Sunday, October 20, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210102
SWODY1
SPC AC 210100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
A PREVALENT LONGWAVE TROUGH AND EXTENSIVE CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW WILL
DOMINATE THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE NO
SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED...GENERALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO WEAK
BUOYANCY...SEVERAL AREAS OF ISOLATED TSTMS MAY OCCUR TONIGHT.

AHEAD OF AN AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH/ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...A FEW
TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE LAKE MI
VICINITY/WESTERN LOWER MI WITHIN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.
ISOLATED TSTMS SHOULD ALSO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF OK IN ASSOCIATION WITHIN A WARM ADVECTION REGIME.
OTHER SHOWERS/ISOLATED TSTMS MAY ALSO OCCUR NEAR THE RIO GRANDE
VICINITY THIS EVENING...AND WITHIN A MOIST ADVECTION REGIME ACROSS
SOUTH TX LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.

..GUYER.. 10/21/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: