Thursday, July 2, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1403

ACUS11 KWNS 021744
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021744
FLZ000-021845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021744Z - 021845Z

WIDESPREAD STRONG STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE SE COAST OF FL OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING ALONG THE CHANCE FOR A COUPLE STRONG TO ISOLATED
DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS.

INTENSE TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SCNTRL PORTION OF THE PENINSULA
WITH CELL MERGERS NOW RESULTING IN A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION
SPREADING EAST TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST. STRONG HEATING AHEAD OF
THIS ACTIVITY HAS BOOSTED MLCAPE TO GREATER THAN 3000 J/KG. STEEP
THETA-E LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW LEVELS COULD SUPPORT A COUPLE OF
STRONGER DOWNDRAFTS AS THE CONVECTION OVERSPREADS THE EAST COAST IN
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. LIMITED AREAL AND TEMPORAL COVERAGE PRECLUDES A
WATCH AT THIS TIME.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...

LAT...LON 27168055 27768074 28018054 26917992 26067999 25388017
25178040 25308079 27168055

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