Wednesday, May 16, 2012

KMHX [161900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMHX 161900
LSRMHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
300 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0253 PM HAIL VANCEBORO 35.30N 77.16W
05/16/2012 E0.75 INCH CRAVEN NC EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME SIZE HAIL ALONG HWY 43 NORTH AND BUTLER FORD RD


&&

EVENT NUMBER MHX1200112

$$

MELENDEZ

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KBTV [161852]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 161852
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
252 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL ISLE LA MOTTE 44.88N 73.34W
05/16/2012 E0.75 INCH GRAND ISLE VT PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200029

$$

NF

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KBTV [161836]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 161836
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
236 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0221 PM HAIL CHAZY 44.88N 73.43W
05/16/2012 E1.00 INCH CLINTON NY POST OFFICE


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200028

$$

NF

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KBTV [161819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 161819
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
219 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM HAIL WEST CHAZY 44.82N 73.51W
05/16/2012 E0.75 INCH CLINTON NY PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200027

$$

NF

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KBTV [161815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 161815
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
215 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM HAIL ST. REGIS FALLS 44.68N 74.54W
05/16/2012 M0.50 INCH FRANKLIN NY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200026

$$

NF

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KLOT [161739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 161739
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1239 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SSE BEACH PARK 42.35N 87.81W
05/15/2012 M43 MPH LMZ740 IL C-MAN STATION


&&
WINDS GUSTED 34 TO 37 KTS FROM 700 TO 710 PM AT WAUKEGAN HARBOR
$$

ALLSOPP

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KRNK [161727]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 161727
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
127 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM HAIL 1 NW MOUNT AIRY 36.51N 80.63W
05/15/2012 E0.88 INCH SURRY NC PUBLIC

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL ON HICKORY STREET.


&&

$$

MBS

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 161724
SWODY2
SPC AC 161723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1223 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S./GULF OF
MEXICO DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...WITH AN ASSOCIATED BAND OF ENHANCED
MID-LEVEL WSWLYS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ERN GULF AND INTO FL.

FARTHER W...A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PLAINS SHOULD
WEAKEN WITH TIME...AS THE LARGER-SCALE RIDGE EXPANDS AHEAD OF A
STRONGER/SHARPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WRN CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...A BROAD/WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST OVER
THE SOUTHEAST U.S./ERN GULF IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE UPPER
SYSTEM...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS ACROSS MOST OF THE REST OF THE
ERN HALF OF THE CONUS.

FARTHER W...LEE TROUGHING IS FORECAST TO PERSIST ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...WHILE A COLD FRONT PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST AHEAD OF THE STRONGER WRN UPPER TROUGH.

...S FL...
AS THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH CROSSES FL...INDUCING SUBTLE SURFACE
RESPONSE...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIURNALLY
DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN 2/3 OF FL. WEAK LAPSE RATES -- AND THUS
MODEST CAPE -- IS EXPECTED...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT STORM INTENSITY.
HOWEVER...WITH ENHANCED WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER SYSTEM EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION...THIS MAY OFFSET THE LACK
OF INSTABILITY TO ALLOW A FEW ORGANIZED/MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS TO
EVOLVE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

..GOSS.. 05/16/2012

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 280

WWUS20 KWNS 161718
SEL0
SPC WW 161718
CTZ000-MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-VTZ000-170100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 280
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN CONNECTICUT
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS
WESTERN MAINE
MUCH OF NEW HAMPSHIRE
EASTERN NEW YORK
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
VERMONT

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NEWPORT VERMONT TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF MONTICELLO NEW YORK. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN NY/NORTHEAST PA AND WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING COUPLED WITH A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT IN MODERATE
CAPE VALUES AND LITTLE CINH. SHEAR PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...HART

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KSLC [161711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 161711
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1108 AM MDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 PM TSTM WND GST 18 NNE CALLAO 40.12N 113.53W
05/15/2012 M61.00 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

CAUSWAY SENSOR, DPG18.

0730 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NNE BRYCE CYN NP 37.71N 112.15W
05/15/2012 M70.00 MPH GARFIELD UT ASOS

BRYCE CANYON AIRPORT ASOS, KBCE.

0925 PM TSTM WND GST 18 NNE CALLAO 40.12N 113.53W
05/15/2012 M75.00 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

CAUSEWAY SENSOR, DPG18.

1010 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NNE CALLAO 39.95N 113.70W
05/15/2012 M64.00 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

CALLAO SENSOR, DPG20.


&&

$$

ES

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KJAX [161652]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 161652
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1252 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HAIL E PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
05/15/2012 M0.50 INCH FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER IS COASTAL RESIDENT REPORTING 1/2 INCH HAIL AND
WIND DAMAGE TO A ROOFTOP ANTENNA.


&&

$$

PKEEGAN

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KPHI [161645]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 161645
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1244 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1241 AM FLASH FLOOD UPPER MERION TWP 40.08N 75.35W
05/16/2012 MONTGOMERY PA BROADCAST MEDIA

FLASH FLOODING ALONG S. GULF ROAD AS THE GULF CREEK
OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS.

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD TREDYFFRIN TWP 40.07N 75.46W
05/16/2012 CHESTER PA 911 CALL CENTER

EIGHT WATER RESCUES PERFORMED IN TREDYFFRIN AND
EASTTOWN TWPS AS THE VALLEY AND DARBY CREEKS OVERFLOWED
THEIR BANKS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200044 PHI1200043

$$

KLINE

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0824

ACUS11 KWNS 161627
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161627
VTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-161830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0824
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CNTRL AND ERN NY...VT...NERN PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 161627Z - 161830Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...POSSIBLY IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS AT ONCE. LARGE HAIL AND A FEW
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS CU FIELDS EXPANDING OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA. THE FIRST IS ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM NWRN PA INTO WRN
NY...BUT INSTABILITY IS CURRENTLY LOW WITH DEWPOINTS MIXING INTO THE
40S F. FARTHER E...ANOTHER BAND OF CLOUDS WAS PERSISTING FROM SRN
QUEBEC INTO NRN AND CNTRL NY...ON THE EDGE OF THE ADVANCING UPPER
VORT. THE THIRD AREA WAS OVER SERN NY AND VT...NEAR THE SURFACE
THETA-E AXIS WHERE MUCAPE WAS APPROACHING 1500-2000 J/KG.

WITH CONTINUED HEATING AND LITTLE CIN...STORMS WILL LIKELY FORM BY
18-19Z. THE STRONGEST FORCING WILL BE NEAR THE FRONT...BUT OTHER
STORMS MAY FORM FARTHER E IN THE INSTABILITY AXIS. WITH FAVORABLE
DEEP LAYER FLOW AND INCREASING SPEED SHEAR WITH HEIGHT...SUPERCELLS
WILL BE LIKELY CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...PERHAPS UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.


A WIND THREAT WILL ALSO BE PRESENT...PERHAPS MORE WITH THE FRONTAL
ACTIVITY WHERE STORM MODE COULD BENEFIT FORM MERGED OUTFLOWS. THE
TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LOW WITH WEAK FLOW IN THE LOWEST
2KM...BUT...WINDS WILL VEER WITH HEIGHT AND COULD RESULT IN A
WEAK...BRIEF SPIN-UP.

..JEWELL/HART.. 05/16/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...

LAT...LON 41787725 42467691 43027599 44177481 45037402 45077239
44907202 44267222 43287253 42387333 41897365 41677450
41587499 41427608 41597687 41787725

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0823

ACUS11 KWNS 161624
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161624
NCZ000-161730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0823
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 161624Z - 161730Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN ISOLD WET MICROBURST OR TWO IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AS SCTD TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST ON SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARIES.

DISCUSSION...LATE MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND LIGHTNING
DATA SHOW SCTD STORMS DEVELOPING FROM THE SC GRAND STRAND NEWD TO
CAPE LOOKOUT WITHIN AN AGITATED CU FIELD. THE 12Z MHX RAOB
EXHIBITED STRONG POTENTIAL INSTABILITY /2500 J/KG MLCAPE/...AND THE
RAOB/S CONVECTIVE TEMP /77 DEG/ HAS ALREADY BEEN BREACHED AS 16Z
SURFACE OBS RISE INTO THE LOWER 80S. FURTHER CONVECTIVE-SCALE
COLLISIONS AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY CIRCULATIONS WILL PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT FOCUS/LIFT TO CONTINUALLY GENERATE STORMS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS STORMS MOVE NEWD AROUND 25 KTS. A DEEP/MOISTURE RICH
TROPOSPHERIC PROFILE WITHIN MODEST SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL FAVOR ISOLD
WET MICROBURSTS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. AN ADDITIONAL RISK
/LOW-ISOLD/ FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
UPDRAFTS AS WELL. THE LIMITED SPATIAL/MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT WILL
PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A SEVERE WATCH.

..SMITH/HART.. 05/16/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON 34357888 36397623 36057520 35207540 33887848 34047874
34357888

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KILM [161553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 161553
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1153 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HAIL 5 S SMITHS 34.58N 78.87W
05/15/2012 E1.00 INCH ROBESON NC PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL FOR ABOUT 5 MINUTES AND
BRIEFLY COVERED THE GROUND


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200106

$$

CRM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161546
SWODY1
SPC AC 161544

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1044 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF NY/PA AND WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND...

...NORTHEAST STATES...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS ROTATING EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION AND ONTARIO THIS MORNING...WHILE A 70+ KNOT MID LEVEL JET
ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND NOSES INTO NY/VT. AT THE
SURFACE...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN OH INTO LAKE ONTARIO
WITH A PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL NY. PRESENT INDICATIONS
ARE THAT BOTH BOUNDARIES WILL BECOME CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE LATER TODAY
WITH A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN PA/NY AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.

VISIBLE SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST THAT THE FIRST CONVECTION MAY FORM
ALONG THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH OVER CENTRAL NY INTO NORTHEAST PA.
STRONG HEATING WILL PROMOTE STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S WILL HELP YIELD MLCAPE VALUES OF
1000-2000 J/KG. STORMS THAT FORM WILL BE IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF
SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS WILL LIKELY SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF VT/NH AND WESTERN MA/CT BEFORE WEAKENING
THIS EVENING. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT SOUTHERLY ONSHORE FLOW
WILL LIMIT DESTABILIZATION IN AREAS FARTHER EAST...AND ACROSS THE
NYC AREA.

...EASTERN CAROLINAS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ONCE AGAIN TODAY ALONG
THE SEABREEZE OF EASTERN SC/NC. AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
SUFFICIENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MAY RESULT IN A FEW INTENSE
CELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS.

..HART/SMITH.. 05/16/2012

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KRNK [161545]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 161545
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1145 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0657 PM LIGHTNING 3 SW MAX MEADOWS 36.93N 80.97W
05/15/2012 WYTHE VA COUNTY OFFICIAL

IT WAS DETERMINED THAT LIGHTNING RESULTING IN TWO POWER
POLES BEING KNOCKED OVER ONTO LOTS GAP ROAD.

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 ENE SPEEDWELL 36.83N 81.09W
05/15/2012 WYTHE VA COUNTY OFFICIAL

GLEAVES ROAD HAD 2 FEET OF WATER FLOWING OVER IT AT ONE
POINT...AND SEVERAL OTHER ROADS WERE CLOSED IN THE AREA
DUE TO HIGH WATER AT ABOUT THIS SAME TIME. THESE INCLUDE
CRIPPLE CREEK RD...SLATE SPRING BRANCH RD...GLADE
RD...AND HUDDLE RD.

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD WSW SPEEDWELL 36.81N 81.17W
05/15/2012 WYTHE VA COUNTY OFFICIAL

OLD BANK ROAD WAS CLOSED IN SPEEDWELL DUE TO WATER
FLOWING OVER IT FROM A TRIBUTARY OF CRIPPLE CREEK.


&&

$$

SK

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KLKN [161530]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 161530
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
830 AM PDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0221 PM TSTM WND GST 11 WNW MAJORS PLACE 39.10N 114.76W
05/15/2012 M74.00 MPH WHITE PINE NV MESONET

SCHELL CREEK ELK VIEW NDOT SITE, 6687 FEET AMSL, MEASURED
A DRY MICROBURST WIND GUST OF 74 MPH

0403 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SW RUBY VALLEY 40.73N 115.25W
05/15/2012 M66.00 MPH ELKO NV MESONET

RUBY VALLEY RAWS SITE, 6900 FEET AMSL, MEASURED A DRY
MICROBURST WIND GUST OF 66 MPH


&&

$$

RCM

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KTBW [161519]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 161519
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1119 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 AM WATER SPOUT 2 ESE INDIAN ROCKS BEAC 27.89N 82.81W
05/16/2012 PINELLAS FL PUBLIC

SPOTTER REPORTED A WATER SPOUT OFF INDIAN SHORES


&&

$$

TBARRON

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KDVN [161515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 161515
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1015 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N OSCO 41.38N 90.28W
05/15/2012 HENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND SPEED E60 MPH. 3 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN. DELAYED
REPORT.


&&

$$

STEVEK

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KGRR [161510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGRR 161510
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1109 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N TWIN LAKE 43.43N 86.18W
05/15/2012 MUSKEGON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN. HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ALSO
FELL. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0728 PM HAIL MONTAGUE 43.42N 86.36W
05/15/2012 E0.25 INCH MUSKEGON MI PUBLIC

REPORT FROM TV MEDIA.

0733 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE HESPERIA 43.54N 85.98W
05/15/2012 NEWAYGO MI COUNTY OFFICIAL

TWO ROTTEN TREES DOWN NEAR GREEN AND 8ST.

0828 PM TSTM WND GST 4 W MUSKEGON 43.23N 86.34W
05/15/2012 M48.00 MPH MUSKEGON MI OTHER FEDERAL

MUSKEGON GLERL OBSERVATION. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0902 PM HAIL VOLNEY 43.70N 86.02W
05/15/2012 M0.25 INCH NEWAYGO MI TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL.

0905 PM HAIL 1 E PENTWATER 43.78N 86.41W
05/15/2012 E0.88 INCH OCEANA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

0945 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ESE GRAND RAPIDS 42.94N 85.60W
05/15/2012 KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON LAKE AND ELMWOOD DRIVE. WIND GUST
OF 51 MPH WAS MEASURED NEAR THERE.

0950 PM HAIL TWIN LAKE 43.37N 86.17W
05/15/2012 M0.50 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JK

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KGRR [161509]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KGRR 161509
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1108 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N TWIN LAKE 43.43N 86.18W
05/15/2012 MUSKEGON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN. HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ALSO
FELL. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.


&&

$$

JK

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KGRR [161505]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 161505
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1105 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N TWIN LAKE 43.43N 86.18W
05/15/2012 MUSKEGON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0828 PM TSTM WND GST 4 W MUSKEGON 43.23N 86.34W
05/15/2012 M48.00 MPH MUSKEGON MI OTHER FEDERAL

MUSKEGON GLERL OBSERVATION. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.


&&

$$

JK

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KGRR [161459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KGRR 161459
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1059 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE HESPERIA 43.54N 85.98W
05/15/2012 NEWAYGO MI COUNTY OFFICIAL

TWO ROTTEN TREES DOWN NEAR GREEN AND 8ST.


&&

$$

JK

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KJAX [161439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 161439
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1039 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM HAIL 3 NNW HILLIARD 30.73N 81.94W
05/15/2012 E1.00 INCH NASSAU FL PUBLIC

HAIL OF AT LEAST QUARTER SIZED FELL BETWEEN 415 PM AND
430 PM. MANY CARS PULLED OFF U.S. HIGHWAY 1 INTO THE
BUFORD GROVE BAPTIST CHURCH PARKING LOT.


&&

$$

MTRABERT

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KILM [161437]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 161437
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1036 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HAIL 1 SSE PLANTERSVILLE 33.53N 79.21W
05/15/2012 E1.00 INCH GEORGETOWN SC PUBLIC

NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL AT PLANTERSVILLE
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200105

$$

CRM

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KRAH [161433]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 161433
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1032 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SSW LOUISBURG 36.02N 78.33W
05/15/2012 E60 MPH FRANKLIN NC AIRPORT CREW

A FRANKLIN COUNTY AIRPORT EMPLOYEE REPORTS THAT A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST...ESTIMATED UP TO 60
MPH...BLEW A PARKED AIRCRAFT OFF ITS PAD AND DISPLACED
IT SEVERAL FEET AWAY. THE AIRCRAFT LANDED UPRIGHT AND NO
DAMAGE WAS NOTED TO IT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200249

$$

NP

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KGSP [161419]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 161419
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1019 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W LAKE LURE 35.44N 82.23W
05/15/2012 RUTHERFORD NC PARK/FOREST SRVC

STATE PARK EMPLOYEE OBSERVED TREES DOWN ALONG BOYS CAMP
ROAD.


&&

$$

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KSJT [161355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 161355
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
854 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM HAIL 3 ENE ERNA 30.77N 99.43W
05/07/2012 E2.00 INCH MASON TX NEWSPAPER

TWO INCH DIAMETER HAIL ON HUNGRY HOLLOW ROAD. REPORT
VIA MASON NEWS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200161

$$

JOHNSON

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KSJT [161346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 161346
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
846 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HAIL 1 NNE STREETER 30.78N 99.37W
05/07/2012 E1.50 INCH MASON TX NEWSPAPER

TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM THE MASON COUNTY
NEWS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200160

$$

JOHNSON

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KILM [161340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KILM 161340
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
939 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL 3 SW LAKE WACCAMAW 34.29N 78.55W
05/15/2012 E1.00 INCH COLUMBUS NC PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL FOR APPROXIMATELY 2
MINUTES


&&

CORRECTED EVENT DATE...EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200104

$$

CRM

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KILM [161338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 161338
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
937 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 AM HAIL 3 SW LAKE WACCAMAW 34.29N 78.55W
05/16/2012 E1.00 INCH COLUMBUS NC PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL FOR APPROXIMATELY 2
MINUTES


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200104

$$

CRM

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KRNK [161327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 161327
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
927 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0702 PM HAIL 3 N WESTERN SMITH MOUNT 37.09N 79.75W
05/15/2012 E0.88 INCH FRANKLIN VA PUBLIC


&&

$$

HYSELL

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KSJT [161320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 161320
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
820 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM LIGHTNING 4 N ANSON 32.81N 99.90W
05/07/2012 JONES TX NEWSPAPER

LIGHTNING STRUCK AN OIL STORAGE TANK JUST OFF OF
HIGHWAY 277 APPROXIMATELY 4 MILES NORTH OF ANSON.
RESULTING FIRE WAS EXTINGUISHED BY ANSON AND STAMFORD
VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPARTMENTS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200159

$$

JOHNSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161235
SWODY1
SPC AC 161233

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

VALID 161300Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NERN PA...CNTRL/ERN AND UPSTATE
NY...WRN NEW ENGLAND...

...SYNOPSIS...
A NEGATIVELY TILTED HUDSON BAY TROUGH WILL ROTATE INTO THE
NORTHEAST...WITH THE ATTENDANT SURFACE COLD FRONT QUICKLY
PROGRESSING OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT.

FARTHER S...A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER THE WRN GULF WILL DRIFT
SEWD...MAINTAINING WEAK SWLY FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.

TO THE W...A COMPACT UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN WILL MEANDER
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.

...NERN PA...CNTRL/ERN AND UPSTATE NY...WRN NEW ENGLAND...
THE LEADING EDGE OF A STRONG VORT MAX OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE NY/PA BORDER AROUND 17-18Z. STRONG FORCING FOR
ASCENT WILL SUPPORT CONVECTIVE INITIATION ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVER
WRN NY/PA. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS THEY PROGRESS
EWD. AMPLE SURFACE HEATING WILL QUICKLY ERODE WEAK CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION...WITH VERY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTRIBUTING TO A
DMGG WIND THREAT. HOWEVER...WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL OCCUR IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE INITIAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH THE
STRONGEST LOW LEVEL FLOW EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY POST-FRONTAL. THIS
MAY SOMEWHAT TEMPER A MORE SIGNIFICANT WIND THREAT ACROSS THE
REGION. SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING
DEEP-LAYER SWLYS WILL MORE LIKELY BE SUPPORTIVE OF LARGE HAIL AS
WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION OCCURS.

SOMEWHAT PROBLEMATIC IS THE THICK LOW CLOUDS OBSERVED THIS MORNING
OVER ERN NY AND MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND. ALTHOUGH THIS LAYER WILL
GRADUALLY PROGRESS EWD...BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION MAY BE
DELAYED ACROSS THESE AREAS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A ZONE OF
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING COULD PROVIDE FOCUS FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. IF STORMS CAN OCCUR INDEPENDENTLY
FROM THE FRONT...INCREASING DEEP-LAYER SHEAR MAY SUPPORT WEAK
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS AND HAIL.

LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...MORE WELL DEVELOPED SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS
AND TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS WILL PROGRESS INTO NEW ENGLAND...WITH A
GREATER THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND A FEW DMGG GUSTS. NOCTURNAL COOLING
AND WEAKER INSTABILITY INTO MAINE WILL QUICKLY TEMPER THE THREAT
OVERNIGHT.

...ERN CAROLINAS...
DIURNALLY DRIVEN SEA BREEZE STORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN FORM THIS
AFTERNOON. MODERATE SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY AND STEEPENING
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS. HOWEVER...WEAK HEIGHT RISES AND
RELATIVELY LIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY LIMIT MORE ORGANIZED
POTENTIAL. SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT MAY SUPPORT HAIL
FORMATION WITH THE STRONGER CORES. FARTHER S ACROSS SERN GA AND
FL...06Z DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE NOT DEPICTING A CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS PROGRESSING INTO THE FL PANHANDLE THIS MORNING VERY
WELL. CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL FROM THIS INITIAL CONVECTION MAY
LIMIT POTENTIAL DESTABILIZATION.

..HURLBUT/THOMPSON.. 05/16/2012

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KMLB [161229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 161229
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
829 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM TSTM WND DMG SCOTTSMOOR 28.77N 80.88W
05/15/2012 BREVARD FL CO-OP OBSERVER

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL, DIME SIZED HAIL, WIND GUST FROM WNW
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 70 MPH WAS OBSERVED FROM 7 TO 720
PM. MUCH DEBRIS ON THE GROUND AND TOPS OF SEVERAL LARGE
CEDAR TREES IN MY YARD WERE BLOWN DOWN.


&&

$$

FXD

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KTAE [161209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 161209
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
809 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0602 AM MARINE TSTM WIND KEATON BEACH 29.82N 83.60W
05/16/2012 M39 MPH TAYLOR FL C-MAN STATION

34 KNOT PEAK WIND AT 602 AM EDT AT KEATON BEACH MARINE
OBSERVATION.


&&

$$

08-LAMERS

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KTAE [161121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 161121
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
720 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 18 S ST GEORGE ISLAND 29.41N 84.86W
05/16/2012 E40.00 MPH GMZ755 FL C-MAN STATION

PEAK WIND OF 38 KNOTS AT ANEMOMETER HEIGHT 35 METERS
ABOVE SEA LEVEL ON THE C TOWER. ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND
34.5 KNOTS OR 40 MPH AT STANDARD 10M HEIGHT BASED ON NDBC
ADJUSTMENT FACTORS AROUND THE SAME TIME THIS MORNING.


&&

$$

08-LAMERS

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KGRR [160918]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGRR 160918
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
518 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 PM TSTM WND DMG HESPERIA 43.57N 86.04W
05/15/2012 NEWAYGO MI COUNTY OFFICIAL

TWO ROTTEN TREES DOWN NEAR GREEN AND 8ST.

0902 PM HAIL VOLNEY 43.70N 86.02W
05/15/2012 M0.25 INCH NEWAYGO MI TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL.

0905 PM HAIL 1 E PENTWATER 43.78N 86.41W
05/15/2012 E0.88 INCH OCEANA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

0945 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ESE GRAND RAPIDS 42.94N 85.60W
05/15/2012 KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON LAKE AND ELMWOOD DRIVE. WIND GUST
OF 51 MPH WAS MEASURED NEAR THERE.

0950 PM HAIL TWIN LAKE 43.37N 86.17W
05/15/2012 M0.50 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

OSTUNO

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 160842
SWOD48
SPC AC 160842

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0342 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

VALID 191200Z - 241200Z

...DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD EXIST ON SAT/D4 FROM THE UPPER MS
VALLEY TO THE CNTRL PLAINS...WITH INCREASINGLY LIMITED PROSPECTS
THEREAFTER. ABOVE-AVERAGE CONFIDENCE PERSISTS WITH HIGH CONTINUITY
AMONG THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS AND GEFS MEAN WITH THE DEPICTION OF A
DAMPENING SHORT WAVE TROUGH EJECTING FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE
CNTRL PLAINS ON D4. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE
E/SEWD...LIKELY REACHING THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO CNTRL PLAINS BY SAT
AFTERNOON. CONCERNS OVER WARM SECTOR MOISTURE RETURN DESCRIBED IN
THE D2/3 OUTLOOKS SUGGEST GFS/GEFS MEAN SURFACE DEW POINTS CONTINUE
TO DISPLAY A HIGH BIAS. GFSX MOS AND THE ECMWF APPEAR MORE
REASONABLE WITH GENERALLY 50S SURFACE DEW POINTS. GIVEN THE
DAMPENING NATURE OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH...MID-LEVEL FLOW NEARLY
PARALLELING THE SURFACE FRONT AND LIKELY ONLY MODERATE
BUOYANCY...SETUP DOES NOT RENDER SEVERE PROBABILITIES AOA 30 PERCENT
ATTM.

..GRAMS.. 05/16/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 160731
SWODY3
SPC AC 160730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
MODEL GUIDANCE IS HIGHLY CONSISTENT THAT A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE
EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD TRACK FROM
THE SOUTHWEST TO THE SRN ROCKIES ON D3. A LEE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
PERSIST FROM THE BLACK HILLS TO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...INTERSECTING A
COLD FRONT THAT SHOULD ACCELERATE SEWD ACROSS THE NRN INTO THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS BY EARLY SAT.

...NRN TO SRN HIGH PLAINS...
ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE THE THIRD DAY OF POLEWARD TRANSPORT OF A
MARGINALLY MOIST AIR MASS FROM THE SRN PLAINS...RETURN FLOW OFF THE
WRN GULF SHOULD REMAIN MODEST AFTER NOT COMMENCING UNTIL LATE D2.
SURFACE DEW POINTS /ALTHOUGH INCREASING/ WILL BE MARGINAL FOR A
TYPICAL PLAINS WARM SECTOR...LARGELY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 30S/40S
ALONG THE LEE TROUGH IN THE HIGH PLAINS TO PERHAPS LOWER 50S OVER
THE NRN PLAINS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. STRENGTHENING CONVERGENCE ALONG
THESE BOUNDARIES AND STRONG HEATING SHOULD GENERALLY RESULT IN WEAK
BUOYANCY AND AT LEAST ISOLATED TSTMS FORMING DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING.

DEEP-LAYER FLOW WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH APPROACH OF THE WRN
CONUS TROUGH...BUT SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY MODERATE AND LIKELY
STRONGER WITH NRN EXTENT. THIS MAY SUPPORT A FEW HIGH-BASED
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL.
STILL...WITH MID-LEVEL S/SWLYS ROUGHLY PARALLELING THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT AND ANAFRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THIS BOUNDARY...PROSPECTS
FOR SUSTAINED ORGANIZED STORMS APPEAR TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT A
SLIGHT RISK DELINEATION ATTM.

..GRAMS.. 05/16/2012

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KGSP [160649]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 160649
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
249 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0122 AM TSTM WND DMG DALLAS 35.31N 81.18W
05/16/2012 GASTON NC PUBLIC

LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREE.


&&

$$

KRENTZ

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KGSP [160645]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 160645
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
245 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0122 AM TSTM WND DMG GASTONIA 35.25N 81.17W
05/16/2012 GASTON NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ON VANCE STREET AND SHERRY
LANE.


&&

$$

KRENTZ

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 160545
SWODY2
SPC AC 160544

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE WRN GULF COAST WILL
APPROACH THE ERN GULF COAST REGION BY THU. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER
THE SRN GREAT BASIN WILL DAMPEN AS IT REACHES THE SRN ROCKIES THU
MORNING AND DRIFTS EWD INTO THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. THIS FEATURE
WILL BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN A BUILDING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OCCURRING
DOWNSTREAM OF AN AMPLIFIED TROUGH ENTERING THE WEST. LEE SURFACE
TROUGH SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE BULK OF THE HIGH PLAINS...WITH A
LLJ NOCTURNALLY STRENGTHENING FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TO THE UPPER
MS VALLEY.

...CNTRL/SRN FL...
A SWATH OF 25-40 KT WLYS AT 500 MB SHOULD BE PREVALENT OVER MOST OF
THE PENINSULA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEAK TROUGH. MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL REMAIN POOR...BUT POCKETS OF STRONGER INSOLATION/HEATING
COUPLED WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS SHOULD RESULT IN
MODEST BUOYANCY AND AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TSTMS DURING
THE AFTERNOON. A FEW MULTICELL CLUSTERS SHOULD FORM AND MAY YIELD
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

...HIGH PLAINS TO UPPER MS VALLEY...
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NOCTURNAL LLJ ON D1 WILL LEAD TO POLEWARD
TRANSPORT OF A MARGINALLY MOIST AIR MASS FROM THE SRN PLAINS...WITH
WEAK RETURN FLOW NOT COMMENCING UNTIL LATE D2 ALONG THE WRN GULF
COAST. AS SUCH...SURFACE DEW POINTS /ALTHOUGH INCREASING/ SHOULD BE
RATHER LOW FOR A TYPICAL PLAINS WARM SECTOR...WHICH APPEARS BEST
HANDLED BY THE 00Z NAM COMPARED TO OTHER GUIDANCE.

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED TSTMS MAY FORM ALONG THE LEE
TROUGH AT PEAK HEATING. BUT WEAK DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD RESULT IN A
PULSE-TYPE MODE AND THE THREAT FOR DRY MICROBURSTS APPEARS TOO
MARGINAL TO WARRANT SEVERE PROBABILITIES ATTM. A SEPARATE AREA OF
ELEVATED CONVECTION SHOULD NOCTURNALLY FORM WITH A LOW-LEVEL WAA
REGIME IN THE UPPER MS VALLEY. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
PARCELS WOULD HAVE ONLY MODEST SHEAR IN THE CLOUD-BEARING
LAYER...WHICH SHOULD MITIGATE SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL.

..GRAMS.. 05/16/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160536
SWODY1
SPC AC 160534

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1234 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN NY AND WRN
NEW ENGLAND...

...NERN STATES...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES
TODAY. AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES NEW ENGLAND...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A BAND OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT MOVING INTO NY. AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION...AN AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST FROM NEW JERSEY NNEWD INTO VERMONT WHERE
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES REACHING THE 1000 TO 1500 J/KG
RANGE. THIS ALONG WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KT SHOULD SUPPORT
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WHERE THE CELLS REMAIN DISCRETE. HOWEVER...THE
MODELS APPEAR TO BE DEVELOPING A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A FAST
MOVING COLD FRONT MOVING WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IF SUPERCELLS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LINE...THEN
A LARGE HAIL THREAT SHOULD EXIST. THE GREATER THREAT COULD BE FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. A SEVERE THREAT
MAY EXTEND SWWD INTO ERN PA AND NJ ALONG THE AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY BUT STORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY ISOLATED FURTHER TO
THE SOUTH.

...ERN CAROLINAS/SE GA/NE FL...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE ERN GULF COAST STATES
AND CAROLINAS TODAY. MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOP MODERATE INSTABILITY
FROM NRN FL NEWD INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS WHERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE SHOULD EXIST ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WHERE ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR DUE TO STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED IN THE LATE AFTERNOON NEAR
THE PEAK IN DESTABILIZATION.

..BROYLES/COHEN.. 05/16/2012

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KGRR [160449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGRR 160449
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1249 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 PM TSTM WND DMG HESPERIA 43.57N 86.04W
05/15/2012 NEWAYGO MI COUNTY OFFICIAL

TWO ROTTEN TREES DOWN NEAR GREEN AND 8ST.

0902 PM HAIL VOLNEY 43.70N 86.02W
05/15/2012 M0.25 INCH NEWAYGO MI TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL.

0905 PM HAIL 1 E PENTWATER 43.78N 86.41W
05/15/2012 E0.88 INCH OCEANA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

0950 PM HAIL TWIN LAKE 43.37N 86.17W
05/15/2012 M0.50 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

OSTUNO

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KCRP [160444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 160444
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1143 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM TORNADO 4 SSE CLEGG 28.08N 98.26W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER RECORDED TORNADO ON THE GROUND SSW OF FM 624.
TORNADO DISSIPATED SHORTLY BEFORE 7PM.


&&

$$

HART

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KREV [160438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KREV 160438
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
938 PM PDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND GST PYRAMID LAKE 40.06N 119.56W
05/15/2012 M54.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

MEASURED AT SENSOR ON ANAHO ISLAND

0545 PM TSTM WND GST SUTCLIFFE 39.95N 119.60W
05/15/2012 M61.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

0600 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SE SPANISH SPRINGS 39.65N 119.69W
05/15/2012 E45.00 MPH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

BLOWING DUST...ESTIMATED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND 0.06
INCHES OF RAIN IN SPANISH SPRINGS.

0644 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 W RENO 39.53N 119.89W
05/15/2012 U0.00 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN AND PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL IN NORTHWEST RENO.



&&

$$

BRONG

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KCRP [160431]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KCRP 160431
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1131 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 3 E PORT ARANSAS 27.83N 97.03W
05/15/2012 M50.00 MPH GMZ255 TX C-MAN STATION

PTAT2 ALSO RECORDED GUSTS TO 43 KTS /50 MPH/.


&&

$$

HART

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KCRP [160426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 160426
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1126 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 6 E ARANSAS PASS 27.89N 97.04W
05/15/2012 M50 MPH GMZ235 TX MESONET

RTAT2 MEASURED 43 KTS /50 MPH/.


&&

$$

HART

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