Saturday, January 5, 2013

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 051714
SWODY2
SPC AC 051713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST ON SUNDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH
MOVES FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE E COAST...AND A STRONG UPPER LOW
DROPS SWD ACROSS CA AND THE SRN GREAT BASIN.

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK FRONT WILL EXTEND ACROSS CNTRL FL...WHERE
MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL EXIST FOR WEAK INSTABILITY. DAYTIME
HEATING AND WEAK FORCING SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DURING
THE DAY...BUT WEAK LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY
SEVERE THREAT...DESPITE STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

ELSEWHERE...AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG
THE CNTRL/SRN CA COAST AS COLD AIR WITH THE UPPER LOW DROPS
SEWD...BUT COVERAGE DOES NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT A TEN PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF THUNDER AT THIS TIME.

..JEWELL.. 01/05/2013

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