SWODY1
SPC AC 021937
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 PM CST SUN NOV 02 2008
VALID 022000Z - 031200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...UT AND ADJACENT INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES BRUNT OF A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED 50 KT MID LEVEL JET SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM NV/UT
INTO ID/WESTERN WY THIS AFTERNOON. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CONTINUES
TO PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN ID AND
NORTHERN/WESTERN UT INTO SOUTHERN NV THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE FRONT
RECENTLY PASSING THROUGH THE SALT LAKE CITY AREA. COINCIDENT WITH
THE CONTINUED EASTWARD TRANSLATION OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF UT/WESTERN WY AND EVENTUALLY WESTERN CO...STRONGLY
FORCED ASCENT/STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
WIND GUSTS WITH LINEARLY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS INTO THIS EVENING...WITH
SOME HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.
...LOWER MI/LAKE HURON...
AS A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE UPSTREAM
UPPER MIDWEST...AND A WARM FRONT RETURNS NORTHWARD TOWARD THE GREAT
LAKES REGION...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS WILL
INCREASE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOWER MI. WHILE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL SEEMS MINIMAL...AS MUCH AS 500-700
J/KG OF MUCAPE AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR ATOP A COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER COULD RESULT IN SOME HAIL LATER TONIGHT.
..GUYER.. 11/02/2008
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