Thursday, April 22, 2010

KGLD [230337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 230337
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
937 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 S QUINTER 38.99N 100.23W
04/22/2010 GOVE KS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER CASTLE ROCK ROAD 5 MILES SOUTH OF QUINTER.
REPORTS OF ISOLATED FLOODING IN QUINTER AND GRINNELL.
PARTS OF OLD HIGHWAY 40 FLOODED BETWEEN GRINNELL AND
GRAINFIELD.


&&

$$

DR

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KPUB [230336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 230336
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
935 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0102 PM HAIL 1 NE FORT LYON 38.11N 103.14W
04/22/2010 M1.25 INCH BENT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0108 PM TORNADO 6 SE LAS ANIMAS 38.01N 103.15W
04/22/2010 BENT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

CORRECTED TIME OF TOUCHDOWN 108 PM MDT.

0110 PM TORNADO 4 ENE LAS ANIMAS 38.09N 103.16W
04/22/2010 BENT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

CONDENSATION CONE ON GROUND.

0115 PM TORNADO 5 WSW JOHN MARTIN RESER 38.04N 103.12W
04/22/2010 BENT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0148 PM TORNADO 7 NNW HASTY 38.21N 102.99W
04/22/2010 BENT CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0151 PM TORNADO 8 N HASTY 38.23N 102.98W
04/22/2010 BENT CO NWS EMPLOYEE

WELL DEFINED CONE ON THE GROUND.

0211 PM HAIL 5 SW EADS 38.43N 102.84W
04/22/2010 M1.00 INCH KIOWA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0221 PM HAIL 4 NNW GRANADA 38.12N 102.34W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH PROWERS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0232 PM TORNADO 7 W SWEETWATER RESERVOI 38.36N 102.88W
04/22/2010 KIOWA CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0236 PM TORNADO 7 WNW SWEETWATER RESERV 38.40N 102.87W
04/22/2010 KIOWA CO NWS EMPLOYEE

TWO TORNADOES ON THE GROUND.

0247 PM TORNADO 5 SW EADS 38.44N 102.85W
04/22/2010 KIOWA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0249 PM TORNADO 3 SW EADS 38.45N 102.82W
04/22/2010 KIOWA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR COUNTY ROAD 36 SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 96

0254 PM TORNADO 2 W EADS 38.48N 102.82W
04/22/2010 KIOWA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR COUNTY ROAD 36 CROSSING HIGHWAY 96 MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST.

0311 PM HAIL HASWELL 38.45N 103.16W
04/22/2010 M0.88 INCH KIOWA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0318 PM HAIL HASWELL 38.45N 103.16W
04/22/2010 E1.25 INCH KIOWA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0320 PM HAIL HASWELL 38.45N 103.16W
04/22/2010 E1.75 INCH KIOWA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0814 PM HAIL 4 E COLORADO SPRINGS 38.83N 104.75W
04/22/2010 M0.88 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0816 PM HAIL 5 ESE COLORADO SPRINGS 38.81N 104.74W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0829 PM HAIL 4 N PETERSON AFB 38.89N 104.69W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0833 PM HAIL 5 E COLORADO SPRINGS 38.84N 104.72W
04/22/2010 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO AMATEUR RADIO

0924 PM HAIL 4 NNW SCHRIEVER AFB 38.85N 104.54W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0935 PM HAIL 3 E FALCON 38.93N 104.57W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JCERU

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KPUB [230335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 230335
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
935 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 PM HAIL 3 E FALCON 38.93N 104.57W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JCERU

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KLUB [230334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230334
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1034 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1031 PM HAIL CROSBYTON 33.64N 101.24W
04/22/2010 E0.88 INCH CROSBY TX PUBLIC

REPORTED AT STRIPES CONVENIENCE STORE


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000076

$$

MCONDER

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KDDC [230326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 230326
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1026 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1022 PM HAIL WAKEENEY 39.02N 99.88W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH TREGO KS EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

MRUSSELL

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KPUB [230324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 230324
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
924 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 PM HAIL 4 NNW SCHRIEVER AFB 38.85N 104.54W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KT

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KPIH [230323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 230323
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
923 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM SNOW 1 W VICTOR 43.60N 111.13W
04/22/2010 M1.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CHATTINGS

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KLUB [230319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230319
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1019 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0956 PM FLOOD TAHOKA 33.16N 101.79W
04/22/2010 LYNN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE U.S. HIGHWAY 87 UNDERPASS IN TAHOKA HAS BEEN CLOSED
DUE TO FLOODING


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000075

$$

MCONDER

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KLUB [230318]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230318
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1018 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1017 PM HAIL DICKENS 33.62N 100.84W
04/22/2010 E1.25 INCH DICKENS TX SKYWARN SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000074

$$

MCQUEEN

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KPIH [230317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 230317
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
917 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0916 PM SNOW DUBOIS 44.17N 112.23W
04/22/2010 E0.0 INCH CLARK ID NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS GRASSY SURFACES COVERED - ROADS JUST
WET


&&

$$

CHATTINGS

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KGLD [230316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 230316
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
916 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM FLASH FLOOD GRINNELL 39.12N 100.63W
04/22/2010 GOVE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 3.00 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 7 PM CDT. ALSO
REPORTED STREET FLOODING.


&&

$$

MLAMMERS

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KOUN [230314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 230314
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1014 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM HAIL HAMMON 35.63N 99.38W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH ROGER MILLS OK TRAINED SPOTTER

A WIND GUST OF 60 MPH WAS ALSO REPORTED.


&&

$$

TY/AL

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KMAF [230313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 230313
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1013 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 PM HAIL 2 E ANDREWS 32.32N 102.51W
04/22/2010 E1.75 INCH ANDREWS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED 2 MILES EAST OF ANDREWS.


&&

$$

CHRIS.DANIELS

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KMAF [230311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 230311
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1011 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0933 PM HAIL 8 SSE ANDREWS 32.21N 102.50W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH ANDREWS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED 8 MILES SSE OF ANDREWS.


&&

$$

CHRIS.DANIELS

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KGLD [230309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 230309
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
909 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0908 PM FLASH FLOOD GRAINFIELD 39.11N 100.47W
04/22/2010 GOVE KS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER HIGHWAY 40 AT GRAINFIELD. KDOT IS PREPARING TO
CLOSE HIGHWAY AT FLOODED LOCATION.


&&

$$

DR

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KLUB [230309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230309
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1009 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1007 PM HAIL SOUTHLAND 33.36N 101.55W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH GARZA TX CO-OP OBSERVER

MOSTLY PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL... A FEW STONES TO
QUARTER SIZED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000073

$$

MCQUEEN

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KDDC [230257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 230257
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
957 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W PROTECTION 37.20N 99.50W
04/22/2010 E65.00 MPH COMANCHE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND SPEEDS ESTIMATED BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH.

0940 PM HAIL 1 W PROTECTION 37.20N 99.50W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH COMANCHE KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

18

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KLUB [230257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230257
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
957 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM HAIL 9 S CHILDRESS 34.29N 100.25W
04/22/2010 E1.75 INCH COTTLE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

DELAYED REPORT-HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 83 ALONG
COTTLE-CHILDRESS COUNTY LINE


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000072

$$

MCONDER

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KMAF [230249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 230249
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
949 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 PM HAIL ANDREWS 32.32N 102.55W
04/22/2010 E0.88 INCH ANDREWS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN ANDREWS.


&&

$$

CHRIS.DANIELS

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KSGF [230247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 230247
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
947 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM HAIL 6 SW WAYNESVILLE 37.77N 92.28W
04/22/2010 M1.00 INCH PULASKI MO PUBLIC

REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA


&&

$$

KARDELL

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KLUB [230245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230245
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
945 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0833 PM TORNADO 4 SSE CEE VEE 34.18N 100.41W
04/22/2010 COTTLE TX STORM CHASER

SPOTTER REPORTS LARGE WEDGE TORNADO. SPOTTER IS 2 MILES
WEST WNW OF CEE VEE


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000071

$$

MCONDER

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KAMA [230245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KAMA 230245
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
941 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0248 PM HAIL GUYMON 36.69N 101.48W
04/22/2010 E0.75 INCH TEXAS OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0313 PM HAIL 1 NNE GUYMON 36.70N 101.48W
04/22/2010 M0.88 INCH TEXAS OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0331 PM HAIL 7 NE OPTIMA 36.83N 101.26W
04/22/2010 E0.88 INCH TEXAS OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0340 PM HAIL 4 ESE GRUVER 36.23N 101.34W
04/22/2010 E0.88 INCH SHERMAN TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0347 PM HAIL 4 ESE GRUVER 36.23N 101.34W
04/22/2010 E1.75 INCH SHERMAN TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0410 PM HAIL 10 NNE SPEARMAN 36.33N 101.13W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH TEXAS OK TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL OCCURRED AT THE PALO DURO RESERVOIR.

0419 PM HAIL 10 NNE SPEARMAN 36.33N 101.13W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH TEXAS OK TRAINED SPOTTER

PALO DURO RESERVOIR.

0430 PM HAIL SPEARMAN 36.20N 101.19W
04/22/2010 E1.25 INCH HANSFORD TX EMERGENCY MNGR

0433 PM HAIL SPEARMAN 36.20N 101.19W
04/22/2010 E2.75 INCH HANSFORD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0529 PM HAIL 6 E GROOM 35.20N 101.00W
04/22/2010 M2.75 INCH GRAY TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0529 PM HAIL 3 E GROOM 35.20N 101.05W
04/22/2010 M2.50 INCH GRAY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0533 PM HAIL 25 W MIAMI 35.69N 101.09W
04/22/2010 E1.50 INCH ROBERTS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL STARTED AROUND 1633 CST AND LASTED FOR ABOUT 10
MINUTES.

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W AMARILLO 35.20N 101.87W
04/22/2010 POTTER TX PUBLIC

LARGE TREE KNOCKED OVER BY THE THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

0556 PM HAIL PERRYTON 36.39N 100.80W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH OCHILTREE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0559 PM HAIL 3 SE GROOM 35.17N 101.07W
04/22/2010 E1.75 INCH DONLEY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

GROOM FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED THE HAIL NEAR BOYDSTON
ROAD AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 70.

0636 PM HAIL 7 E GROOM 35.20N 100.98W
04/22/2010 E1.75 INCH GRAY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0705 PM TSTM WND GST ALANREED 35.21N 100.73W
04/22/2010 E60 MPH GRAY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0711 PM HAIL 7 N ELMWOOD 36.72N 100.52W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH BEAVER OK EMERGENCY MNGR

FOUR INCHES OF WATER ON THE ROAD.

0808 PM HAIL 5 NE BOOKER 36.51N 100.48W
04/22/2010 M0.88 INCH BEAVER OK EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1000337 AMA1000338 AMA1000339 AMA1000340 AMA1000341
AMA1000342 AMA1000343 AMA1000345 AMA1000344 AMA1000346 AMA1000347
AMA1000348 AMA1000350 AMA1000349 AMA1000351 AMA1000352 AMA1000353
AMA1000354 AMA1000355

$$

KJS

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KSGF [230245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 230245
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
945 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0727 PM HAIL 5 SE STOUTLAND 37.76N 92.45W
04/22/2010 M0.50 INCH LACLEDE MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KARDELL

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KLUB [230242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230242
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
942 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 PM TORNADO 1 N SWEARINGEN 34.16N 100.15W
04/22/2010 COTTLE TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

REPORTED BY PADUCAH FIRE DEPARTMENT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000070

$$

MCQUEEN

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 78

WWUS20 KWNS 230238
SEL8
SPC WW 230238
TXZ000-230900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 78
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
935 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 935 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BIG
SPRING TEXAS TO 65 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DRYDEN TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM IN THE PAST HOUR ALONG MERGING
COLD FRONT/DRY LINE IN SW TX...W OF MAF. AREA VWP AND SFC DATA
SUGGEST THAT RESULTING LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS GIVEN /1/ INCREASING MOISTURE
/PW APPROACHING INCH/ IN SSELY NEAR-SFC FLOW E OF FRONT/DRY
LINE.../2/ GLANCING INFLUENCE OF UPR DISTURBANCE MOVING NNE ACROSS
NM...AND /3/ PRESENCE OF STRONG WSWLY DEEP SHEAR. LARGE HAIL...DMGG
WINDS...AND ISOLD TORNADOES MAY OCCUR AS THE STORMS ORGANIZE INTO
BROKEN BANDS

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...CORFIDI

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KOUN [230238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 230238
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
938 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0902 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 35.61N 99.68W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH ROGER MILLS OK LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

TY/JB/AL

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KGLD [230235]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 230235
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
835 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0821 PM TORNADO 13 SE GOVE 38.82N 100.33W
04/22/2010 GOVE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERRIFF REPORTED BRIEF TORNADO 2 MILES SOUTH OF
INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD I AND COUNTY ROAD 62.


&&

$$

MLAMMERS

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KPUB [230234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 230234
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
833 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0833 PM HAIL 5 E COLORADO SPRINGS 38.84N 104.72W
04/22/2010 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

JCERU

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KEPZ [230231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 230231
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
830 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0534 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KDMN 32.26N 107.70W
04/22/2010 M58.00 MPH LUNA NM ASOS

PEAK GUST 50 KNOTS AT DEMING MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

0700 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KELP 31.80N 106.40W
04/22/2010 M58.00 MPH EL PASO NM ASOS

PEAK GUST AT EL PASO INTL AIRPORT.

0759 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SSW HIGH ROLLS 32.94N 105.84W
04/22/2010 M56.00 MPH OTERO NM MESONET

GUST FROM FAST-MOVING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. ELEV 6841
FT.


&&

$$

HARDIMAN

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KLUB [230230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230230
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
929 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 PM TORNADO 2 NW SWEARINGEN 34.17N 100.17W
04/22/2010 COTTLE TX STORM CHASER


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000069

$$

MCQUEEN

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KPUB [230229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 230229
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
829 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0829 PM HAIL 4 N PETERSON AFB 38.89N 104.69W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JCERU

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KLUB [230221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230221
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
921 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 PM HAIL 8 W TAHOKA 33.16N 101.93W
04/22/2010 E1.00 INCH LYNN TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED 7-8 MILES WEST OF
TAHOKA ALONG US-380


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000068

$$

MCONDER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0343

ACUS11 KWNS 230217
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230217
TXZ000-230245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0343
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0917 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PART OF SW TX INTO THE WRN TX HILL COUNTRY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 230217Z - 230245Z

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS AND A WATCH ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PART OF SW TX
INTO THE WRN TX HILL COUNTRY.

AT 02Z...REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN INK
AND MAF WHERE THE DRY LINE HAS RETREATED WWD AND WAS MERGING WITH A
SSEWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT. AIR MASS ALONG AND E OF THIS ACTIVITY
REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IN EXCESS OF
50 KT. CONVERGENCE IN ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EWD OVERNIGHT WITH DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY/SHEAR SUPPORTING STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

..PETERS.. 04/23/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 29650234 30520309 32060285 32099997 31249908 29969954
29520047 29690132 29650234

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KPUB [230217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 230217
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
817 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0816 PM HAIL 5 ESE COLORADO SPRINGS 38.81N 104.74W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KT

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KLUB [230216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 230216
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
916 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 PM TORNADO 6 W SWEARINGEN 34.15N 100.25W
04/22/2010 COTTLE TX METEOROLOGIST

STARTED AT 905 PM. LIFTED BRIEFLY. BUT STILL ON THE
GROUND AT 911 PM.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000067

$$

MCQUEEN

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KPUB [230216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 230216
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
816 PM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0814 PM HAIL 4 E COLORADO SPRINGS 38.83N 104.75W
04/22/2010 M0.88 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JCERU

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KDDC [230205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 230205
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
905 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0831 PM TSTM WND GST 4 W GARDEN CITY 37.97N 100.94W
04/22/2010 E60.00 MPH FINNEY KS PUBLIC

0831 PM HAIL 4 W GARDEN CITY 37.97N 100.94W
04/22/2010 E0.75 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC

0831 PM HAIL HOLCOMB 37.99N 100.99W
04/22/2010 E0.88 INCH FINNEY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

GERARD

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 74

WWUS20 KWNS 230203
SEL4
SPC WW 230203
COZ000-KSZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 74
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
903 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 74 ISSUED AT 135 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

COLORADO
KANSAS

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KSGF [230201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 230201
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
900 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0712 PM HAIL SLEEPER 37.76N 92.59W
04/22/2010 M1.50 INCH LACLEDE MO PUBLIC

REPORT RELAYED TROUGH MEDIA... TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED
FROM RADAR


&&

$$

KARDELL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 230056
SWODY1
SPC AC 230055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS SWRN KS...ERN PANHANDLE
OF TX...NW TX...WRN OK...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ELSEWHERE IN ARC FROM SW TX
ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL OK TO NERN CO...AND SEWD ACROSS MUCH OF
WRN/CENTRAL/SRN KS....

..SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT-FLOW PATTERN ALOFT IS DOMINATED BY LARGE CYCLONIC GYRE
COVERING MUCH OF SWRN CONUS...INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND NWRN MEX.
SEVERAL SMALLER-SCALE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE ROTATING AROUND THIS
CYCLONE...INCLUDING PERTURBATION NOW EVIDENT OVER SERN AZ. LATTER
FEATURE SHOULD EJECT ACROSS NM OVERNIGHT...MOVING TO ERN CO BY 12Z
AND EVOLVING INTO DEEPEST OF TWO LOWS EMBEDDED IN 500 MB CYCLONE.
TRAILING LOW SHOULD REACH CENTRAL/SRN AZ BY END OF PERIOD.

23Z SFC MAP DEPICTED CYCLONE BETWEEN LHX-LIC...WHICH SHOULD DEEPEN
OVER SERN CO AND MOVE LITTLE THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD. WARM FRONT
-- NOW EXTENDING ESEWD FROM LOW OVER SRN 1-2 TIERS OF KS COUNTIES --
IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NWD TO NEAR I-70 OVERNIGHT...LOCALLY MODULATED
BY CONVECTIVE/OUTFLOW PROCESSES. COLD FRONT ARCS SEWD FROM LOW
ACROSS TX PANHANDLE E OF AMA -- JUST BEHIND MAIN BAND OF CONVECTION
NOW PRESENT OVER ERN PANHANDLE -- THEN SSWWD NEAR LBB AND ACROSS
SERN NM. DRYLINE -- ANALYZED INITIALLY FROM FRONT NEAR LBB SSWWD
BETWEEN MAF-FST...WILL RETREAT NWWD BEFORE BEING OVERTAKEN FROM N-S
BY FRONT THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD...AS FRONT PROCEEDS TO 12Z
POSITION NEAR DRT...MWL...CSM...GLD.

..CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS TO SW TX...CENTRAL OK...CENTRAL KS...
SCATTERED-NUMEROUS STG AND SVR TSTMS -- INCLUDING SEVERAL SUPERCELLS
PRODUCING VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL AND INTERMITTENT TORNADOES -- ARE
PRESENT E OF COLD FRONT/DRYLINE AND NE OF SFC LOW FROM ERN CO TO TX
PANHANDLE...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING SWD TOWARD PERMIAN
BASIN. PRIMARY TORNADO/SIGNIFICANT-SEVERE HAIL RISK IS
ONGOING...REF SPC WWS 74-76 AND RELATED MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS FOR
LATEST ON NEAR-TERM SVR SITUATION IN AND NEAR THOSE WWS.

AS CONVECTION INCREASES IN COVERAGE THROUGH REMAINDER EVENING FROM
WARM FRONT SWD TO AREA E OF DRYLINE IN W TX...FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME
MORE MERIDIONAL IN ITS ENVIRONMENT...AS GEOMETRY OF KINEMATIC FIELDS
ALOFT ADJUSTS TO APCHG UPPER VORTEX. THIS ALREADY APPEARS TO BE
CONTRIBUTING TO LINEAR COALESCING OF EARLIER SUPERCELLS IN ERN TX
PANHANDLE...AND WILL SUPPORT MORE UPSCALE COVERAGE OF LINEAR
STRUCTURE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN QUITE
FAVORABLE FOR SVR...WITH 50-60 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDE OVER
BROAD AREA. HODOGRAPHS WILL BE ENLARGED BY STRENGTHENING LLJ FOR
PARCELS THAT WILL REMAIN SFC-BASED OR NEARLY SO FOR SEVERAL MORE
HOURS...DURING GRADUAL INCREASE IN MLCINH. EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL
BE POSSIBLE...AS WELL AS DAMAGING LEWP/BOW ECHOES...ALONG WITH
DISCRETE STORMS AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE BAND AND NEAR ITS SRN END. LATE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...OVERALL MAX HAIL SIZES SHOULD
LESSEN...BUT WITH DENSE PRODUCTION OF AT LEAST MRGL SVR HAIL STILL
POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND AND A FEW TORNADOES.

.EDWARDS.. 04/23/2010

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 76

WWUS20 KWNS 230050
SEL6
SPC WW 230050
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-230800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 76
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EAST CENTRAL COLORADO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
A SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF DODGE CITY KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 75...

DISCUSSION...SUSTAINED TSTMS AND POSSIBLY SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO LATE EVE ACROSS WRN/CNTRL KS...WHERE LOW LVL WAA WILL
INCREASE ATOP COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER IN WRN KS...AND ATOP SHALLOW
WNW/ESE FRONT IN S CNTRL KS. ALTHOUGH INCREASING CINH LIKELY WILL
LIMIT STORM COVERAGE...COMBINATION OF INCREASING WIND FIELD/MOISTURE
INFLOW AND RESIDUAL SUSTAINED/ROTATING STRUCTURES SUGGESTS POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLD TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.


..CORFIDI

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0341

ACUS11 KWNS 222351
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222351
OKZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-230045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0341
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO/WRN KS AND FAR SWRN NEB

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 74...

VALID 222351Z - 230045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 74 CONTINUES.

AT 2330Z...GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT OVER ERN CO/WRN KS EXISTS
ALONG AND E OF AN SPD TO LAA TO AKO LINE. AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF WRN KS AS THE 02Z EXPIRATION OF WW 74
APPROACHES. IN THE MEAN TIME...SHORT TERM THREAT FOR SVR MAY SPREAD
INTO FAR SWRN NEB.

TWO SEPARATE CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS...POTENTIALLY TORNADIC...EXIST
NW OF GCK IN WRN KS...AND INVOF ITR IN ERN CO. THIS ACTIVITY IS
GENERALLY MOVING NNE AT AROUND 25 KT...AND WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH
THE NRN EDGE OF INSTABILITY GRADIENT DURING THE NEXT HR OR
TWO...WHICH IS ALIGNED FROM CENTRAL KS NWWD INTO NERN CO AT 23Z.
SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ADVECTION AND ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR ACROSS WRN INTO
NRN KS DURING THE EVENING/NIGHT. THIS MAY AID IN SUSTAINING SVR
ACTIVITY IN KS PAST SUNSET...WITH NEW DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLY EMANATING
OUT OF THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS AS SECOND UPPER IMPULSE
APPROACHES THE REGION BY 06Z. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INTO THE NIGHT
CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF NEAR-SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY
ACROSS WRN KS...WITH SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS POSING
A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A FEW
TORNADOES. THUS...PORTIONS OF WRN KS MAY REQUIRE AN ADDITIONAL WW
NEAR 02Z.

.GARNER.. 04/22/2010

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON 40360439 40350081 36999964 36980309 40360439

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0338

ACUS11 KWNS 222157
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222156
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-222230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0338
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KS TO SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222156Z - 222230Z

ONE OR TWO WATCHES ARE BEING CONSIDERED ACROSS SRN KS INTO SWRN MO
AND PERHAPS PARTS OF FAR NRN OK.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A COUPLE OF ONGOING TSTM CLUSTERS
EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL MO W/SWWD INTO ERN KS...WITH ADDITIONAL
STORMS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SWRN FLANK OF THIS ACTIVITY
IN ERN/SERN KS. THE COOLING/STABILIZING EFFECTS FROM THIS ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE TO REINFORCE THE WARM FRONT WHICH EXTENDS FROM SOUTH
CENTRAL MO WWD THROUGH FAR SRN KS TO A SURFACE LOW OVER EXTREME SERN
CO. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS PRIMARILY WEAK WITH EWD EXTENT INTO ERN
KS/WRN-SWRN MO...STRONG WLY EFFECTIVE SHEAR VECTORS ORIENTED
PARALLEL TO THE WARM FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LINE SEGMENTS
WITH A POTENTIAL THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. IN ADDITION...
ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...GIVEN FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR PER SGF VWP AND EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES 100-200 M2/S2
ALONG THE WARM FRONT OVER ERN KS INTO WEST CENTRAL/SWRN MO.

FARTHER W...INSTABILITY IS GREATER GIVEN GREATER INFLUX OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KS/. INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT EXPECTED TO SPREAD NEWD FROM THE
NM/TX BORDER REGION INTO SRN KS THIS EVENING SHOULD ALLOW ONGOING
STORMS...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE TX PANHANDLE TO SWRN KS TO
SPREAD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KS. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 40
KT AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH ATTENDANT
THREATS FOR TORNADOES...HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.

.PETERS.. 04/22/2010

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 39120016 38859854 38419702 38189550 38149456 38149345
37709309 36919284 36589418 36769571 36849777 36799922
39120016

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0337

ACUS11 KWNS 222021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222021
KSZ000-COZ000-222115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0337
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF ERN CO AND WRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 74...

VALID 222021Z - 222115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 74 CONTINUES.

NUMEROUS SEVERE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED WITHIN
UPSLOPE REGION OF THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS FROM ERN CO INTO WRN KS.
THIS ACTIVITY IS EVOLVING WITHIN STRONGLY FORCED LEFT EXIT REGION OF
UPPER JET...AND CONVERGENT LOW LEVEL ELY FLOW REGIME. ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY IS NOT PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE...LOW CLOUD BASES WITHIN
STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT FAVOR A CONTINUED TORNADO THREAT. ONE
PARTICULARLY LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELL IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS
KIOWA COUNTY CO. THIS STORM HAS EDGED INTO WRN PLUME OF GREATER
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND COULD MAINTAIN TORNADIC CHARACTERISTICS
FOR SOME TIME...ESPECIALLY IF STORM MERGERS DO NOT INTERRUPT IT/S
INFLOW.

.DARROW.. 04/22/2010

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON 40490310 37929957 37130057 37540267 37960421 39850506
40490310

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 222000
SWODY1
SPC AC 221959

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

VALID 222000Z - 231200Z

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ERN TX
PANHANDLE...WRN OK AND SW KS...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...SRN HIGH PLAINS AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

..MODERATE RISK ADDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE ERN TX PANHANDLE...WRN OK
AND SW KS

..SRN PLAINS...
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT NUMEROUS DISCRETE STORMS WILL INITIATE
ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD ENEWD
INTO WRN OK. THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWING MODERATE
INSTABILITY...STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ALREADY IN PLACE. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL RAPIDLY BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING
AS A LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AND BECOMES FOCUSED IN WRN OK. AS THE
STORMS MOVE INTO WRN EDGE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET EARLY THIS
EVENING...THE MORE DOMINANT SUPERCELLS SHOULD BECOME TORNADIC AND A
FEW STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. FOR THIS REASON...A MODERATE
RISK HAS BEEN ADDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE ERN TX PANHANDLE...WRN OK
AND SW KS. THE LARGE HAIL PROBABILITIES HAVE ALSO BEEN UPGRADED
ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK CORRIDOR. FURTHER NORTHWEST IN WRN KS AND
ERN CO...THE 10 PERCENT TORNADO AND SIGTOR PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN
EXTENDED TO THE NORTHWEST TO CATCH AREAS NORTH OF LAMAR CO. IN
ADDITION...THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN NE CO HAS BEEN EXTENDED WWD TO
INCLUDE AREAS SOUTH OF DENVER WHERE A SEVERE STORM IS ONGOING.

.BROYLES.. 04/22/2010

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1127 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010/

..CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT...
A STRONG MIDLEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR LAS VEGAS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...AS AN EMBEDDED SPEED MAX ROTATES AROUND THE
LOW /FROM THE NRN GULF OF CA/ AND EJECTS NEWD TOWARD THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS. THE APPROACH OF THIS EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH TONIGHT WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO DEEPENING OF THE LEE CYCLONE NOW IN SE CO. S/SE OF
THE LEE CYCLONE...THE DRYLINE WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM EXTREME SE CO/SW KS SWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TX
PANHANDLE TO W CENTRAL TX. OVERNIGHT...A PACIFIC COLD FRONT /NOW IN
CENTRAL NM/ WILL SURGE EWD WITH THE EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
OVERTAKE THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND W TX.

A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH ELEVATED
CONVECTION N OF THE WARM FRONT INTO E CENTRAL/SE KS. FARTHER
W/SW...THE WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION NOW OVER SW KS AND SW OK/NW TX
WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE DRYLINE IN CONJUNCTION WITH A WEAK LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SURFACE HEATING WILL INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS
CONVECTION AS STRATUS CLOUDS BEGIN TO ERODE FROM W TO E...WHILE
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 60-65 F SPREAD NWD FROM CENTRAL/NW TX
TOWARD THE TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK /56-60 F DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED
FARTHER NW INTO KS/. 12Z OBSERVATIONS AND MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 75-80 F ALONG THE DRYLINE WILL
REMOVE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE RANGING FROM
1500 J/KG IN WRN KS TO 2500 J/KG NEAR THE TX/OK BORDER. AT LEAST
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ALONG THE CENTRAL TX
PANHANDLE/SW KS DRYLINE BY ABOUT 21-22Z. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND INCREASING DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL
SHEAR...SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY.

THE PRIMARY INITIAL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
WITH SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE...AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
FARTHER N ALONG THE KS/CO BORDER AS STORMS MOVE OFF THE DRYLINE AND
CROSS THE WARM FRONT. THE TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TOWARD EVENING ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK AS LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE SLOWLY INCREASES AND THE LLJ STRENGTHENS. ANY SURVIVING
DISCRETE STORMS FROM LATE AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE AN ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO NEAR SUNSET /OR JUST AFTER/ AS
SRH INCREASES AND INSTABILITY REMAINS BASED AT THE SURFACE WITH
RELATIVELY SMALL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.

OVERNIGHT...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS W
TX AS THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRYLINE. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE
QUICKLY EWD/NEWD TOWARD CENTRAL/NW TX AND WRN/CENTRAL OK LATE
TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS...WHILE A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.

..SE NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY FORM ALONG A WEAK SURFACE COLD
FRONT...AND IN ADVANCE OF A WEAK MIDLEVEL WAVE MOVING EWD FROM NY.
STEEP LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT MAY
PROMOTE THE FORMATION OF SMALL HAIL...BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED GIVEN WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND POOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE.

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 75

WWUS20 KWNS 221934
SEL5
SPC WW 221934
OKZ000-TXZ000-230300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 75
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
LARGE PART OF TEXAS PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
GUYMON OKLAHOMA TO 75 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 74...

DISCUSSION...DRY LINE HAS PROGRESSED INTO WRN PORTIONS OF TX/OK
PANHANDLE AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THRU
THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION MORE DISCRETE STORMS ARE LIKELY VICINITY
CAP ROCK WHERE GREATER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH BACKED
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW. SUPERCELLS WILL BECOME PRIMARY MODE DURING
AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE
HAIL...PARTICULARLY ANY DISCRETE STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


..HALES

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 74

WWUS20 KWNS 221832
SEL4
SPC WW 221832
COZ000-KSZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 74
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MUCH OF EASTERN COLORADO
PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
AKRON COLORADO TO 30 MILES EAST OF ELKHART KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
THRU THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WATCH AS AIR MASS CONTINUES TO
DESTABILIZE. FOCUS FOR SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED VICINITY WARM FRONT
LIFTING SLOWLY NWD THRU SWRN KS INTO ERN CO. LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL
INCREASE AS SURFACE LOW DEEPENS SERN CO SUPPORTING SUPERCELLS
INCLUDING A THREAT OF TORNADO'S AND LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22025.


..HALES

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WATCHES: Test...tornado Watch Number 9997...test

WWUS20 KWNS 221804
SEL7
SPC WW 221804
MNZ000-LSZ000-221900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TEST...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 9997...TEST
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM EDT THU APR 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A...TEST...
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MINNESOTA
LAKE SUPERIOR

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 205 PM UNTIL 300 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TEST TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BEMIDJI MINNESOTA TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF FAIRMONT
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TEST...TEST...TEST...TEST

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


..GUYER/IMY

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0335

ACUS11 KWNS 221752
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221752
KSZ000-COZ000-221845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0335
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CO AND WRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 221752Z - 221845Z

..TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY 20Z ACROSS MUCH OF ERN CO
INTO WRN KS...

BOUNDARY LAYER IS BEGINNING TO WARM RAPIDLY WITHIN CLOUD-FREE
UPSLOPE REGION OF ERN CO. THOUGH SFC TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY IN THE
MID 50S TO MID 60S...CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL SOON BE
REACHED...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE WARM FRONT OVER SRN CO. LATEST VIS
IMAGERY SUPPORTS THIS WITH CU FIELD BEGINNING TO EXPAND/DEEPEN ALONG
HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR THE WARM FRONT FROM NW OF TAD...EWD TO NEAR LAA.
IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
WITHIN STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...ULTIMATELY LEADING TO
SUPERCELLS. TORNADOES CERTAINLY SEEM POSSIBLE GIVEN THE EXPECTED
LOW CLOUD BASES...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL.

.DARROW.. 04/22/2010

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON 39550452 39690243 38059982 37010007 37480264 38060453
39550452

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 221744
SWODY2
SPC AC 221744

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF AR...NRN LA AND
WRN MS...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...SRN PLAINS...OZARKS...MID MO VALLEY AND SRN PLAINS...

CORRECTED TO ADD WRN MS INTO THE MDT RISK HEADLINE

..A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF AR AND NRN LA...
..THE START OF A TORNADO OUTBREAK POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND LOWER MS VALLEY...


..LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY...
A WELL-DEVELOPED SYSTEM OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES WILL MOVE INTO THE
SRN PLAINS FRIDAY. AN IMPRESSIVE 80 TO 90 KT MID-LEVEL JET WILL
ROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING QUICKLY NEWD INTO
THE SRN PLAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX...A LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND
MOVE NWD ACROSS LA INTO SRN AR. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD INITIATE ACROSS NRN LA AND SRN AR FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH THE STORMS EXPANDING QUICKLY IN COVERAGE ACROSS ERN
AR...NRN MS AND SRN MO. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN NRN
LA AND SRN AR SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY...STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 30 KT. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS WITH A POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ESPECIALLY IF THE
DEVELOPING STORMS BECOME SFC-BASED BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AN
ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO ALONG WITH A SUBSTANTIAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS MOVE QUICKLY NEWD OUT OF NRN LA ACROSS
ERN AR AND WRN MS FRIDAY EVENING.

DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM ACROSS THE
GREAT PLAINS IS FORECAST TO BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED. MODEL
FORECASTS DEVELOP A PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THE NW GULF OF
MEXICO FRIDAY NIGHT...MOVING THIS FEATURE QUICKLY NNEWD ACROSS LA
AROUND DAYBREAK SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INITIATE
ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS EAST TX AFTER
MIDNIGHT WITH THIS CONVECTION SPREADING NEWD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. INCREASING LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXIT REGION OF AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL
JET...STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAKE
CONDITIONS VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX LATE IN
THE PERIOD. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS NRN LA AND SRN AR FROM 09Z TO
12Z SATURDAY SUGGEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL RAPIDLY BECOME FAVORABLE
FOR TORNADOES. THE SYNOPTIC SETUP ALONG WITH OUTPUT FROM VARIOUS
SEVERE PARAMETERS SUGGEST THAT A TORNADO OUTBREAK MAY START LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS NRN LA...SRN AR...WRN MS AND POSSIBLY FAR NE TX.
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE DOMINANT DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS WITH A FEW STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...LARGE
HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE APPEARS LIKELY WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP
FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE OUTBREAK POTENTIAL IS TIMING
WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET LATE IN THE PERIOD. AT THIS POINT...MODEL
FORECASTS FOCUS THE LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND LOWER MS
VALLEY JUST BEYOND 12Z ON SATURDAY SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR A
TORNADO OUTBREAK COULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 12Z SATURDAY.

..MID-MO VALLEY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS FRIDAY
AS A CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SETS UP FROM ERN KS NWWD ACROSS
SRN NEB WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S F.
MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOP MODERATE INSTABILITY FROM CNTRL NEB SEWD
ACROSS ERN KS AND WRN MO. THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO INITIATE
ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHERE FORECASTS
SOUNDINGS SHOW STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE TO STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTING SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. VERY LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THE MORE DOMINANT
SUPERCELLS ACROSS ERN NEB...FAR NE KS AND NW MO AS THE EXIT REGION
OF A MID-LEVEL JET MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH. THIS
COMBINED WITH MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG AND 850 TO 500 MB LAPSE
RATES BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 C/KM MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL. THIS THREAT FOR 2 INCH AND GREATER SIZE HAIL SHOULD BE FOCUSED
WITH THE MORE DOMINANT SUPERCELLS ACROSS ERN NEB...FAR NE KS AND NW
MO AS THE EXIT REGION OF A MID-LEVEL JET MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM
THE SOUTH LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.BROYLES.. 04/22/2010

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KREV [221505]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 221505
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
805 AM PDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0649 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE CARSON CITY 39.15N 119.76W
04/22/2010 M2.00 MPH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

12-HR SNOWFALL. 0.76 MELTED PRECIP.

0740 AM SNOW 5 ENE CISCO 39.32N 120.45W
04/22/2010 M5.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24-HR SNOWFALL AT 6050 FT. 11 INCHES IN 48 HRS.


&&

$$

SSNYDER

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KGID [221457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KGID 221457
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
957 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0953 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW TIPTON 39.31N 98.51W
04/22/2010 M1.10 INCH OSBORNE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

1.10 INCHES OF RAIN 2 MILES SOUTH AND 3 MILES WEST OF
TIPTON NEAR OSBORNE COUNTY LINE.


&&

$$

LEW

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KGID [221455]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 221455
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
955 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0953 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW TIPTON 39.31N 98.51W
04/22/2010 M0.00 INCH OSBORNE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

1.10 INCHES OF RAIN 2 MILES SOUTH AND 3 MILES WEST OF
TIPTON NEAR OSBORNE COUNTY LINE.


&&

$$

LEW

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KMFR [221449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 221449
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
749 AM PDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW KENO 42.11N 121.93W
04/22/2010 M0.75 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS AND INCLUDES
RAIN AND MELTED SNOW.


&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KGLD [221447]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 221447
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
847 AM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0841 AM HEAVY RAIN NNW GEM 39.43N 100.90W
04/22/2010 M1.26 INCH THOMAS KS OTHER FEDERAL


&&

$$

MWM

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KGJT [221432]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 221432
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
832 AM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TSTM WND GST 4 ESE WHITEWATER 38.96N 108.35W
04/21/2010 M64 MPH MESA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PEAK WIND GUST OF 64 MPH AT 415 PM ON WEDNESDAY APRIL
21.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000471

$$

MALEKSA

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KREV [221429]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 221429
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
728 AM PDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0649 AM SNOW MINDEN 38.96N 119.77W
04/22/2010 E4.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

EST 4 INCHES NEW SNOWFALL. NO ROAD ISSUES.

0700 AM SNOW 3 N MINDEN 39.04N 119.76W
04/22/2010 M4.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

8-HR SNOWFALL AT 4750 FT. SOME SNOW ON SIDE STREET BUT
SLUSHY WHERE CARS HAVE DRIVEN.


&&

$$

SSNYDER

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KGJT [221424]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 221424
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
824 AM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 AM SNOW MONUMENT (HIGHWAY 550) 37.97N 107.66W
04/22/2010 E3.0 INCH OURAY CO AVALANCHE FCSTR

SNOWPLOW DRIVERS ESTIMATED AROUND 3 INCHES OF SNOW IN
THE GORGE AREA.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000470

$$

MALEKSA

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KGJT [221423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 221423
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
823 AM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 AM SNOW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.90N 107.70W
04/22/2010 E4.0 INCH OURAY CO AVALANCHE FCSTR

SNOWPLOW DRIVERS ESTIMATED BETWEEN 4 AND 5 INCHES ON
THE SAN JUAN PASSES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000469

$$

MALEKSA

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KGJT [221422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 221422
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
822 AM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 AM SNOW SILVERTON 37.81N 107.66W
04/22/2010 M3.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO AVALANCHE FCSTR

24 HOUR SNOWFALL AMOUNT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000468

$$

MALEKSA

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KTOP [221417]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 221417
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
917 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 AM FLOOD SOLOMON 38.92N 97.36W
04/22/2010 DICKINSON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROADS IN SOLOMON CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER


&&

$$

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KGJT [221416]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 221416
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
816 AM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM SNOW 1 WSW CORTEZ 37.34N 108.59W
04/22/2010 M3.1 INCH MONTEZUMA CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000467

$$

NL

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KREV [221359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 221359
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
659 AM PDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0616 AM SNOW 6 SE SILVER SPRINGS 39.35N 119.18W
04/22/2010 M1.0 INCH LYON NV TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH SNOWFALL AT 4300 FT.

0620 AM SNOW 1 NNW CARSON CITY 39.18N 119.77W
04/22/2010 M1.0 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH NEW SNOW AT 4680 FT.

0632 AM SNOW 1 NE INCLINE VILLAGE 39.26N 119.94W
04/22/2010 M8.0 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCHES SNOWFALL AT 6700 FT SINCE 6PM ON 4/21.

0649 AM SNOW 4 NNE NEW WASHOE CITY 39.36N 119.75W
04/22/2010 M1.5 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

1.5 INCHES NEW SNOW. CURRENTLY MIXED RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS WITH CALM WINDS AND 31 DEGREES F.


&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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KREV [221359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 221359
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
659 AM PDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0632 AM SNOW 1 NE INCLINE VILLAGE 39.26N 119.94W
04/22/2010 M8.0 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCHES SNOWFALL AT 6700 FT SINCE 6PM ON 4/21.


&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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KDDC [221352]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 221352
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
852 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN 9 S ALEXANDER 38.34N 99.58W
04/22/2010 M3.30 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

MSCOTT

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KREV [221340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 221340
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
640 AM PDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0632 AM SNOW 1 NE INCLINE VILLAGE 39.26N 119.94W
04/22/2010 M8.0 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCHES SNOWFALL AT 6700 FT SINCE 6PM ON 4/21.


&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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KICT [221325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 221325
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
824 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FLOOD BROOKVILLE 38.77N 97.86W
04/22/2010 SALINE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

SECONDARY ROADS WERE REPORTED TO BE IMPASSABLE IN WESTERN
SALINE COUNTY DUE TO FLOODING.


&&

$$

JMC

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KLUB [221315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLUB 221315
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
814 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HAIL 6 WNW PETERSBURG 33.90N 101.69W
04/21/2010 E1.75 INCH HALE TX PUBLIC

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS 2 MILES NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 54 ON FM 400.

0612 PM HAIL 5 S FLOYDADA 33.91N 101.34W
04/21/2010 E1.00 INCH FLOYD TX STORM CHASER

0620 PM HAIL 1 W PETERSBURG 33.87N 101.61W
04/21/2010 E1.75 INCH HALE TX PUBLIC

0652 PM HAIL 1 E CEDAR HILL 34.14N 101.19W
04/21/2010 E1.75 INCH FLOYD TX PUBLIC

0721 PM HAIL 9 S QUITAQUE 34.24N 101.06W
04/21/2010 E2.75 INCH FLOYD TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL WAS ALSO FALLING 3 MILES SOUTH OF
QUITAQUE AT 721 PM.

0727 PM HAIL 4 S QUITAQUE 34.31N 101.06W
04/21/2010 E1.75 INCH BRISCOE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0921 PM HAIL 6 NW CHILDRESS 34.49N 100.32W
04/21/2010 E1.50 INCH CHILDRESS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

1 MILE NORTHWEST OF CAREY


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000053 LUB1000052 LUB1000054 LUB1000055 LUB1000056
LUB1000057 LUB1000058

$$

SKWIRA

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KGJT [221251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 221251
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
651 AM MDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0649 AM SNOW 4 NE YELLOW JACKET 37.57N 108.67W
04/22/2010 M4.0 INCH MONTEZUMA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL OF 4 INCHES. CURRENTLY IS NOT
SNOWING.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000466

$$

MALEKSA

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KTOP [221238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 221238
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
738 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0723 AM FLOOD ABILENE 38.92N 97.21W
04/22/2010 DICKINSON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF MINOR STREET FLOODING IN ABILENE. ALSO A
PORTION OF OLD HIGHWAY 40 WEST OF ABILINE IS UNDER WATER.


0723 AM FLOOD ABILENE 38.92N 97.21W
04/22/2010 DICKINSON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF MINOR STREET FLOODING IN ABILENE. ALSO A
PORTION OF OLD HIGHWAY 40 TO THE WEST OF ABILENE IS UNDER
WATER.


&&

$$

MRC

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 221238
SWODY1
SPC AC 221236

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

VALID 221300Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS A
LARGE UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV GRADUALLY REDEVELOPS EWD ACROSS THE SRN
ROCKIES. THIS WILL OCCUR AS A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES/VORTICITY LOBES
ROTATE THROUGH THE SRN/ERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. AN INITIAL
PERTURBATION EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER EXTREME ERN AZ IS
LIFTING NEWD TOWARD THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS...WHILE A
SECOND FEATURE DIGGING SEWD ALONG THE SRN CA COAST IS FORECAST TO
TURN EWD ACROSS THE SRN AZ/NM BORDER TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A SERIES OF LOW CENTERS ARE LOCATED OVER THE
CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES FROM WY SWD INTO NM. A DRY LINE IS ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE OF CO SWD ACROSS ERN NM INTO SWRN TX...IN ADVANCE OF A
N-S COLD FRONT THAT IS MOVING EWD OVER THE CENTRAL PARTS OF CO AND
NM. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM A LOW OVER SERN CO ESEWD NEAR THE
KS/OK BORDER INTO NWRN AR AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NWD THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE MULTIPLE LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONSOLIDATE INTO A SINGLE LOW OVER ERN CO TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO
DYNAMIC AND OROGRAPHIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECOND SHORT WAVE
TROUGH. AS THE LOW DEVELOPS...THE DRY LINE IS LIKELY TO MIX EWD THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS SWRN KS/TX
PANHANDLE/WEST TX. BY THIS EVENING THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
ACCELERATE EWD AND OVERTAKE THE DRY LINE...REACHING AN ARCING LINE
FROM NORTHWEST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KS/CENTRAL OK/AND WRN PARTS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TX BY 23/12Z.

...NERN CO/KS AREA...
SEVERAL BANDS OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING EWD/NEWD ACROSS
THE REGION THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND
CONVERGENCE NORTH OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
BROAD SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET OVER THE SRN PLAINS. A LAYER OF STEEPER
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAS ENHANCED HAIL POTENTIAL IN STRONGER CELLS
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...BUT SLOW WEAKENING OF THE LOW LEVEL
JET SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE HAIL THREAT THIS MORNING.

ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY DURING THE
EARLY/MID AFTERNOON FROM NERN CO INTO PARTS OF KS AS DYNAMIC FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEAD SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE HIGH
PLAINS AND COOLING ALOFT OVERSPREADS THE AREA FROM THE WEST.
SURFACE DEW POINTS AROUND 60F ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NWD INTO PARTS
OF KS...WITH 50F DEW POINTS MOVING INTO NERN CO AS MOIST SELY LOW
LEVEL FLOW PERSISTS. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION IS
LIKELY TO INHIBIT DIURNAL INSOLATION TODAY...HOWEVER LOCALIZED
REGIONS OF ENHANCED HEATING WITHIN CLOUD BREAKS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION.

EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-45 KT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT STORM
ROTATION...WITH POTENTIAL FOR MORE INTENSE CELLS TO PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY FROM NERN CO INTO WRN
KS WHERE STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL BE PRESENT.

...PARTS OF WRN AND N CENTRAL TX INTO WRN/CENTRAL OK...
CONVECTION OVER THE TX PANHANDLE AREA HAS BEEN SLOWLY WEAKENING AND
THIS TREND IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AS IT MOVES
NEWD INTO WRN OK. IN THE WAKE OF THESE STORMS...SOME DECREASE IN
CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED WHICH WILL PERMIT REGIONS OF AFTERNOON
HEATING TO DEVELOP...WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE
75-80F RANGE. WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS OF 60-65F EAST OF THE DRY
LINE...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE
OF 1500-2000 J/KG.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ALONG/EAST OF THE DRY LINE...WITH HIGH RESOLUTION WRF GUIDANCE
INDICATING SEVERAL BANDS OF SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS FORMING.
THE INITIAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL/ERN TX
PANHANDLE BEFORE THEY MOVE INTO WRN OK...FOLLOWED BY A MORE
EXTENSIVE BAND OF STORMS FROM THE ERN TX PANHANDLE SWD INTO THE
SOUTH PLAINS AS THE COLD FRONT SURGES EWD TONIGHT. STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUPERCELL GENERATION...ESPECIALLY
WITH MORE DISCRETE CELLS THAT FORM INITIALLY...AND THE COMBINATION
OF STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR/SRH WILL RESULT
IN A FEW STRONGER SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL
AND TORNADOES.

A BETTER DEFINED LINEAR MCS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
ACCELERATING COLD FRONT DURING THE EVENING...FIRST OVER THE ERN TX
PANHANDLE WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT SWD INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS. WIND
PROFILES SUGGEST THE LINE MAY CONTAIN EMBEDDED BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES
WITH PERHAPS A TRANSITION TO AN ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND THREAT
TONIGHT FROM PARTS OF WRN/NORTH CENTRAL TX INTO WRN/CENTRAL OK.
OWING TO ANTICIPATED LOW LEVEL COOLING AND STABILIZATION COUPLED
WITH UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS OF THE CONVECTIVE MODE...WE HAVE
OPTED TO NOT INCLUDE HIGHER WIND PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME BUT THIS
POSSIBILITY WILL BE MONITORED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..WEISS/STOPPKOTTE.. 04/22/2010

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