Friday, January 15, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Corr 1

ACUS01 KWNS 151736
SWODY1
SPC AC 151735

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010

VALID 151630Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED TSTM LINE

...DEEP SOUTH TX...
COMPLEX MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL DIG
SLOWLY SSEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LEADING IMPULSE NOW PUSHING
INTO THE WRN GOM. SURFACE LOW NOW ALONG OR JUST OFF S PADRE ISLAND
SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE DAY AS MAIN UPPER SYSTEM
STILL DIGS ACROSS NRN MEXICO. THIS SHOULD SUSTAIN SLIGHT OFFSHORE
FLOW ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX...WITH MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE
COASTAL BEND MAINTAINING RAIN AND LIMITED DESTABILIZATION.

CLEARING SKIES OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL LIKELY ALLOW
MODEST INSTABILITY AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE PRIMARY TSTM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS WITHIN MOIST
PLUME OFFSHORE. STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW.

..EVANS.. 01/15/2010

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