Thursday, July 2, 2009

KTAE [022110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 022110
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
510 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL CARYVILLE 30.77N 85.81W
07/02/2009 E0.88 INCH WASHINGTON FL PUBLIC


&&

$$

WOOL

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KTAE [022110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KTAE 022110
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
509 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL MOSSY HEAD 30.74N 86.32W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH WALTON FL PUBLIC

0255 PM TSTM WND DMG CHIPLEY 30.78N 85.54W
07/02/2009 WASHINGTON FL PUBLIC

SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 277.

0330 PM TSTM WND DMG VERNON 30.62N 85.71W
07/02/2009 WASHINGTON FL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALL OVER THE COUNTY. ONE TREE FELL ON
A CAR AND ANOTHER FELL ON A HOME. THERE WAS A PERSON IN
THE VEHICLE. THE PERSON WAS A COUNTY COMMISSIONER AND WAS
APPARENTLY OK.


&&

$$

WOOL

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KTFX [022109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 022109
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
309 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL 14 E GERALDINE 47.60N 109.97W
07/02/2009 M1.75 INCH CHOUTEAU MT TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL FALLING. SOME DAMAGE TO HOUSE
WINDOWS.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTAE [022107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 022107
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
507 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG VERNON 30.62N 85.71W
07/02/2009 WASHINGTON FL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALL OVER THE COUNTY. ONE TREE FELL ON
A CAR AND ANOTHER FELL ON A HOME. THERE WAS A PERSON IN
THE VEHICLE. THE PERSON WAS A COUNTY COMMISSIONER AND WAS
APPARENTLY OK.


&&

$$

WOOL

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KTAE [022104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 022104
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
504 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG CHIPLEY 30.78N 85.54W
07/02/2009 WASHINGTON FL PUBLIC

SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 277.


&&

$$

WOOL

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KCYS [022103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 022103
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
303 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL 8 N LARAMIE 41.43N 105.58W
07/02/2009 M1.00 INCH ALBANY WY TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

AAH

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KMFL [022103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 022103
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
503 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 SE BRIGHTON SEMINOLE 26.97N 80.93W
07/02/2009 E40 MPH AMZ610 FL MESONET

TOWER ON L005 ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE RECORDED A WIND GUST OF
35 KNOTS, OR 40 MPH AT 430 PM EDT.


&&

$$

DG

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KTAE [022102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 022102
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
501 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0449 PM TSTM WND GST TELOGIA 30.35N 84.82W
07/02/2009 M59 MPH LIBERTY FL TRAINED SPOTTER

BRIEF WIND GUST TO 59 MPH RECORDED BY TRAINED SPOTTER.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH.


&&

$$

GOULD

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KTAE [022102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 022102
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
502 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM HAIL MOSSY HEAD 30.74N 86.32W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH WALTON FL PUBLIC


&&

$$

WOOL

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KLIX [022101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 022101
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
401 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0359 PM HAIL NEW ORLEANS 29.97N 90.08W
07/02/2009 E0.50 INCH ORLEANS LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED MARBLE SIZED HAIL ON MAGAZINE STREET IN
THE FRENCH QUARTER.


&&

$$

DMANNING

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KMSO [022054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 022054
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
253 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0124 PM HAIL ANACONDA 46.13N 112.94W
07/02/2009 E0.50 INCH DEER LODGE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WEATHER SPOTTER CALLED WITH THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HAIL
1/2 TO 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER.

0250 PM HEAVY RAIN ANACONDA 46.13N 112.94W
07/02/2009 M0.85 INCH DEER LODGE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WEATHER SPOTTERS IN ANACONDA REPORTED HEAVY RAIN WITH
RAINFALL VALUES OF .63 TO .85 INCHES IN ONE HOUR.


&&

$$

FELSCH

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KUNR [022053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 022053
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
253 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM HAIL 2 ENE SILVER CITY 44.10N 103.52W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED WIND GUST TO 60 MPH.

1235 PM HAIL 2 ENE SILVER CITY 44.10N 103.52W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1248 PM HAIL PACTOLA RESERVOIR 44.07N 103.50W
07/02/2009 E0.88 INCH PENNINGTON SD COUNTY OFFICIAL

0100 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 W HERMOSA 43.84N 103.33W
07/02/2009 M2.04 INCH CUSTER SD NWS EMPLOYEE

2.04 INCHES FELL IN 1 HOUR 20 MINUTES

0110 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE ROCKERVILLE 43.95N 103.33W
07/02/2009 M0.90 INCH PENNINGTON SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0.90 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 40 MINUTES.

0120 PM HEAVY RAIN PACTOLA RESERVOIR 44.07N 103.50W
07/02/2009 M2.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL FROM 1240 PM MDT TO 120 PM MDT.

0129 PM HAIL ESE MOUNT RUSHMORE 43.88N 103.45W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD AMATEUR RADIO

0148 PM HAIL 7 W HERMOSA 43.84N 103.33W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH CUSTER SD NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL IS ALSO ONE TO ONE HALF INCH DEEP COVERING GROUND.

0150 PM HAIL 3 ESE WHITE BUTTE 45.92N 102.30W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH PERKINS SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

KMC

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KMFL [022051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 022051
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
451 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0439 PM TSTM WND GST 11 SE BRIGHTON SEMINOLE 26.96N 80.94W
07/02/2009 M39 MPH AMZ610 FL MESONET

FROM LAKE TOWER L005


&&

$$

RADER

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KUNR [022051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 022051
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
251 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 W HERMOSA 43.84N 103.33W
07/02/2009 M2.04 INCH CUSTER SD NWS EMPLOYEE

2.04 INCHES FELL IN 1 HOUR 20 MINUTES


&&

$$

KMC

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KTFX [022042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 022042
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
242 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM HAIL BOULDER 46.24N 112.12W
07/02/2009 E0.88 INCH JEFFERSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL FALLING IN BOULDER.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KJAX [022038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 022038
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
438 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N PEARSON 31.35N 82.84W
07/02/2009 ATKINSON GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED POWER LINE REPORTED BY COUNTY 911.


&&

$$

CARROLL

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KJAX [022038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 022038
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
438 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM HAIL WILLACOOCHEE 31.34N 83.05W
07/02/2009 M0.25 INCH ATKINSON GA PUBLIC

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN WILLACOOCHEE.


&&

$$

PKEEGAN

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KLIX [022032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 022032
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
332 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL HOUMA 29.58N 90.71W
07/02/2009 E0.50 INCH TERREBONNE LA EMERGENCY MNGR

0326 PM HAIL HOUMA 29.58N 90.71W
07/02/2009 E0.88 INCH TERREBONNE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO NICKEL HAIL REPORTED.


&&

$$

RRICKS

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KTFX [022030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 022030
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
230 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0228 PM HAIL BOULDER 46.24N 112.12W
07/02/2009 E0.50 INCH JEFFERSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED HALF INCH HAIL FALLING.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KGGW [022027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 022027
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
227 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL NE HELL CREEK REC AREA 47.62N 106.88W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH GARFIELD MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN.


&&

$$

TFJ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1406

ACUS11 KWNS 022017
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022017
NEZ000-SDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-022145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1406
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...MT...WY...SD...NE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538...

VALID 022017Z - 022145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538
CONTINUES.

A NEW WATCH MAY BE NEEDED TO THE SOUTH OF EXISTING SVR TSTM WATCH
538 WITHIN A FEW HOURS. MEANWHILE...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF SERN MT...NERN WY AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
WRN SD.

RELATIVELY WEAK SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING AND LIMITED SHEAR ACROSS MUCH
OF THE REGION ARE LEADING TO DIFFICULT FORECAST SCENARIO THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. AN AXIS OF MODEST INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AROUND
1000 J PER KG/ EXISTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN MT AND WRN SD...AND
EXTENDS SWD ACROSS THE NEB PNHDL. STORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE PAST FEW
HOURS APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN TIED PRIMARILY TO TERRAIN/OROGRAPHIC
INFLUENCES WITH LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW AND WEAK INHIBITION LEADING
TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION. AN INCREASE IN DEEP-LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR
AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNDERWAY AS MID LEVEL
IMPULSE/SPEED MAX SPREADS EAST FROM NRN WY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ADDITIONALLY...CHANCES FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT MAY INCREASE IN SERN WY AND ADJACENT WRN NEB THROUGH THE
EVENING AS WY SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION
CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL INITIATION. MODEST SHEAR IS ALREADY IN PLACE
THIS AREA WITH LOW LEVEL ELY WINDS TOPPED BY ABOUT 20-25KT WLY FLOW
IN THE MID LEVELS. IF STORMS APPEAR MORE LIKELY...A NEW WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...

LAT...LON 47470799 47220623 47230527 47340413 45890411 45880291
44550198 43040199 41020195 41020493 43450500 43460546
43500705 44470726 45530805 46110747 47470799

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KUNR [022016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 022016
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
215 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL 3 ESE WHITE BUTTE 45.92N 102.30W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH PERKINS SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

BCECIL

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KUNR [022013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 022013
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
212 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1248 PM HAIL PACTOLA RESERVOIR 44.07N 103.50W
07/02/2009 E0.88 INCH PENNINGTON SD COUNTY OFFICIAL

0120 PM HEAVY RAIN PACTOLA RESERVOIR 44.07N 103.50W
07/02/2009 M2.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL FROM 1240 PM MDT TO 120 PM MDT.


&&

$$

CALDERON

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KUNR [021959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 021959
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
159 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE ROCKERVILLE 43.95N 103.33W
07/02/2009 M0.90 INCH PENNINGTON SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0.90 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 40 MINUTES.


&&

$$

KMC

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KMOB [021959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMOB 021959
LSRMOB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
258 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL 7 N VALPARAISO 30.61N 86.50W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH OKALOOSA FL PUBLIC

THREE QUARTER INCH HAIL REPORTED BY EGLIN AFB EMPLOYEE
ENROUTE TO WORK.


&&

$$

GENEJ

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KUNR [021949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 021949
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
149 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 PM HAIL 7 W HERMOSA 43.84N 103.33W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH CUSTER SD NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL IS ALSO ONE TO ONE HALF INCH DEEP COVERING GROUND.


&&

$$

CALDERON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021948
SWODY1
SPC AC 021945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0245 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN AND
CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

SEVERAL CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THE 20Z ISSUANCE.
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS TO DROP THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN SRN
NEW ENGLAND AND IN SE NY...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1405. THE
AIRMASS HAS BEEN SLOW TO DESTABILIZE AND FOR THIS REASON...ANY
SEVERE THREAT THAT DEVELOPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD REMAIN
MARGINAL. ANOTHER CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO TRIM THE NWRN EDGE OF
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN CNTRL MONTANA WHICH IS BEHIND AN EXITING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS FEATURE MAY BE
ENOUGH TO LIMIT SEVERE STORM COVERAGE OR KEEP THE SEVERE THREAT
MARGINAL. IN ADDITION...THE SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN REMOVED FOR
MOST OF NERN CO WHERE INSTABILITY IS RELATIVELY WEAK AND THE
STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR ACCORDING TO THE RUC EXISTS OVER WRN NEB AND
SE WY. ELSEWHERE...ADJUSTMENTS TO THE 5 PERCENT HAIL AND WIND
PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN MADE TO FAVOR THE LATEST RUC MODEL AND
CURRENTLY LIGHTNING ACTIVITY.

..BROYLES.. 07/02/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2009/

...NORTHEAST...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST REMAINS COMPLEX OVER THIS REGION TODAY
WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER HOLDING OVER SRN NY INTO MUCH OF NEW
ENGLAND AND LIMITED CONVERGENCE SWD INTO BETTER HEATING INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC WITH UNIFORM WLY SURFACE WINDS. ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS REMAIN ELEVATED SKIRTING THE MA COAST LATE THIS MORNING ON
FRINGE OF IMPULSE ROTATING NNEWD ON WV IMAGERY...WITH SUBSIDENT
REGIME EVIDENT IN WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM. UPSTREAM IMPULSE EJECTING
ACROSS WRN NY/PA THIS MORNING MAY SUPPORT REDEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS INTO ERN PA/NRN NJ DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
DESPITE THE LIMITING FACTORS LISTED ABOVE...MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
REMAIN FAIRLY COOL AND OVERALL MODEST INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT A FEW
SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL/WINDS NEAR OR JUST EXCEEDING SEVERE LEVELS.

...NRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
MODEST WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NRN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS TODAY ALONG NRN PERIPHERY OF LARGE SCALE RIDGE PERSISTING
OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES. SEVERAL LOW AMPLITUDE MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS/SPEED MAXIMA WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION...WITH
IMPULSE NOW MOVING ACROSS WY EXPECTED TO SHIFT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND
SHOULD RESULT IN ANOTHER ACTIVE CONVECTIVE DAY. DESPITE THE MODEST
WLY FLOW ALOFT...SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND
ORGANIZED CLUSTERS/LINES GIVEN THE SELY LOW LEVEL WINDS...AS STORMS
SPREAD ESEWD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. PRIMARY THREATS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH A
TORNADO OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT WITH ANY PERSISTENT SUPERCELL.

...GREAT BASIN...
WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ALREADY FOCUSING THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE SRN GREAT BASIN THIS MORNING...WHICH WILL SPREAD SLOWLY NEWD
THROUGH THE DAY. THIS WILL LIKELY FOCUS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH CONTINUED INFLUX OF LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE S AND
DAYTIME HEATING. PROFILES WITH LOW-LEVEL INVERTED-V CHARACTERISTICS
AND 50-60 KT SWLY HIGH LEVEL FLOW COULD SUPPORT A FEW STORMS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING A FEW STRONG OUTFLOW GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL.

...CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO /NRN FL/SRN GA...
MID LEVEL AIR REMAINS FAIRLY DRY OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING...WHICH WILL PERSIST ATOP A VERY WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER.
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP BY THE MID AFTERNOON
ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH PULSE-STORMS LIKELY FOCUSING ALONG E-W
ORIENTED WEAK SURFACE FRONTS. STRONGER...BRIEF-LIVED CORES WILL BE
CAPABLE OF STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE DOWNBURSTS.

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KJAX [021947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 021947
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
346 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0339 PM TSTM WND GST DOUGLAS 31.51N 82.85W
07/02/2009 M43 MPH COFFEE GA AWOS

43 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOUGLAS GEORGIA AWOS


&&

$$

JHESS

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KUNR [021938]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 021938
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
138 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0129 PM HAIL ESE MOUNT RUSHMORE 43.88N 103.45W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

KMC

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KGSP [021935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 021935
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
335 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL 5 S GREENVILLE 34.77N 82.37W
07/01/2009 E1.00 INCH GREENVILLE SC PUBLIC

HAIL REPORTED FROM CONESTEE, SC.


&&

$$

NED

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KMFL [021925]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 021925
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
325 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM TSTM WND GST 6 E BUCKHEAD RIDGE 27.14N 80.79W
07/02/2009 M39 MPH AMZ610 FL MESONET

MESONET STATION L001 REPORTED WIND GUST OF 39 MPH ACROSS
THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE.


&&

$$

RIVERA

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1405

ACUS11 KWNS 021921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021920
MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-022015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1405
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NY...MA...CT...RI...NJ...PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021920Z - 022015Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE ACROSS PARTS OF PA/NJ/NY AND
SRN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING. HOWEVER...OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FROM THIS
ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO REMAIN LIMITED IN BOTH DURATION AND COVERAGE.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE SLGT RISK AREA MAY BE REDUCED OR REMOVED
FROM THE REGION WITH THE NEXT 20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE.

MOIST AND WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND IS COINCIDENT WITH A SLOW-MOVING
OCCLUDED LOW AND FRONT OVER NRN/ERN NY...AND A WEAK SECONDARY
CYCLONE LOCATED OVER SERN NY/WRN CT. WARM FRONT APPEARS TO EXTEND
EWD FROM THE SECONDARY LOW FROM CT TO NEAR CAPE COD. AIRMASS ACROSS
THE REGION HAS BEEN SLOW TO DESTABILIZE TODAY GIVEN THICK CLOUD
COVER AND HEAVY RAIN IN SOME AREAS EARLIER TODAY. SOME CLEARING IS
NOW OCCURRING ACROSS PA/NJ/NY AND CT AND SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO
GREATER DESTABILIZATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AS ANOTHER
VORT LOBE AND SUBSEQUENT LARGER SCALE ASCENT PIVOTS AROUND UPPER LOW
ACROSS NY AND SPREADS EAST TOWARD NEW ENGLAND...EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND
OF DEEP CONVECTION TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ENEWD THROUGH THIS EVENING.

LATEST SOUNDING AND PROFILER INFORMATION APPEARS TO SUGGEST LIMITED
POTENTIAL FOR THIS NEXT ROUND OF CONVECTION TO PRODUCE MUCH IN THE
WAY OF HAIL/WIND DMG. MOIST LAPSE RATES AND GENERALLY MARGINAL SHEAR
AOB 30KT INDICATED BY LATEST ALBANY RAOB ARE CONSISTENT WITH RUC
MODEL AND ACARS SOUNDINGS FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS NYC AREA AND CT.
THUS...WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN/LIGHTNING...AND PERHAPS SMALL HAIL
COULD DEVELOP...OVERALL SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL DOES NOT APPEAR TO
WARRANT CONTINUING A SLGT RISK OR ISSUING A WATCH.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

LAT...LON 42637125 41667023 41207099 40797278 40687358 40677435
40977482 41427538 41567531 42067499 42687432 42647340
42637125

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KGYX [021909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 021909
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
308 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM FLOOD ARUNDEL 43.38N 70.48W
07/02/2009 YORK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

YORK COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED MULTIPLE REPORTS OF ROADS
WITH CAVING SHOULDERS IN AND AROUND ARUNDEL.


&&

$$

DAG

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KBOX [021904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 021904
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
304 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN POMFRET 41.90N 71.97W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT TRAINED SPOTTER

1.77 INCHES REPORTED

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN LITTLE COMPTON 41.50N 71.17W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH NEWPORT RI TRAINED SPOTTER

3.07 INCHES REPORTED

0701 AM TSTM WND GST 4 SW CHARLESTOWN 41.34N 71.69W
07/02/2009 M0.00 MPH ANZ237 RI MESONET

52 KNOT WIND GUST RECORDED

0727 AM LIGHTNING COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

ELECTRIC WIRE DOWN

0733 AM LIGHTNING NORTH KINGSTOWN 41.51N 71.45W
07/02/2009 WASHINGTON RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED HOUSE FIRE ON RIPTIDE DRIVE

0740 AM HEAVY RAIN HAMPTON 41.78N 72.05W
07/02/2009 E0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT AMATEUR RADIO

2.12 INCHES REPORTED

0743 AM FLOOD WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

NEWELL STREET AT PROVIDENCE STREET FLOODED

0753 AM LIGHTNING EAST PROVIDENCE 41.80N 71.36W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING ON NARRAGANSETT AVENUE

0754 AM FLOOD WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

1 FOOT OF WATER ON ROUTE 115 AT ROUTE 33

0757 AM LIGHTNING CUMBERLAND 41.97N 71.46W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

CHIMNEY DAMAGED BY LIGHTNING STRIKE ON ABBOTT RUN VALLEY
RD

0757 AM LIGHTNING COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES CAUSED WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES

0808 AM FLOOD WORCESTER 42.27N 71.81W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

4 FEET OF WATER CAUSE ROAD CLOSING AT ROUTE 20 AT 122 - 3
CARS STUCK

0809 AM FLOOD NORTH PROVIDENCE 41.86N 71.46W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

ROAD CLOSURE MAIN AT CHARLES

0819 AM FLOOD PROVIDENCE 41.82N 71.42W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE PAWTUCKET AVE AT WATERMAN

0820 AM LIGHTNING MANSFIELD 42.02N 71.22W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

MULTIPLE POWER OUTAGES REPORTED

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN CHARLTON 42.13N 71.97W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.32 INCHES REPORTED

0824 AM LIGHTNING PLAINVILLE 42.00N 71.33W
07/02/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

POLE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN GRAFTON 42.20N 71.68W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.73 INCHES REPORTED

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN AUBURN 42.20N 71.83W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.73 INCHES REPORTED

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN GRAFTON 42.20N 71.68W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.44 INCHES

0838 AM HEAVY RAIN THOMPSON 41.95N 71.87W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT TRAINED SPOTTER

3.45 INCHES

0838 AM FLOOD OXFORD 42.12N 71.87W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT EXIT 4 ON 395

0847 AM FLOOD FALL RIVER 41.71N 71.11W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

RIGHT LANE FLOODED ON BRAGA BRIDGE RTE 195

0852 AM FLOOD WORCESTER 42.27N 71.81W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR STUCK IN STANDING WATER ON SOUTHBRIDGE ST.

0900 AM FLOOD LEOMINSTER 42.52N 71.77W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED INCLUDING WOODS , GRANITE ST,
BURRAGE AVE, ADAMS ST, WILLARD

0904 AM LIGHTNING BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
07/02/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSES HOUSE FIRE ON FOREST AVE

0912 AM FLOOD LEOMINSTER 42.52N 71.77W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

CENTRAL STREET FLOODED AND CLOSED

0937 AM HEAVY RAIN FITCHBURG 42.59N 71.82W
07/02/2009 E0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.40 INCHES REPORTED

0940 AM FLOOD FITCHBURG 42.59N 71.82W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1132 AM FLOOD FALL RIVER 41.71N 71.11W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED, MANHOLE COVERS POPPED

1134 AM HAIL EDGARTOWN 41.38N 70.53W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1136 AM HAIL TISBURY 41.47N 70.62W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1138 AM TSTM WND DMG CHILMARK 41.35N 70.75W
07/02/2009 DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON NORTH ROAD

1143 AM HAIL VINEYARD HAVEN 41.45N 70.62W
07/02/2009 E1.50 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

REPORTS OF CARS DENTED BY HAIL.

1145 AM FLOOD ATTLEBOROUGH 41.93N 71.30W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

FOREST STREET CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1145 AM HAIL OAK BLUFFS 41.45N 70.57W
07/02/2009 E1.75 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1147 AM HAIL WEST TISBURY 41.38N 70.68W
07/02/2009 E2.00 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1150 AM HAIL OAK BLUFFS 41.45N 70.57W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH DUKES MA NWS EMPLOYEE

1156 AM HAIL FALMOUTH 41.55N 70.61W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA TRAINED SPOTTER

1157 AM HAIL MASHPEE 41.65N 70.48W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

NEAR POPPONESETT BEACH

1158 AM HAIL FALMOUTH 41.55N 70.61W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

1213 PM HAIL BARNSTABLE 41.70N 70.30W
07/02/2009 E1.50 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

NEAR COTUIT BAY. CAUSED DAMAGE TO A BOAT

1228 PM HAIL HYANNIS 41.65N 70.30W
07/02/2009 E0.88 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

1228 PM LIGHTNING BARNSTABLE 41.70N 70.30W
07/02/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

BOAT STRUCK ON CRAIGVILLE BEACH

1230 PM LIGHTNING SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
07/02/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

*** 1 INJ *** MAN STRUCK BY LIGHTNING AT 12 FOX CROSS
LANE


&&

$$

JFP

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KUNR [021902]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 021902
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
102 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM HAIL 2 ENE SILVER CITY 44.10N 103.52W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KMC

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KMOB [021859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMOB 021859
LSRMOB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
159 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HAIL 15 N VALPARAISO 30.51N 86.50W
07/02/2009 E0.50 INCH OKALOOSA FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF DIME SIZED HAIL ON STATE ROUTE 85.


&&

$$

SAM

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KUNR [021859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 021859
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1258 PM MDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM HAIL 2 ENE SILVER CITY 44.10N 103.52W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED WIND GUST TO 60 MPH.


&&

$$

BCECIL

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KVEF [021849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 021849
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1149 AM PDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 AM HEAVY RAIN HUALAPAI MOUNTAIN 35.10N 113.89W
07/02/2009 M1.22 INCH MOHAVE AZ MESONET

THE HUALAPI MOUNTAIN ALERT GAUGE MEASURED 1.22 INCHES OF
RAIN IN LESS THAN AN HOUR FROM A THUNDERSTORM.


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KMLB [021837]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 021837
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
237 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM TSTM WND GST STUART 27.19N 80.24W
07/02/2009 M40 MPH MARTIN FL AWOS

STUART KSUA METAR AT 1822Z 27028G35 KT


&&

$$

FXD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1404

ACUS11 KWNS 021833
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021833
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-022000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1404
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0133 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA...NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021833Z - 022000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO WARRANT A WATCH.

STORMS ARE STARTING TO FORM ACROSS SWRN GA...WITHIN A WEAK LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH AND WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER
90S F. MODIFIED MORNING AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MODERATE
INSTABILITY IN PLACE WITH ENOUGH MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO GET
STORMS MOVING IN A SEWD DIRECTION AT 15-20 MPH. GIVEN A DEEPLY MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER AND THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS...DCAPE
VALUES ARE RANGING FROM 1200-1400 J/KG. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE VERY
GUSTY WINDS...AND SOME MAY BE SEVERE.

..JEWELL.. 07/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 30368586 30598665 30808621 31388472 32118363 32108203
31968083 31218132 30278125 30158118 29668363 30018414
29468501 29838552 30368586

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KBOX [021817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 021817
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
217 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN POMFRET 41.90N 71.97W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT TRAINED SPOTTER

1.77 INCHES REPORTED

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN LITTLE COMPTON 41.50N 71.17W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH NEWPORT RI TRAINED SPOTTER

3.07 INCHES REPORTED

0701 AM TSTM WND GST 4 SW CHARLESTOWN 41.34N 71.69W
07/02/2009 M0.00 MPH ANZ237 RI MESONET

52 KNOT WIND GUST RECORDED

0727 AM LIGHTNING COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

ELECTRIC WIRE DOWN

0733 AM LIGHTNING NORTH KINGSTOWN 41.51N 71.45W
07/02/2009 WASHINGTON RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED HOUSE FIRE ON RIPTIDE DRIVE

0740 AM HEAVY RAIN HAMPTON 41.78N 72.05W
07/02/2009 E0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT AMATEUR RADIO

2.12 INCHES REPORTED

0743 AM FLOOD WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

NEWELL STREET AT PROVIDENCE STREET FLOODED

0753 AM LIGHTNING EAST PROVIDENCE 41.80N 71.36W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING ON NARRAGANSETT AVENUE

0754 AM FLOOD WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

1 FOOT OF WATER ON ROUTE 115 AT ROUTE 33

0757 AM LIGHTNING COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES CAUSED WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES

0757 AM LIGHTNING CUMBERLAND 41.97N 71.46W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

CHIMNEY DAMAGED BY LIGHTNING STRIKE ON ABBOTT RUN VALLEY
RD

0808 AM FLOOD WORCESTER 42.27N 71.81W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

4 FEET OF WATER CAUSE ROAD CLOSING AT ROUTE 20 AT 122 - 3
CARS STUCK

0809 AM FLOOD NORTH PROVIDENCE 41.86N 71.46W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

ROAD CLOSURE MAIN AT CHARLES

0819 AM FLOOD PROVIDENCE 41.82N 71.42W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE PAWTUCKET AVE AT WATERMAN

0820 AM LIGHTNING MANSFIELD 42.02N 71.22W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

MULTIPLE POWER OUTAGES REPORTED

0824 AM LIGHTNING PLAINVILLE 42.00N 71.33W
07/02/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

POLE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN CHARLTON 42.13N 71.97W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.32 INCHES REPORTED

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN AUBURN 42.20N 71.83W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.73 INCHES REPORTED

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN GRAFTON 42.20N 71.68W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.73 INCHES REPORTED

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN GRAFTON 42.20N 71.68W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.44 INCHES

0838 AM FLOOD OXFORD 42.12N 71.87W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT EXIT 4 ON 395

0838 AM HEAVY RAIN THOMPSON 41.95N 71.87W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT TRAINED SPOTTER

3.45 INCHES

0847 AM FLOOD FALL RIVER 41.71N 71.11W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

RIGHT LANE FLOODED ON BRAGA BRIDGE RTE 195

0852 AM FLOOD WORCESTER 42.27N 71.81W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR STUCK IN STANDING WATER ON SOUTHBRIDGE ST.

0900 AM FLOOD LEOMINSTER 42.52N 71.77W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED INCLUDING WOODS , GRANITE ST,
BURRAGE AVE, ADAMS ST, WILLARD

0904 AM LIGHTNING BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
07/02/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSES HOUSE FIRE ON FOREST AVE

0912 AM FLOOD LEOMINSTER 42.52N 71.77W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

CENTRAL STREET FLOODED AND CLOSED

0937 AM HEAVY RAIN FITCHBURG 42.59N 71.82W
07/02/2009 E0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.40 INCHES REPORTED

0940 AM FLOOD FITCHBURG 42.59N 71.82W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1132 AM FLOOD FALL RIVER 41.71N 71.11W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED, MANHOLE COVERS POPPED

1134 AM HAIL EDGARTOWN 41.38N 70.53W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1136 AM HAIL TISBURY 41.47N 70.62W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1138 AM TSTM WND DMG CHILMARK 41.35N 70.75W
07/02/2009 DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON NORTH ROAD

1145 AM FLOOD ATTLEBOROUGH 41.93N 71.30W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

FOREST STREET CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1150 AM HAIL OAK BLUFFS 41.45N 70.57W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH DUKES MA NWS EMPLOYEE

1156 AM HAIL FALMOUTH 41.55N 70.61W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA TRAINED SPOTTER

1157 AM HAIL MASHPEE 41.65N 70.48W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

NEAR POPPONESETT BEACH

1158 AM HAIL FALMOUTH 41.55N 70.61W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

1213 PM HAIL BARNSTABLE 41.70N 70.30W
07/02/2009 E1.50 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

NEAR COTUIT BAY

1228 PM HAIL HYANNIS 41.65N 70.30W
07/02/2009 E0.88 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

1228 PM LIGHTNING BARNSTABLE 41.70N 70.30W
07/02/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

BOAT STRUCK ON CRAIGVILLE BEACH

1230 PM LIGHTNING SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
07/02/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

*** 1 INJ *** MAN STRUCK BY LIGHTNING AT 12 FOX CROSS
LANE


&&

$$

JFP

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KBOX [021810]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBOX 021810
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
210 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM LIGHTNING 4 SE ORLEANS 41.75N 69.95W
07/01/2009 BARNSTABLE MA NEWSPAPER

*** 1 FATAL *** MAN AGE 41 STRUCK AND KILLED BY LIGHTNING
IN BOAT ON PLEASANT BAY EAST OF SIPSONS ISLAND


&&

$$

JFP

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KBOX [021809]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 021809
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
209 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM LIGHTNING 4 SE ORLEANS 41.75N 69.95W
07/01/2009 BARNSTABLE MA NEWSPAPER

MAN AGE 41 STRUCK AND KILLED BY LIGHTNING IN BOAT ON
PLEASANT BAY EAST OF SIPSONS ISLAND


&&

$$

JFP

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KMFL [021800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 021800
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
159 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 AM TORNADO MARCO ISLAND 25.94N 81.73W
07/02/2009 F0 COLLIER FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARCO POLICE AND LOCAL MEDIA REPORTED A WATERSPOUT AT
MARCO ISLAND NEAR 400 S. COLLIER BLVD. VIDEO PROVIDED BY
THE PUBLIC SHOWED THE WATERSPOUT COMING ASHORE AROUND 410
S. COLLIER BLVD.


&&

$$

RAGARCIA

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KMFL [021752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 021752
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
152 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 PM TSTM WND GST 12 SE BRIGHTON SEMINOLE 26.96N 80.93W
07/02/2009 M45.00 MPH AMZ610 FL BUOY

BUOY L005 REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 39 KNOTS OR 45 MPH AT
1715Z.

0125 PM TSTM WND GST FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
07/02/2009 E40.00 MPH BROWARD FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED 40 MPH GUSTS NEAR US1 BETWEEN COMMERCIAL
AND MCNAB.


&&

$$

RAGARCIA

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 538

WWUS20 KWNS 021743
SEL8
SPC WW 021743
MTZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-030100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 538
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST MONTANA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1145 AM UNTIL
700 PM MDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
RAPID CITY SOUTH DAKOTA TO 60 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MILES CITY
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY INCREASING ACROSS S-CENTRAL
MT/N-CENTRAL WY AND THE BLACK HILLS OF SD LATE THIS MORNING. THESE
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INCREASING/INTENSIFYING THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH CRESTING UPPER RIDGE AS AIR MASS DESTABILIZES
OVER THE PLAINS. MODEST WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL SUSTAIN SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...ALONG WITH PERSISTENT CLUSTERS/SMALL
LINES OF STORMS SPREADING ESEWD. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD OCCUR
WITH ANY PERSISTENT SUPERCELL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28015.


...EVANS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1403

ACUS11 KWNS 021744
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021744
FLZ000-021845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021744Z - 021845Z

WIDESPREAD STRONG STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE SE COAST OF FL OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING ALONG THE CHANCE FOR A COUPLE STRONG TO ISOLATED
DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS.

INTENSE TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SCNTRL PORTION OF THE PENINSULA
WITH CELL MERGERS NOW RESULTING IN A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION
SPREADING EAST TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST. STRONG HEATING AHEAD OF
THIS ACTIVITY HAS BOOSTED MLCAPE TO GREATER THAN 3000 J/KG. STEEP
THETA-E LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW LEVELS COULD SUPPORT A COUPLE OF
STRONGER DOWNDRAFTS AS THE CONVECTION OVERSPREADS THE EAST COAST IN
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. LIMITED AREAL AND TEMPORAL COVERAGE PRECLUDES A
WATCH AT THIS TIME.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...

LAT...LON 27168055 27768074 28018054 26917992 26067999 25388017
25178040 25308079 27168055

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1402

ACUS11 KWNS 021726
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021725
SDZ000-NDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-021830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...MT...WY...ND...SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 021725Z - 021830Z

THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS SERN MT/NERN WY
AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE WRN DAKOTAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REACH SEVERE LEVELS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS. A WATCH IS POSSIBLE AS THIS ACTIVITY INCREASES
IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY/ORGANIZATION.

LIFT WITH LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS NWRN WY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL AID STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE ABOVE
AREAS. ADDITIONAL MESOSCALE SUPPORT IS CURRENTLY BEING PROVIDED BY
WEAK POST-FRONTAL LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW INTO HIGHER TERRAIN FROM
THE BIG HORN MOUNTAINS TO THE BLACK HILLS. ABUNDANT SUNSHINE
DOWNSTREAM FROM THESE DEVELOPMENT REGIONS WILL BOOST CAPE VALUES AND
CONTRIBUTE TO ENHANCED STORM UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS. MODEST WLY FLOW OF
25-30KT AROUND NRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE...COMBINED WITH WEAK
LOW-LEVEL ELY FLOW IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT
SHEAR FOR A FEW MORE ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT CELLS WITH THE CAPABILITY
OF PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
WIND EVENTS.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...

LAT...LON 46820710 47310588 46960414 45890246 44680196 43730266
43210372 43200494 43210557 43870630 44640691 45490731
46820710

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KBOX [021718]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 021718
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
118 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN LITTLE COMPTON 41.50N 71.17W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH NEWPORT RI TRAINED SPOTTER

3.07 INCHES REPORTED

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN POMFRET 41.90N 71.97W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT TRAINED SPOTTER

1.77 INCHES REPORTED

0701 AM TSTM WND GST 4 SW CHARLESTOWN 41.34N 71.69W
07/02/2009 M0.00 MPH ANZ237 RI MESONET

52 KNOT WIND GUST RECORDED

0727 AM LIGHTNING COVENTRY 41.78N 72.30W
07/02/2009 TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

ELECTRIC WIRE DOWN

0733 AM LIGHTNING NORTH KINGSTOWN 41.51N 71.45W
07/02/2009 WASHINGTON RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED HOUSE FIRE ON RIPTIDE DRIVE

0740 AM HEAVY RAIN HAMPTON 41.78N 72.05W
07/02/2009 E0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT AMATEUR RADIO

2.12 INCHES REPORTED

0743 AM FLOOD WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

NEWELL STREET AT PROVIDENCE STREET FLOODED

0753 AM LIGHTNING EAST PROVIDENCE 41.80N 71.36W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING ON NARRAGANSETT AVENUE

0754 AM FLOOD WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
07/02/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

1 FOOT OF WATER ON ROUTE 115 AT ROUTE 33

0757 AM LIGHTNING COVENTRY 41.78N 72.30W
07/02/2009 TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES CAUSED WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES

0757 AM LIGHTNING CUMBERLAND 41.97N 71.46W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

CHIMNEY DAMAGED BY LIGHTNING STRIKE ON ABBOTT RUN VALLEY
RD

0808 AM FLOOD WORCESTER 42.27N 71.81W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

4 FEET OF WATER CAUSE ROAD CLOSING AT ROUTE 20 AT 122 - 3
CARS STUCK

0809 AM FLOOD NORTH PROVIDENCE 41.86N 71.46W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

ROAD CLOSURE MAIN AT CHARLES

0819 AM FLOOD PROVIDENCE 41.82N 71.42W
07/02/2009 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE PAWTUCKET AVE AT WATERMAN

0820 AM LIGHTNING MANSFIELD 41.83N 72.25W
07/02/2009 TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

MULTIPLE POWER OUTAGES REPORTED

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN GRAFTON 42.20N 71.68W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.73 INCHES REPORTED

0824 AM LIGHTNING PLAINVILLE 41.67N 72.90W
07/02/2009 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

POLE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN AUBURN 42.20N 71.83W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.73 INCHES REPORTED

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN CHARLTON 42.13N 71.97W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

2.32 INCHES REPORTED

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN GRAFTON 42.20N 71.68W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.44 INCHES

0838 AM FLOOD OXFORD 42.12N 71.87W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT EXIT 4 ON 395

0838 AM HEAVY RAIN THOMPSON 41.95N 71.87W
07/02/2009 M0.00 INCH WINDHAM CT TRAINED SPOTTER

3.45 INCHES

0847 AM FLOOD FALL RIVER 41.71N 71.11W
07/02/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

RIGHT LANE FLOODED ON BRAGA BRIDGE RTE 195

0852 AM FLOOD WORCESTER 42.27N 71.81W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR STUCK IN STANDING WATER ON SOUTHBRIDGE ST.

0904 AM LIGHTNING BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
07/02/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSES HOUSE FIRE ON FOREST AVE

0912 AM FLOOD LEOMINSTER 42.52N 71.77W
07/02/2009 WORCESTER MA AMATEUR RADIO

CENTRAL STREET FLOODED AND CLOSED

0937 AM HEAVY RAIN FITCHBURG 42.59N 71.82W
07/02/2009 E0.00 INCH WORCESTER MA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.40 INCHES REPORTED

1134 AM HAIL EDGARTOWN 41.38N 70.53W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1136 AM HAIL TISBURY 41.47N 70.62W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

1138 AM TSTM WND DMG CHILMARK 41.35N 70.75W
07/02/2009 DUKES MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON NORTH ROAD

1150 AM HAIL OAK BLUFFS 41.45N 70.57W
07/02/2009 E1.00 INCH DUKES MA NWS EMPLOYEE

1156 AM HAIL FALMOUTH 41.55N 70.61W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA TRAINED SPOTTER

1157 AM HAIL MASHPEE 41.65N 70.48W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

NEAR POPPONESETT BEACH

1158 AM HAIL FALMOUTH 41.55N 70.61W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

1213 PM HAIL BARNSTABLE 41.70N 70.30W
07/02/2009 E1.50 INCH BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

NEAR COTUIT BAY


&&

$$

JFP

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 021701
SWODY2
SPC AC 021659

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE HIGH
PLAINS...CNTRL PLAINS AND MID-MO VALLEY...

...HIGH PLAINS/CNTRL PLAINS/MID-MO VALLEY...
A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE NRN
STATES FRIDAY AS SEVERAL SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE EWD
ACROSS THE REGION. AT THE SFC...A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IS FORECAST
ACROSS ERN MT SEWD INTO SWRN SD WITH AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY IN PLACE
FROM ERN CO NNWWD THROUGH ERN WY INTO CNTRL AND ERN MT. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE ALONG THIS AXIS OF INSTABILITY AND
MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THIS CORRIDOR AT 00Z SHOW
MOSTLY MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES DUE TO DIRECTIONAL TURNING
WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGESTING SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST. THE BEST CHANCE FOR A PERSISTENT ORGANIZED
STORM COMPLEX SHOULD BE OVER ERN MT WHERE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
FORECAST BY THE NAM/GFS MODELS AND VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD BE A BIT
STRONGER PARTIALLY DUE TO A LOW-LEVEL JET FEATURE. IN ADDITION TO
HAIL...WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IF A STORM CLUSTER
CAN PERSIST INTO THE EVENING.

FURTHER SOUTHEAST...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG
THE STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY FRIDAY MORNING IN SRN SD AND NERN
NEB. SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
IS FORECAST BY MIDDAY WHERE MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOP SCATTERED
SFC-BASED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. AN INCREASE IN
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF AN MCS DEVELOPING ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN
THE EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THIS CORRIDOR AT 00Z SHOW
MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES PARTIALLY DUE TO A
MID-LEVEL JET PASSING THROUGH THE RIDGE. THIS COMBINED WITH MODERATE
TO STRONG INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH A PERSISTENT HAIL THREAT
INTO THE EVENING. BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS WILL BE JUST AS LIKELY
ESPECIALLY IF AN MCS CAN ORGANIZE WITH THE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET.
THIS MAY INCREASE THE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL WITH TIME FRIDAY
EVENING.

...NEW ENGLAND/ERN NY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NERN STATES
FRIDAY WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED SFC TROUGH IN PLACE ACROSS WRN PARTS OF
NEW ENGLAND. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THIS SFC TROUGH BY
MIDDAY WITH THE STORMS MOVING EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND DURING THE MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z ALONG THE SFC TROUGH
SHOW MUCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1000 J/KG WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES. IN SPITE OF THE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR...THIS THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILE MAY SUPPORT A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS NEAR PEAK HEATING.

...FLORIDA...
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN PLACE FRIDAY ACROSS
SRN GA. SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY...MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
SHOULD DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
INITIATING ON SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES AND ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA.
ALTHOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS FORECAST TO BE QUITE
WEEK...STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES COMBINED WITH A VERY MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH
THE STRONGER CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 07/02/2009

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