSA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 536 TO FM 1784 IN NORTHERN ATASCOSA IS CLOSED DUE TO
WATER ON THE ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000003

$$

MCDONALD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150523
SWODY1
SPC AC 150522

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 PM CST THU JAN 14 2010

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT-FLOW PATTERN NOW PREVAILS OVER CENTRAL/WRN CONUS BECAUSE OF
BROAD MID-UPPER CYCLONE NOW ANALYZED OVER NRN MEX. NRN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- EVIDENT ATTM IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER WY
AND ERN MT -- IS FCST TO TURN SSEWD ACROSS CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...REACHING PORTIONS SRN KS...WRN OK AND TX PANHANDLE BY
16/12Z. THOUGH REASONABLY CONSISTENT IN TRACK...CONSIDERABLE
VARIATION EXISTS AMONG OPERATIONAL/DETERMINISTIC MODELS REGARDING
INTENSITY OF THIS PERTURBATION BY END OF PERIOD. 15/00Z WRF
EXHIBITS DISCRETE AND NEARLY CLOSED LOW...IN AGREEMENT WITH PRIOR
ECMWF. HOWEVER...MOST SREF MEMBERS...ALONG WITH LATEST OPERATIONAL
SPECTRAL...FCST OPEN-WAVE TROUGH WITH ONLY WEAK EMBEDDED LOW AT
BEST. CONSENSUS SOLUTION WEIGHTED TOWARD SREF RESEMBLES OPERATIONAL
SPECTRAL THROUGH PERIOD...ALTHOUGH SPECTRAL BECOMES MORE OF AN
OUTLIER AFTER THIS PERIOD.

AS GREAT PLAINS TROUGH APCHS SRN HIGH PLAINS...MEX CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO PIVOT/REDEVELOP NEWD ACROSS NERN MEX TOWARD LOWER/MIDDLE
TX COAST...SURROUNDED BY BROAD BELT OF CYCLONIC FLOW ARCHING ACROSS
WRN/CENTRAL MEX AND WRN GULF. AS THIS OCCURS...SFC PRESSURE FALLS
NOW OCCURRING OVER LEE SIDE OF SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL ARE EXPECTED TO
CONSOLIDATE INTO DISTINCT SFC CYCLONE OVER LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY
AREA BETWEEN 15/12Z-15/18Z. LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES EWD THEN
ENEWD ACROSS NWRN GULF...POSSIBLY OCCLUDING WITH TRIPLE-POINT
CYCLONE DEVELOPING S OR SE OF LA COAST. EVERY PROG KEEPS LOW AND
ATTACHED WARM FRONT WELL S OF CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION UNTIL AFTER
DAY-1 PERIOD.

...S TX...
MRGL/CONDITIONAL TORNADO AND SVR GUST POTENTIAL EXPECTED TO CARRY
OVER FROM END OF PRIOR OUTLOOK PERIOD INVOF LOWER TX COAST BEFORE
ABOUT 15/18Z. COOLING ALOFT AND RELATED STEEPENING OF LAPSE RATES
OVER THIS REGION DURING LATE MORNING/MIDDAY HOURS WILL KEEP MLCAPES
AROUND 1000 J/KG...BUT WITH MORE VERTICALLY COMPRESSED BUOYANT
PROFILES THAN AT 15/12Z. POTENTIAL BRIEFLY MAY EXIST FOR ISOLATED
HAIL NEAR SVR LEVELS. THEN ANY REMAINING SVR THREAT SHOULD SHIFT
OFFSHORE WITH DEEPENING SFC LOW...THOUGH SVR POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE
CONSIDERABLY ACROSS OPEN GULF WATERS...OUTSIDE OUTLOOK DOMAIN.

OVER LAND...DURING FIRST FEW HOURS OF PERIOD...ENLARGED LOW LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS WILL BE PRESENT IN SFC WARM FRONTAL ZONE S OF CRP...INVOF
PADRE ISLAND AND IN REMAINING WARM SECTOR AIR ACROSS LOWEST VALLEY
REGION...WITH 0-1 KM SRH 150-250 J/KG POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...KINEMATIC
PROFILES WILL INCLUDE BACKING AND SOMEWHAT WEAKENING FLOW WITH
HEIGHT FROM LOW-MIDDLE LEVELS OVER THIS AREA...INDICATING POTENTIAL
FOR MOSTLY LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE AND LIMITED DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR...I.E. EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDE LESS THAN 30 KT IN MOST FCST
SOUNDINGS.

..EDWARDS.. 01/15/2010

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KBOI [150521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 150521
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1021 PM MST THU JAN 14 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM DENSE FOG 4 SSW CALDWELL 43.61N 116.71W
01/14/2010 CANYON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY 100 YARDS.

&&

$$

BW

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