Friday, December 13, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131950
SWODY1
SPC AC 131947

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 132000Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.

..BROYLES.. 12/13/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013/

A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NM WILL TRACK QUICKLY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS IN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSPORT MEAGER MOISTURE NORTHWARD...AND
YIELD MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVER A LARGE AREA FROM TX INTO THE TN
VALLEY. VERY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT
THIS REGION. HOWEVER...THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE LEFT-EXIT REGION OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER JET MAINLY OVER THE ARKLATEX AND OZARKS.

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