Thursday, July 2, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1404

ACUS11 KWNS 021833
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021833
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-022000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1404
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0133 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA...NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021833Z - 022000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO WARRANT A WATCH.

STORMS ARE STARTING TO FORM ACROSS SWRN GA...WITHIN A WEAK LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH AND WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER
90S F. MODIFIED MORNING AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MODERATE
INSTABILITY IN PLACE WITH ENOUGH MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO GET
STORMS MOVING IN A SEWD DIRECTION AT 15-20 MPH. GIVEN A DEEPLY MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER AND THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS...DCAPE
VALUES ARE RANGING FROM 1200-1400 J/KG. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE VERY
GUSTY WINDS...AND SOME MAY BE SEVERE.

..JEWELL.. 07/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 30368586 30598665 30808621 31388472 32118363 32108203
31968083 31218132 30278125 30158118 29668363 30018414
29468501 29838552 30368586

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