KHNX [090251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 090251
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
651 PM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW KAISER POINT 37.30N 119.10W
11/08/2010 E13.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 9200 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW UPPER BURNT CORRAL 37.18N 118.94W
11/08/2010 E16.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 9700 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW BLACKCAP BASIN 37.07N 118.77W
11/08/2010 E10.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 10300 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW CHARLOTTE LAKE 36.80N 118.42W
11/08/2010 E10.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 10400 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW PASCOES 35.97N 118.35W
11/08/2010 E10.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 9150 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW QUAKING ASPEN 36.12N 118.54W
11/08/2010 E9.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 7200 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW BIG MEADOWS 36.72N 118.84W
11/08/2010 E12.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 7600 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW CASA VIEJA MEADOWS 36.20N 118.27W
11/08/2010 E13.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 8300 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW TUNNEL GUARD STATION 36.37N 118.29W
11/08/2010 E12.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 8900 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW BISHOP PASS 37.10N 118.56W
11/08/2010 E15.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 11200 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW FAREWELL GAP 36.41N 118.58W
11/08/2010 E12.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 9500 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW CHAGOOPA PLATEAU 36.50N 118.44W
11/08/2010 E11.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 10300 FT

0100 PM SNOW HUNTINGTON LAKE 37.23N 119.22W
11/08/2010 E8.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 7000 FT

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW TENAYA LAKE 37.84N 119.45W
11/08/2010 E12.0 INCH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 8150 FT

0114 PM NON-TSTM WND GST JAWBONE CANYON 35.29N 118.23W
11/08/2010 M48.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

0143 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CALIFORNIA CITY 35.19N 117.81W
11/08/2010 M50.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

0156 PM NON-TSTM WND GST EDWARDS AFB 34.91N 117.93W
11/08/2010 M46.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

0357 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MOJAVE 35.05N 118.18W
11/08/2010 M48.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

0357 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROSAMOND 34.86N 118.20W
11/08/2010 M49.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

&&

$$

BINGHAM

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KPIH [090228]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 090228
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
728 PM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0726 PM SNOW 4 N ASHTON 44.13N 111.45W
11/08/2010 M4.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SINCE 7 AM

&&

$$

CHATTINGS

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KPIH [090209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 090209
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
709 PM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE REXBURG 43.81N 111.77W
11/08/2010 M0.90 INCH MADISON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL LIQUID WATER EQUIVALENT

&&

$$

CHATTINGS

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KPIH [090157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 090157
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
657 PM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 PM SNOW 1 W VICTOR 43.60N 111.13W
11/08/2010 M3.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

18 HOUR STORM TOTAL

&&

$$

CHATTINGS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 090046
SWODY1
SPC AC 090046

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CST MON NOV 08 2010

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE AN EWD PROGRESSION ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THIS EVENING. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE
POSSIBLE JUST AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AXIS IN NRN AZ WHERE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/RUC ANALYSIS SHOW THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING STRIKES SHOULD DIMINISH BY MID
TO LATE EVENING WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING THE FOUR
CORNERS LATER TONIGHT. FURTHER TO THE EAST...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
WILL EXIST FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS EWD TO THE APPALACHIANS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
CONUS.

..BROYLES.. 11/09/2010

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KTFX [090030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 090030
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
530 PM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 PM SNOW 7 SE BOZEMAN 45.61N 110.93W
11/08/2010 M3.0 INCH GALLATIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED 3 INCHES OF SNOW.

&&

$$

JOH

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KTFX [082334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 082334
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
434 PM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0431 PM SNOW WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS 46.55N 110.90W
11/08/2010 M3.0 INCH MEAGHER MT CO-OP OBSERVER

RECEIVED 3 INCHES OF SNOW.

&&

$$

JOH

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KVEF [082330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 082330
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
330 PM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM SNOW 4 WNW MT. CHARLESTON 36.30N 115.68W
11/08/2010 M2.2 INCH CLARK NV PUBLIC

LAS VEGAS SKI AND SNOWBOARD RESORT MEASURED 2.2 INCHES OF
SNOW AT 9360 FEET TODAY SINCE 10 AM.

0110 PM HAIL 1 WSW SPRING VALLEY 36.10N 115.26W
11/08/2010 M0.25 INCH CLARK NV MESONET

PEA SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED BY A COCORAHS OBSERVER IN THE
SPRING VALLEY AREA.

0113 PM HAIL 2 S THE STRIP 36.09N 115.18W
11/08/2010 E0.25 INCH CLARK NV PUBLIC

VERY SMALL HAIL WAS REPORTED FALLING AT THE NEW YORK NEW
YORK CASINO ON THE SOUTH END OF THE LAS VEGAS STRIP.

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KHNX [082026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 082026
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1226 PM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST HURON 36.20N 120.10W
11/06/2010 M37.00 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET

1205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 W LOS BANOS 37.06N 121.05W
11/06/2010 M35.00 MPH MERCED CA MESONET

PACHECO PASS APRS

1205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BUTTONWILLOW 35.40N 119.47W
11/06/2010 E44.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

BUTTONWILLOW APRS.

1205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST TWISSELMAN 35.36N 119.82W
11/06/2010 M42.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

1215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SW LEBEC 34.82N 118.89W
11/06/2010 M73.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

GRAPEVINE PEAK RAWS

1231 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW GRAPEVINE 34.96N 118.94W
11/06/2010 M66.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

GRAVEVINE CHP STATION APRS

&&

$$

BPET

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KREV [081955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 081955
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1155 AM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1125 AM SNOW SQUAW VALLEY 39.20N 120.22W
11/08/2010 M8.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW AT 6200 FT AND 8 INCHES AT 8200 FT
FROM 8 AM 11/7/10 - 8 AM 11/8/10.

1135 AM SNOW 1 S DONNER SUMMIT 39.31N 120.39W
11/08/2010 M8.0 INCH NEVADA CA PUBLIC

8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW MEASURED AT SUGAR BOWL SKI RESORT
FROM 8 AM 11/7/10 - 8 AM 11/8/10.

1137 AM SNOW MOUNT ROSE SKI AREA 39.33N 119.89W
11/08/2010 M4.0 INCH WASHOE NV PUBLIC

4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM 8 AM 11/7/10 - 8 AM 11/8/10.

1140 AM SNOW HEAVENLY VALLEY 38.96N 119.89W
11/08/2010 M12.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV PUBLIC

12 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ON MOUNTAIN TOP AT HEAVENLY SKI
RESORT FROM 8 AM 11/7/10 - 8 AM 11/8/10.

1142 AM SNOW KIRKWOOD 38.70N 120.07W
11/08/2010 M18.0 INCH EL DORADO CA PUBLIC

18 INCHES OF NEW SNOW MEASURED FROM 8 AM 11/7/10 - 8 AM
11/7/10.

1145 AM SNOW 1 S JUNE LAKE 37.77N 119.08W
11/08/2010 M8.0 INCH MONO CA PUBLIC

8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW AT JUNE MOUNTAIN SKI RESORT FROM 8
AM 11/7/10 - 8 AM 11/8/10.

1151 AM SNOW 2 W MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.99W
11/08/2010 M20.0 INCH MONO CA PUBLIC

20 INCHES OF NEW SNOW MEASURED AT MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN SKI
RESORT FROM 8 AM 11/7/10 - 8 AM 11/8/10.

&&

$$

SCV

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KVEF [081952]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 081952
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1152 AM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1149 AM SNOW 4 WNW MT. CHARLESTON 36.30N 115.68W
11/08/2010 E1.5 INCH CLARK NV PUBLIC

LAS VEGAS SKI AND SNOWBOARD RESORT REPORTED 1.0 TO 1.5
INCH OF SNOW SINCE 10 AM TODAY AT AN ELEVATION OF 8850
FEET.

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 081923
SWODY1
SPC AC 081922

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 PM CST MON NOV 08 2010

VALID 082000Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGE TO 1630Z FORECAST.

..DARROW.. 11/08/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0946 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010/

...SRN/ERN GREAT BASIN...
SHORT WAVE IMPULSE EMBEDDED WITHIN BASAL PORTION OF LARGE-SCALE WRN
CONUS TROUGH...WILL PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN TO THE
FOUR CORNERS THROUGH EARLY TUE. DESPITE MEAGER BUOYANCY...FORCED
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE IMPULSE AND MODERATELY STEEP
LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUPPORT SPORADIC/ISOLATED TSTM
ACTIVITY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

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KHNX [081917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 081917
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1117 AM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW CHILKOOT MEADOW 37.41N 119.49W
11/08/2010 M8.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW TENAYA LAKE 37.84N 119.45W
11/08/2010 M10.0 INCH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW OSTRANDER LAKE 37.64N 119.55W
11/08/2010 M12.0 INCH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW TUOLUMNE CITY 37.96N 120.24W
11/08/2010 M12.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW KAISER POINT 37.30N 119.10W
11/08/2010 M12.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW AGNEW PASS 37.73N 119.14W
11/08/2010 M10.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW VOLCANIC KNOB 37.39N 118.90W
11/08/2010 M12.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW BLACKCAP BASIN 37.07N 118.77W
11/08/2010 M10.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

1107 AM HEAVY SNOW CHARLOTTE LAKE 36.80N 118.42W
11/08/2010 M9.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL OBSERVATION

&&

$$

BPET

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KPIH [081912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 081912
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
1212 PM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1211 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NE RUPERT 42.63N 113.66W
11/08/2010 M0.50 INCH MINIDOKA ID TRAINED SPOTTER

24-HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

GWICKLUN

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KPIH [081812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 081812
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
1112 AM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW 6 E POCATELLO 42.88N 112.35W
11/08/2010 M3.0 INCH BANNOCK ID NWS EMPLOYEE

SNOW ON FIELD SURFACES. 2 INCHES ON TO POCATELLO CREEK
ROADS SURFACE.

&&

$$

GWICKLUN

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KVEF [081729]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 081729
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
929 AM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 1 WNW ASPENDELL 37.24N 118.60W
11/08/2010 E2.0 INCH INYO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A SPOTTER ESTIMATED 2.0 INCHES OF SNOW FELL FROM
YESTERDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN ASPENDELL
AT 8406 FEET IN ELEVATION.

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 081701
SWODY2
SPC AC 081700

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1100 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WA/ORE COAST...

EXIT REGION OF A STRONG SPEED MAX WILL OVERSPREAD THE WA/ORE COAST
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. MUCH COLDER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
ENHANCE POST-FRONTAL LAPSE RATES SUCH THAT SCATTERED CONVECTION
SHOULD BE NOTED WITHIN ONSHORE FLOW REGIME. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST CLOUD TOPS SHOULD DEEPEN TO PERHAPS 500MB...LIKELY
SUFFICIENT FOR LIGHTNING...THUS WILL MAINTAIN A RISK FOR
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE MID LEVEL JET AXIS.

...NERN CO...

WEAK INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADVANCING FRONTAL
ZONE. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR DEEPER UPDRAFTS WILL BE ACROSS NERN
CO WHERE STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE IN PLACE BY PEAK
HEATING. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE MAY OCCUR BRIEFLY
WITH THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS...MEAGER MOISTURE AND MINIMAL COVERAGE
DO NOT WARRANT A THUNDER OUTLOOK.

..DARROW.. 11/08/2010

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KPIH [081622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 081622
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
922 AM MST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW GALENA 43.87N 114.65W
11/08/2010 M3.5 INCH BLAINE ID DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ITD SNOW AMOUNT MEASURED AT GALENA SUMMIT.

&&

$$

GWICKLUN

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KMFR [081609]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 081609
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
809 AM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0808 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE SELMA 42.30N 123.59W
11/08/2010 M1.57 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOURS ENDING 8AM

&&

$$

OBRIEN

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KGYX [081600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 081600
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1100 AM EST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG POWNAL 43.89N 70.19W
11/08/2010 CUMBERLAND ME NWS EMPLOYEE

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS A DRIVEWAY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1000105

$$

SH

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 081547
SWODY1
SPC AC 081546

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0946 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010

VALID 081630Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN/ERN GREAT BASIN...
SHORT WAVE IMPULSE EMBEDDED WITHIN BASAL PORTION OF LARGE-SCALE WRN
CONUS TROUGH...WILL PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN TO THE
FOUR CORNERS THROUGH EARLY TUE. DESPITE MEAGER BUOYANCY...FORCED
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE IMPULSE AND MODERATELY STEEP
LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUPPORT SPORADIC/ISOLATED TSTM
ACTIVITY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..GRAMS/HALES.. 11/08/2010

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KMFR [081536]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 081536
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
736 AM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSW APPLEGATE 42.21N 123.19W
11/08/2010 M0.07 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR AMOUNT

&&

$$

MOTTENWE

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KMFR [081514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 081514
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
714 AM PST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0712 AM HEAVY RAIN NE BROOKINGS 42.06N 124.29W
11/08/2010 M0.00 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

0.44 RAIN MEASURED FROM 0700 PST 7 NOV TO 0700 8 NOV 2010

&&

$$

MOTTENWE

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KBOX [081512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 081512
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1012 AM EST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG HINGHAM 42.24N 70.89W
11/08/2010 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON CAR WITH PEOPLE TRAPPED INSIDE VEHICLE ON
EAST STREET

0830 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
11/08/2010 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN TAKING OUT POWER LINES ON LAKE STREET

0835 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG HINGHAM 42.24N 70.89W
11/08/2010 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

MULTIPLE TREES AND WIRES DOWN

&&

$$

WSIMPSON

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KBTV [081443]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 081443
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
942 AM EST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0532 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SPRINGFIELD 43.29N 72.48W
11/08/2010 M50.00 MPH WINDSOR VT ASOS

0909 AM NON-TSTM WND GST KINGSLAND BAY STATE PAR 44.23N 73.30W
11/08/2010 M45.00 MPH ADDISON VT MESONET

DIAMOND ISLAND

0912 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WALDEN 44.45N 72.22W
11/08/2010 M45.00 MPH CALEDONIA VT MESONET

&&

$$

BROOKET

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KGYX [081442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 081442
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
941 AM EST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PORTLAND 43.66N 70.26W
11/08/2010 CUMBERLAND ME BROADCAST MEDIA

SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROADS CLOSED DUE TO TREES AND POWER
LINES DOWN. AT LEAST 40 THOUSAND CUSTOMERS WITHOUT
POWER. MOST SCHOOLS CLOSED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1000104

$$

KIMBLE

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KGYX [081440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 081440
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
940 AM EST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG FRYEBURG 44.02N 70.98W
11/08/2010 OXFORD ME NWS EMPLOYEE

TREES DOWN ON ROUTE 302 NEAR NEW HAMPSHIRE LINE. EVENT
TIME ESTIMATED

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1000103

$$

KIMBLE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 081243
SWODY1
SPC AC 081241

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010

VALID 081300Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD...PROGRESSIVE WRN U.S. TROUGH WILL CONTINUE E INTO THE RCKYS
THIS PERIOD AS STRONG UPSTREAM DISTURBANCE MOVES ESE TOWARD
VANCOUVER ISLAND. SHORTWAVE IMPULSE IN BASE OF WRN TROUGH...NOW
OVER THE SRN SIERRA...SHOULD MOVE ESE ACROSS NRN AZ TODAY...BEFORE
TURNING ENE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS EARLY TUE.

...SRN/CNTRL GRT BASIN...
SFC HEATING...LARGE SCALE ASCENT...AND COLD AIR IN CORE OF SHORTWAVE
IMPULSE /500 MB TEMPS BETWEEN -20 AND -25 C/...SHOULD SUPPORT WDLY
SCTD TO SCTD TSTMS OVER PARTS OF NV/UT AND NRN AZ TODAY...AND WRN CO
TONIGHT. WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...THE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
SUB-SEVERE. NO OTHER TSTMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE LWR 48 THIS
PERIOD.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 11/08/2010

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KGYX [081154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 081154
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
654 AM EST MON NOV 08 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SSW CAMDEN 44.20N 69.07W
11/08/2010 KNOX ME TRAINED SPOTTER

10 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN AND BLOCKING TRIM STREET..

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1000102

$$

SJC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2039

ACUS11 KWNS 080951
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080951
RIZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-081445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2039
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF VT/WRN MA/CT/WRN RI

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 080951Z - 081445Z

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR EMBEDDED SNOWFALL RATES...AT TIMES...UP TO 1
IN/HR THROUGH 12Z ACROSS PARTS OF WRN MA...CT TO WRN RI. FARTHER N
ACROSS SRN AND CENTRAL VT...AN INITIAL MIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET IS
EXPECTED THROUGH 12Z...WITH SOME HIGHER SLEET RATES POSSIBLE. AFTER
12Z...STRONGER LOW LEVEL WAA REACHING WWD INTO VT SUGGESTS AREAS OF
FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 15Z IN LOCATIONS WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES THAT REMAIN BELOW 32 F.

SHORT TERM MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH FURTHER DEEPENING EXPECTED
OF A CLOSED LOW...CURRENTLY CENTERED JUST OFF THE SRN NEW ENGLAND
COAST...THROUGH THE MORNING. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS PER RUC SUGGESTED
70-80 KT MIDLEVEL WINDS MOVING INTO THE NRN QUADRANT OF THE CLOSED
LOW. COOLING CLOUD TOPS PER IR SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM OFF THE SRN
ME COAST TO SRN NH ARE INDICATIVE OF INCREASING UVVS SPREADING WWD
WITHIN THE NOSE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED JET. UVVS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE FROM VT TO CT/RI THROUGH 12-15Z AS FURTHER DEEPENING OF
THIS STORM SYSTEM OCCURS AND THE MIDLEVEL JET ROTATES INTO THE
NWRN-WRN QUADRANT OF THE LOW.

THE MORE DIFFICULT PART OF THIS FORECAST INVOLVES THE LOWER LEVEL/
BOUNDARY LAYER THERMAL STRATIFICATION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE PERIOD
OF STRONGEST UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION SPREADING ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA
THROUGH 12-15Z. CURRENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THIS REGION
INDICATED A MIXTURE OF LIGHT-MODERATE RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW AS WAS
EXPECTED GIVEN THE EXISTING DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER PER 00Z SOUNDINGS
AND CURRENT SURFACE WET BULB TEMPERATURES AOA 32 F. STRONGEST LOW
LEVEL WAA REGIME IS EXPECTED INTO VT AFTER 12Z WHICH WOULD SUGGEST
THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ELEVATED WARM NOSE TO SUPPORT FREEZING RAIN...
WHILE WEAKER WAA FURTHER S SHOULD SUPPORT PRIMARILY SLEET WITH
EMBEDDED HIGHER SLEET/SNOW RATES POSSIBLE.

..PETERS.. 11/08/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...

LAT...LON 44317203 43417246 42857253 42267242 41887169 41487174
41427254 41617350 42247343 43367336 43707326 44287296
44317203

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 080945
SWOD48
SPC AC 080945

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010

VALID 111200Z - 161200Z

...PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SEVERE THREAT AREA...

ANY RISK FOR A SIGNIFICANT REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT THROUGH
THIS FORECAST PERIOD LIKELY WILL BE LARGELY CONTINGENT ON THE
OCCURRENCE OF STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG A SLOW MOVING
SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. WHILE THIS STILL SEEMS A POSSIBILITY...TRENDS IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT THIS IS PROBABLY
UNLIKELY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...AT LEAST IN CLOSE ENOUGH PROXIMITY
TO THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT WILL ALLOW FOR SUBSTANTIVE
DESTABILIZATION. THEREAFTER...THE SPREAD AMONG THE MODELS AND MODEL
ENSEMBLES CONCERNING SHORT WAVE DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN AN EVOLVING LONG
WAVE TROUGH OVER THE U.S. GROW QUITE LARGE. BUT IT MAY BE THAT THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BECOMES BETTER CHARACTERIZED BY /LOW
POTENTIAL/ RATHER THAN /PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW/.

..KERR.. 11/08/2010

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 080822
SWODY3
SPC AC 080822

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT SHORT WAVE RIDGING WILL SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE
PACIFIC COAST AND CANADIAN ROCKIES DURING THIS FORECAST
PERIOD...AHEAD OF A PROGRESSIVE SPLITTING SHORT WAVE TROUGH ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. AS THIS OCCURS...AND DOWNSTREAM BLOCKING
PERSISTS...A SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE WITHIN BROADER SCALE TROUGHING OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. IS PROGGED TO LIFT
NORTHWARD FROM THE PLAINS THROUGH THE CENTRAL CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER
AREA...AS ANOTHER IMPULSE DIGS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND FOUR
CORNERS STATES. IN CONJUNCTION WITH THESE DEVELOPMENTS...A MODEST
SURFACE CYCLONE APPEARS LIKELY TO MIGRATE NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER...WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT ADVANCING EASTWARD THROUGH THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WHILE STALLING...THEN PERHAPS
RETREATING...WITH THE FORMATION OF A ANOTHER SURFACE WAVE ACROSS THE
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS REGIME...LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION WILL PROBABLY SUPPORT A RELATIVE INCREASE IN
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS PARTS OF THE PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE EVOLUTION OF ONE OR TWO
MARGINAL SEVERE EVENTS DOES NOT APPEAR INCONCEIVABLE.
HOWEVER...MOISTURE INFLUX OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO IS LIKELY TO REMAIN
RATHER WEAK...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MINIMIZE POTENTIAL FOR
DESTABILIZATION.

...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUFFICIENT MOISTENING IN A NARROW
PRE-FRONTAL TONGUE ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN IOWA/MINNESOTA AND
WESTERN WISCONSIN BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
MIXED LAYER CAPE AROUND 100 TO 250 J/KG. THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO
SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...PERHAPS A NARROW BROKEN LINE
...NEAR OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR
EVENING HOURS. WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR IS PROGGED TO BE STRONG...
INCLUDING FAIRLY SIZABLE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...THE MAGNITUDE OF THE
WIND FIELDS AND SHEAR ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE PARTICULARLY STRONG FOR
THE TIME OF YEAR. GIVEN THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...ISOLATED
TORNADOES OR LOCALIZED STRONG GUSTS APPEAR MORE PROBABLE THAN
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. AND THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LOW FOR
EVEN 5 PERCENT PROBABILITIES AT THE PRESENT TIME.

...SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS INTO OZARKS/LWR MO VALLEY...
STRENGTHENING LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION MAY CONTRIBUTE
TO SUFFICIENT LIFT AND DESTABILIZATION FOR INCREASING THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FROM PARTS OF WESTERN/NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH SOUTHERN
KANSAS AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE THREAT FOR HAIL
MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY NEGLIGIBLE...BUT APPEARS TOO LOW FOR 5 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES AT THE PRESENT TIME.

..KERR.. 11/08/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 080553
SWODY2
SPC AC 080553

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 PM CST SUN NOV 07 2010

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LATEST MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE EVOLUTION OF A
LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. DURING THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH VARIABILITY LINGERS CONCERNING THE SHORT
WAVE DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN THIS REGIME...IT IS BECOMING MORE CERTAIN
THAT AN INITIAL SURFACE LOW CENTER...WITHIN THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AT 12Z TUESDAY...WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH THE DAY...WITH A NEW LOW CENTER DEVELOPING OVER THE DAKOTAS
LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS.

DESPITE THE STRENGTH OF THE LEE CYCLONE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
TROUGH /SUB 1000 MB/...A PERSISTENT BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE
ATLANTIC...INCLUDING A LOW/MID-LEVEL CYCLONE OFF NORTHERN/MID
ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS...WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR STRONG BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. WEAK INLAND MOISTURE
RETURN COULD COMMENCE OFF THE SLOWLY MODIFYING WESTERN GULF...AROUND
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN ELONGATED SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF. BUT
GENERALLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS
MOST AREAS EAST OF THE ROCKIES...AND MUCH OF THE NATION...WITH LOW
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.

...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES/PLAINS...
THE RISK FOR WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY
NEGLIGIBLE TUESDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH BROADER SCALE COLD UPPER
TROUGHING GRADUALLY LIFTING ACROSS THE REGION...AHEAD OF A STRONG
IMPULSE PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
HOWEVER...GUIDANCE GENERALLY INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT OF ONLY VERY
WEAK CAPE ON THE ORDER OF A COUPLE HUNDRED J/KG...AT BEST...WHICH
COULD OCCUR IN SCATTERED POCKETS OVER A SIZABLE AREA. PROBABILITIES
APPEAR TOO LOW FOR A CATEGORICAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK AT THE PRESENT
TIME...EXCEPT PERHAPS NEAR THE PALMER DIVIDE...WHERE THE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF THE MID-LEVEL COLD CORE AND FORCING FOR UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION MAY BE FAVORABLY TIMED WITH STRONGER SURFACE HEATING
AND STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
MODELS INDICATE AT LEAST A MODEST ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...AS A VIGOROUS UPPER IMPULSE WITH A -24 TO -28C 500 MB
COLD CORE ADVANCES INLAND. THIS PROBABLY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION FOR SCATTERED WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

..KERR.. 11/08/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080539
SWODY1
SPC AC 080538

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 PM CST SUN NOV 07 2010

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD AND AMPLIFY ACROSS
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TODAY AS A 60 TO 70 KT MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDS
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE IN THE CORE OF THE
TROUGH WITH 500 MB TEMPS IN THE -20 TO -25 C. THIS COMBINED WITH
STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND SFC HEATING MAY RESULT IN SOME
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN SUB-SEVERE AND NO OTHER
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS TODAY OR TONIGHT.

..BROYLES/GARNER.. 11/08/2010

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