KJAN [300211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KJAN 300211
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
911 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 E BAXTERVILLE 31.08N 89.54W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

PARTS OF ENTREKIN RD FLOODED...RD IS CLOSED TO TRAFFIC.


&&

$$

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KCHS [300211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 300211
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1011 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW FAIRFAX 32.97N 81.26W
08/29/2012 E0.00 INCH ALLENDALE SC 911 CALL CENTER

WATER ON HIGHWAY 278. ROAD STILL PASSABLE BUT OFFICERS
ARE MONITORING.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200752

$$

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KJAN [300211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 300211
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
911 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM TROPICAL STORM HATTIESBURG 31.31N 89.31W
08/29/2012 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.


&&

$$

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KJAN [300209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 300209
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
909 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM COASTAL FLOOD 3 E BAXTERVILLE 31.08N 89.54W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

PARTS OF ENTREKIN RD FLOODED...RD IS CLOSED TO TRAFFIC.


&&

$$

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KJAN [300207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 300207
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
907 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM TROPICAL STORM BROOKHAVEN 31.58N 90.45W
08/29/2012 LINCOLN MS AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE...SOME INJURIES


&&

$$

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KJAX [300155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 300155
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
954 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE DOUGLAS 31.53N 82.82W
08/29/2012 COFFEE GA 911 CALL CENTER

911 CALL CENTER REPORTED TREES DOWN ALONG NEW FOREST
HIGHWAY NORTHEAST OF DOUGLAS. TIME IS BASED ON RADAR
IMAGERY.


&&

$$

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KJAN [300151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 300151
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
851 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM TROPICAL STORM SANDERSVILLE 31.79N 89.04W
08/28/2012 JONES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS A ROAD.

0151 PM TROPICAL STORM HAZLEHURST 31.86N 90.39W
08/29/2012 COPIAH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN LOCATIONS IN CRYSTAL SPRINGS...
HOPEWELL...AND HAZLEHURST IN COPIAH COUNTY

0200 PM TROPICAL STORM BROOKHAVEN 31.58N 90.45W
08/29/2012 LINCOLN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN THE CITY AND THROUGHOUT LINCOLN COUNTY

0245 PM TROPICAL STORM PURVIS 31.14N 89.41W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

11 TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN WITH 1 ON A HOUSE AND 3 ON
POWER LINES.

0315 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NNW COLUMBIA 31.31N 89.85W
08/29/2012 MARION MS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOODING A HOUSE IN THE EXPOSE COMMUNITY
...OCCUPANTS BEING EVACUATED

0316 PM TROPICAL STORM COLUMBIA 31.26N 89.83W
08/29/2012 MARION MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY INCLUDING COLUMBIA. POWER
OUTAGES REPORTED

0347 PM TROPICAL STORM MENDENHALL 31.96N 89.87W
08/29/2012 SIMPSON MS PUBLIC

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS SIMPSON COUNTY. POWERLINES
DOWN AND LARGE POWER OUTAGE NEAR MENDENHALL AS CONFIRMED
BY UTILITY COMPANY.

0435 PM FLASH FLOOD LUMBERTON 31.00N 89.45W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 11

0455 PM TROPICAL STORM NATCHEZ 31.55N 91.39W
08/29/2012 ADAMS MS NEWSPAPER

SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWNED...SOME TREES DOWNED AROUND
ADAMS COUNTY

0500 PM TROPICAL STORM PRENTISS 31.60N 89.87W
08/29/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS AND SOME TREES DOWNED ACROSS
JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY. 0.98 INCH OF RAIN MEASURED SINCE
THIS MORNING

0500 PM TROPICAL STORM HAZLEHURST 31.86N 90.39W
08/29/2012 COPIAH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORT OF 13 TREES DOWNED ACROSS COPIAH COUNTY

0510 PM TROPICAL STORM VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
08/29/2012 WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWNED ON A HOUSE ON PROSPECT ST IN VICKSBURG. 5
TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS WARREN COUNTY.

0530 PM TROPICAL STORM NATCHEZ 31.55N 91.39W
08/29/2012 ADAMS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE FELL ON A HOUSE IN NATCHEZ. A FEW DOZEN TREES AND
LARGE LIMBS HAVE BEEN DOWNED ACROSS ADAMS COUNTY

0600 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 ENE KOKOMO 31.21N 89.92W
08/29/2012 M6.92 INCH MARION MS MESONET

5.83 INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AT THE
MARION COUNTY RAWS SITE. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6.92
INCHES

0610 PM TROPICAL STORM 3 SW BROOKHAVEN 31.54N 90.48W
08/29/2012 LINCOLN MS TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWNED ALONG I-55 NEAR THE US 84 INTERCHANGE

0620 PM TROPICAL STORM BROOKHAVEN 31.58N 90.45W
08/29/2012 LINCOLN MS TRAINED SPOTTER

WIRES AND A SIGN WERE BLOWN DOWN ON US 84 NEAR BROOKHAVEN


0630 PM TROPICAL STORM NATCHEZ 31.55N 91.39W
08/29/2012 ADAMS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

A TREE LIMB FELL THROUGH THE WINDSHIELD OF AN ADAMS
COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE VEHICLE. ALSO A UTILITY LINE FELL
ON A MS HIGHWAY PATROL VEHICLE ON HIGHWAY 61 N. NO
INJURIES REPORTED.

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD COLUMBIA 31.26N 89.83W
08/29/2012 MARION MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED ACROSS MARION COUNTY

0705 PM TROPICAL STORM BAXTERVILLE 31.08N 89.59W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED IN LAMAR COUNTY

0705 PM TROPICAL STORM 4 S BUDE 31.41N 90.85W
08/29/2012 FRANKLIN MS MESONET

50 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT THE BUDE RAWS SITE

0705 PM FLASH FLOOD BAXTERVILLE 31.08N 89.59W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVEN ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN LAMAR
COUNTY...MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE COUNTY.

0720 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW OAK VALE 31.43N 89.98W
08/29/2012 LAWRENCE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING REPORTED ON JW JONES ROAD

0720 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 ENE ARM 31.51N 90.00W
08/29/2012 LAWRENCE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING ON STAMPS LANE

0720 PM TROPICAL STORM MONTICELLO 31.55N 90.11W
08/29/2012 LAWRENCE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES AND LIMBS DOWNED ACROSS LAWRENCE COUNTY

0730 PM TROPICAL STORM FAYETTE 31.71N 91.06W
08/29/2012 JEFFERSON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWNED ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY

0730 PM TROPICAL STORM MEADVILLE 31.47N 90.89W
08/29/2012 FRANKLIN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED ACROSS FRANKLIN
COUNTY

0730 PM TROPICAL STORM MONTEREY 31.45N 91.72W
08/29/2012 CATAHOULA LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW SMALL TREES WERE DOWNED

0740 PM TROPICAL STORM COLLINS 31.64N 89.56W
08/29/2012 COVINGTON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED AROUND COVINGTON COUNTY

0755 PM TROPICAL STORM BROOKHAVEN 31.58N 90.45W
08/29/2012 LINCOLN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES ON HOMES IN BROOKHAVEN...AND SEVERAL ROADS
BLOCKED BY TREES ACROSS THE COUNTY. WINDS ESTIMATED AT
40-50 MPH.

0805 PM TROPICAL STORM 4 S BUDE 31.40N 90.85W
08/29/2012 FRANKLIN MS MESONET

WIND GUST OF 54 MPH MEASURED AT THE BUDE RAWS SITE

0820 PM TROPICAL STORM PRENTISS 31.60N 89.87W
08/29/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...POWER OUTAGES AROUND
BASSFIELD AND IN THE NW PART OF THE COUNTY.

0835 PM FLASH FLOOD HATTIESBURG 31.31N 89.31W
08/29/2012 FORREST MS TRAINED SPOTTER

MULTIPLE RDS AND STREETS AROUND TOWN HAVE ROUGHLY 6
INCHES OF WATER COVERING THEM...RAIN FALLING HEAVILY.

0840 PM TROPICAL STORM 2 ENE BROOKLYN 31.07N 89.15W
08/29/2012 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED BLOCKING SHATTLES LOOP


&&

$$

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KJAX [300149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 300149
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
949 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW NICHOLLS 31.51N 82.66W
08/29/2012 COFFEE GA 911 CALL CENTER

911 CALL CENTER REPORTED TREE DOWN ALONG HENRY ROWELL
ROAD IN NICHOLLS. TIME IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.


&&

$$

JHESS

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KCHS [300148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 300148
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
948 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0834 PM FLASH FLOOD MOUNT PLEASANT 32.79N 79.87W
08/29/2012 CHARLESTON SC SOCIAL MEDIA

PUBLIC REPORT OF AT LEAST 2 FEET OF WATER ON COLEMAN
BLVD IN FRONT OF MOULTRIE MIDDLE SCHOOL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200751

$$

VB

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KJAN [300146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 300146
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
846 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM TROPICAL STORM 2 ENE BROOKLYN 31.07N 89.15W
08/29/2012 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED BLOCKING SHATTLES LOOP


&&

$$

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KJAX [300146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 300146
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
946 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM TSTM WND DMG ESE NICHOLLS 31.52N 82.63W
08/29/2012 COFFEE GA 911 CALL CENTER

911 CALL CENTER REPORTED POWERLINES DOWN NEAR
INTERSECTION OF ALMA AVENUE AND VINSON SPRING STREET.
TIME IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.


&&

$$

JHESS

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KJAN [300143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 300143
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
843 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM TROPICAL STORM 4 S BUDE 31.40N 90.85W
08/29/2012 FRANKLIN MS MESONET

WIND GUST OF 54 MPH MEASURED AT THE BUDE RAWS SITE


&&

$$

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KJAN [300140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 300140
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
840 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM TROPICAL STORM PRENTISS 31.60N 89.87W
08/29/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...POWER OUTAGES AROUND
BASSFIELD AND IN THE NW PART OF THE COUNTY.

0835 PM FLASH FLOOD HATTIESBURG 31.31N 89.31W
08/29/2012 FORREST MS TRAINED SPOTTER

MULTIPLE RDS AND STREETS AROUND TOWN HAVE ROUGHLY 6
INCHES OF WATER COVERING THEM...RAIN FALLING HEAVILY.


&&

$$

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KLIX [300138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 300138
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
838 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0825 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 SE POPLARVILLE 30.74N 89.42W
08/29/2012 PEARL RIVER MS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING RAPIDLY OVER BARTH ROAD NEAR SILVER RUN AT
CRANE CREEK BRIDGE AND PEN BRANCH.


&&

$$

24/RR

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KCHS [300137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 300137
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
937 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0908 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N CHARLESTON 32.80N 79.94W
08/29/2012 CHARLESTON SC BROADCAST MEDIA

THE FOLLOWING INTERSECTIONS WERE CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING...HUGER AND KING AND HUGER AND MEETING.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200750

$$

VB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1836

ACUS11 KWNS 300121
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300121
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-300245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1836
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0821 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SE LA...SRN MS...SW AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 595...

VALID 300121Z - 300245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 595 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS SE LA...SRN
MS AND SW AL LATE THIS EVENING. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY
DEVELOP NWD WITH ROTATING STORMS THAT PERSIST WITHIN THE BANDS OF
ISAAC.

DISCUSSION...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS CURRENTLY JUST
SOUTH OF BATON ROUGE AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECASTS THE
SYSTEM TO CONTINUE MOVING NWWD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING.
RAINBANDS EXTEND FROM 175 TO 200 STATUTE MILES TO THE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE CENTER. MESOANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS THE AXIS OF STRONGEST
LOW-LEVEL WINDS WRAPPING EWD AND SWD ACROSS THE NERN QUADRANT OF
ISAAC ABOUT 100 STATUTE MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTER. THIS IS CREATING
STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WHICH IS SAMPLED WELL BY THE NEW ORLEANS 00Z
SOUNDING WITH 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES OF 300 TO 325 M2/S2.
THIS COMBINED WITH LCL HEIGHTS VERY CLOSE TO GROUND LEVEL AND SFC
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 70S F SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
LOW-ROTATING CLOUD BASES AND TORNADO FORMATION. THE GREATEST CHANCE
FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY OCCUR WITH INDIVIDUAL CELL
ELEMENTS EMBEDDED IN THE MORE INTENSE RAINBANDS TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE CENTER OF ISAAC.

..BROYLES.. 08/30/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 28868871 28668896 28648931 28608959 28888982 28789008
29099011 29189001 29329018 29329001 29459014 29629018
29729034 29919063 30169067 30099118 30139147 30449174
30839182 31069169 30989159 31189162 31299161 31269147
31409154 31459149 31559149 31549140 31619152 31629139
31839136 31819125 32009108 32069115 32229071 32049069
32048973 32238973 32238844 31718846 31708810 31588810
31548794 31298791 31108795 31298777 31308760 30998759
30818760 30648738 30458742 30298749 30328723 29968713
29838818 29898826 29858845 29608853 29418867 29138860
28868871

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KCHS [300116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 300116
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
916 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0909 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E ISLE OF PALMS 32.79N 79.77W
08/29/2012 CHARLESTON SC SOCIAL MEDIA

CAR FLOODED AND BLOCKING THE ROAD ON 32ND AVE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200749

$$

VB

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KJAN [300113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 300113
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
813 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM TROPICAL STORM 4 S BUDE 31.41N 90.85W
08/29/2012 FRANKLIN MS MESONET

50 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT THE BUDE RAWS SITE


&&

$$

DL

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KJAN [292151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 292151
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
451 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM FLASH FLOOD LUMBERTON 31.00N 89.45W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 11


&&

$$

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KVEF [292120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 292120
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
219 PM PDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM TSTM WND GST 23 WSW OPAL MOUNTAIN RA 34.99N 117.54W
08/29/2012 E60 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA PUBLIC

ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED BY A GAS STATION IN
KRAMER JUNCTION.


&&

$$

METZGER

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 595...resent

WWUS20 KWNS 292054
SEL5
SPC WW 292054
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-300500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 595...RESENT
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 350 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 594. WATCH NUMBER 594 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
350 PM CDT.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OF TS ISAAC ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIFTING NWD/NWWD FROM THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL
WATERS INTO SERN LA/SRN MS AND SWRN AL INTO THE EVENING. VAD WIND
PROFILES AT KLIX/KMOB/KDGX SHOW 50-70 KT LOW LEVEL WINDS...VERY
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1 KM...AND 150-300 M2/S2 SRH
BASED ON OBSERVED STORM MOTIONS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH RADAR
OBSERVATIONS OF SHALLOW/BRIEF SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
CONVECTIVE BANDS WHICH WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
INTO TONIGHT AS ISAAC MOVES SLOWLY NWWD ACROSS SRN LA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15050.


...WEISS

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KGSP [292059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 292059
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
459 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0356 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SE FAIRVIEW 35.08N 80.47W
08/29/2012 UNION NC 911 CALL CENTER

EAST LAWYERS ROAD BETWEEN THE INTERSECTIONS OF MORGAN
MILL ROAD AND HONEYCUTT SIMPSON ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING.

0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 E MONROE 35.00N 80.45W
08/29/2012 UNION NC 911 CALL CENTER

MCINTYRE ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0430 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 SE FAIRVIEW 35.09N 80.49W
08/29/2012 UNION NC 911 CALL CENTER

FLOODING WAS REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF SIKES MILL
ROAD AND LOVE MILL ROAD.


&&

$$

NED

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 595

WWUS20 KWNS 292054
SEL5
SPC WW 292054
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-300500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 595
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 350 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 594. WATCH NUMBER 594 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
350 PM CDT.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OF TS ISAAC ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIFTING NWD/NWWD FROM THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL
WATERS INTO SERN LA/SRN MS AND SWRN AL INTO THE EVENING. VAD WIND
PROFILES AT KLIX/KMOB/KDGX SHOW 50-70 KT LOW LEVEL WINDS...VERY
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1 KM...AND 150-300 M2/S2 SRH
BASED ON OBSERVED STORM MOTIONS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH RADAR
OBSERVATIONS OF SHALLOW/BRIEF SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
CONVECTIVE BANDS WHICH WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
INTO TONIGHT AS ISAAC MOVES SLOWLY NWWD ACROSS SRN LA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15050.


...WEISS

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KJAN [292048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 292048
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM TROPICAL STORM MENDENHALL 31.96N 89.87W
08/29/2012 SIMPSON MS PUBLIC

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS SIMPSON COUNTY. POWERLINES
DOWN AND LARGE POWER OUTAGE NEAR MENDENHALL AS CONFIRMED
BY UTILITY COMPANY.


&&

$$

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KJAX [292048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 292048
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
447 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM LIGHTNING 4 S DOUGLAS 31.45N 82.85W
08/29/2012 COFFEE GA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF LIGHTNING STRIKING A TREE AND BRERAKING
OFF A FEW LIMBS.


&&

$$

JHESS

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KJAN [292020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 292020
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
320 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NNW COLUMBIA 31.31N 89.85W
08/29/2012 MARION MS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOODING A HOUSE IN THE EXPOSE COMMUNITY
...OCCUPANTS BEING EVACUATED


&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1834

ACUS11 KWNS 292018
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292017
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-292045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1834
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME E CENTRAL TO SERN LA...SRN MS AND FAR SWRN
AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 594...

VALID 292017Z - 292045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 594 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE TORNADO THREAT...ATTENDANT TO CONVECTIVE RAINBANDS
WITHIN THE N-E PERIPHERIES OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC...WILL PERSIST
INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE CURRENT TORNADO WATCH /#594/. THE
SLOWLY NWWD MOVING TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL ALSO RESULT IN A SMALL NWWD
EXPANSION OF THE TORNADO THREAT ACROSS SRN MS INTO EXTREME E CENTRAL
LA. AS SUCH...A NEW/REPLACEMENT TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY...95%...
BEFORE THE SCHEDULED 21Z EXPIRATION OF WW 594.

DISCUSSION...AT 20Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED THE CENTER OF
ISAAC WAS LOCATED IN SERN LA...APPROXIMATELY 30 NNW HUM OR 35 W
MSY...WITH TWO PRIMARY CURVED CONVECTIVE RAINBANDS. BOTH OF THESE
BANDS EXTENDED FROM NEAR AND OFFSHORE SERN LA AND SWRN AL...WITH ONE
BAND EXTENDING NNWWD INTO SERN TO SOUTH CENTRAL MS AND THE ADJACENT
LA PARISHES...WHILE THE SECOND BAND WAS A LITTLE FARTHER E EXTENDING
NNWWD THROUGH FAR SWRN AL /INCLUDING MOB/ INTO SERN MS TO THE NE OF
THE FIRST BAND.

ISAAC WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE NW RESULTING IN AN
INCREASE IN DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL LA AND OVER
MORE OF SRN MS AS ALREADY SHOWN IN WFO-JAN WSR-88D DURING THE LAST
FEW HOURS...WITH AT LEAST 50 KT FROM JUST OFF THE SURFACE TO AROUND
4 KM AGL. DESPITE THIS NWWD TRACK...THE ERN EXTENT OF THE OUTER
BAND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING FAR SWRN AL...RESULTING IN
THIS REGION REMAINING IN A TORNADO THREAT INTO THE EVENING.
ANALYSIS OF AREA VADS AND ACCOUNTING FOR STORM MOTIONS CONTINUES TO
INDICATE SFC-1 KM SRH VALUES OF 200-300 M2/S2. GREATER INSTABILITY
IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SWRN AL TO SERN MS /MUCAPE 1000-1500
J/KG/ HAS BEEN SUPPORTING STRONGER CONVECTION INTO THESE
REGIONS...WITH SOME UPDRAFTS BECOMING DEEP ENOUGH FOR LIGHTNING
PRODUCTION.

..PETERS/WEISS.. 08/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 28809003 29209028 29449010 30119081 30069140 30729196
31639198 32099160 32189031 32148953 31898853 31708829
31638803 31218781 31248765 30678739 30018716 29868735
29728818 29518835 29068848 28688873 28478929 28809003

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KJAN [292017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 292017
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
317 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0316 PM TROPICAL STORM COLUMBIA 31.26N 89.83W
08/29/2012 MARION MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY INCLUDING COLUMBIA. POWER
OUTAGES REPORTED


&&

$$

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KJAN [292009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 292009
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
308 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM TROPICAL STORM PURVIS 31.14N 89.41W
08/29/2012 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

11 TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN WITH 1 ON A HOUSE AND 3 ON
POWER LINES.


&&

$$

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KTFX [292004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 292004
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
204 PM MDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
08/29/2012 M60 MPH GLACIER MT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SUK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1833

ACUS11 KWNS 291953
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291953
SDZ000-NDZ000-292130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1833
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL SD...SWRN/S-CNTRL ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 291953Z - 292130Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL SD AND SWRN/S-CNTRL ND THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A STORM OR TWO MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...BUT THE SVR WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED
TO BE TOO MARGINAL FOR A WW.

DISCUSSION...SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 19Z SHOWED A COLD FRONT
ARCING S-SWWD-WWD ACROSS WRN ND INTO SRN MT...WHILE A WARM FRONT
EXTENDED S-SEWD ACROSS CNTRL SD INTO NWRN IA. THE AIRMASS S OF THE
COLD FRONT AND W OF THE WARM FRONT IS VERY HOT AND WELL
MIXED...WHILE CONDITIONS N AND E OF THE COLD FRONT/WARM FRONT ARE
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND MORE MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CUMULUS ARE DEEPENING INVOF THE
BLACK HILLS...WITH ONE CELL PRODUCING A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING STRIKES.
AS THIS CUMULUS SPREADS E-NEWD TOWARD THE WARM FRONT...ADDITIONAL
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SLIGHTLY
GREATER MOISTURE AND CAPE IS ENCOUNTERED. IN ADDITION...OTHER STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES E TOWARD CNTRL
ND. THOUGH STRONGEST DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED
FARTHER N NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER...STEEP LOW AND MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED STRONG/SVR MULTICELL
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA.

..GARNER/WEISS.. 08/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...

LAT...LON 47030282 47370171 46690061 44510047 43930148 44260257
46170312 47030282

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291942
SWODY1
SPC AC 291940

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
NO CHANGES NEEDED THIS UPDATE...PLEASE SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.

...NRN PLAINS...
PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING IS WELL ON TRACK. SMALL EXPANSION TO THE
WIND PROBABILITY WITH ISOLATED TSTMS FORMING OFF THE BLACK HILLS AND
DOWNSTREAM SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS OF 50-70 F.

...SE GA/SC...
HAVE REMOVED WIND PROBABILITIES GIVEN DCAPE VALUES REMAINING BELOW
PREVIOUS FORECAST...AMIDST A WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. LOCALLY
STRONG CONVECTION IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE RISK IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..GRAMS.. 08/29/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012/

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
HURRICANE ISAAC IS DRIFTING NWWD OVER SRN LA AND LATEST NHC FORECAST
INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL REACH CENTRAL LA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
12Z RAOB AT SIL AND LATEST VAD PROFILES AT KLIX AND KMOB EXHIBIT
VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH 50-65 KT SELY
WINDS IN THE LOWEST 1 KM...WITH ENLARGED CLOCKWISE TURNING
HODOGRAPHS IN THE LOWEST 3 KM. INCORPORATION OF OBSERVED STORM
MOTIONS RESULTS IN SRH OF 150-400 M2/S2 SUPPORTIVE OF CONVECTIVE
UPDRAFT ROTATION. AREA RADARS CONTINUE TO SHOW SMALL TRANSIENT
ROTATIONAL COUPLETS EMBEDDED WITHIN SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS OVER
EXTREME SERN MS AS CELLS MOVE RAPIDLY NWWD. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
SUGGESTS THAT DIURNAL HEATING WILL BE LIMITED THIS AFTERNOON AMIDST
A MOIST ADIABATIC THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE WITH GENERALLY WEAK CAPE.
HOWEVER...THE FAVORABLE KINEMATIC FIELDS INDICATE A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR SHALLOW SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WITHIN THE MORE
FAVORABLE NERN QUADRANT OF ISAAC AS IT DRIFTS NWWD THROUGH TONIGHT.

...NRN PLAINS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH/VORTICITY MAX MOVING
ONSHORE INTO THE PACIFIC NW. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ENEWD
AND FLATTEN THE NRN PORTION OF THE UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. A STRONG SURFACE
COLD FRONT IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS
EWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL DIABATIC HEATING THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DEEP
WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED STORMS MAY FROM DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING NEAR THE FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT AND ATTENDANT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN WEST/NORTH OF
THE WARM SECTOR...SUFFICIENT SHEAR /25-30 KT IN THE LOWEST 6 KM/ FOR
ORGANIZED MAINLY MULTICELL STORMS TO DEVELOP WITH POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AND POSSIBLE HAIL.

...SE GA/SC...
THE NERN EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC AND
DIURNAL HEATING S OF THE THICKER CLOUDS AND A WEAK SURFACE FRONT IN
THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF
1500-2000 J/KG. DCAPE OF 600-1000 J/KG AND MODERATE BUOYANCY COULD
RESULT IN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG PRECIPITATION LOADING AND DOWNDRAFTS
FOR A MARGINAL DAMAGING WIND RISK WITH THE STRONGEST MULTICELL
CLUSTERS.

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KJAN [291914]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 291914
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
214 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM TROPICAL STORM BROOKHAVEN 31.58N 90.45W
08/29/2012 LINCOLN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN THE CITY AND THROUGHOUT LINCOLN COUNTY


&&

$$

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KMOB [291908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMOB 291908
LSRMOB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
208 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0137 PM TORNADO MCHENRY 30.71N 89.14W
08/29/2012 STONE MS EMERGENCY MNGR

ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF OF A GROCERY STORE.


&&

$$

JFB

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KJAN [291853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 291853
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
153 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0151 PM HURRICANE HAZLEHURST 31.86N 90.39W
08/29/2012 COPIAH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN LOCATIONS IN CRYSTAL SPRINGS...
HOPEWELL...AND HAZLEHURST IN COPIAH COUNTY


&&

$$

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KLIX [291840]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 291840
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
140 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0133 PM FLASH FLOOD LAPLACE 30.07N 90.47W
08/29/2012 ST. JOHN THE BAPTI LA BROADCAST MEDIA

UP TO 3 FEET OF WATER IN HOMES IN THE LAPLACE AREA.

1233 PM TORNADO GULFPORT 30.39N 89.07W
08/29/2012 HARRISON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

STRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED IN ORANGE GROVE AREA.

0139 PM FLASH FLOOD GULFPORT 30.39N 89.07W
08/29/2012 HARRISON MS BROADCAST MEDIA

HIGHWAY 49 WAS IMPASSIBLE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING IN THE
ORANGE GROVE AREA.


&&

$$

BWAGNER

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KAKQ [291812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KAKQ 291812
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
212 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NNW NEWMARKET 37.03N 76.44W
08/28/2012 CITY OF HAMPTON VA PUBLIC

CAR SURROUNDED BY 3 FEET OF WATER

0555 PM FLASH FLOOD CHERRY ACRES 37.04N 76.34W
08/28/2012 CITY OF HAMPTON VA PUBLIC

FOX HILL ROAD ALMOST IMPASSABLE AT MERCURY BLVD

0630 PM HEAVY RAIN NORFOLK 36.85N 76.29W
08/28/2012 E3.50 INCH CITY OF NORFOLK VA EMERGENCY MNGR

HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSED FLOODING OF NUMEROUS STREETS THAT
TYPICALLY FLOOD. EVENT ENDED AROUND 10 PM.

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD HAMPTON 37.05N 76.30W
08/28/2012 CITY OF HAMPTON VA EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED OR IMPASASBLE...APARTMENT COMPLEX
EVACUATED. FLOODING ENDED AROUND 10 PM.

0845 PM FLOOD EMPORIA 36.69N 77.54W
08/28/2012 CITY OF EMPORIA VA EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS STREETS FLOODED THROUGHOUT CITY BETWEEN 845 PM
AND 11 PM. WATER TO BOTTOM OF A FEW BUILDINGS. MORE
WIDESPREAD THAN SATURDAYS EVENT.

0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE ADAMS GROVE 36.68N 77.34W
08/28/2012 M3.10 INCH SOUTHAMPTON VA TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER OVERFLOWING FIELDS INTO THE ROAD

0930 PM FLOOD CAPRON 36.71N 77.20W
08/28/2012 SOUTHAMPTON VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED...MAINLY WESTERN SECTIONS OF
COUNTY ALONG AND SOUTH OF RT. 58. FLOODING SUBSIDED
AFTER 4 AM.

0940 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE ADAMS GROVE 36.68N 77.34W
08/28/2012 M5.00 INCH SOUTHAMPTON VA TRAINED SPOTTER

SIDE ROADS IMPASSABLE

1055 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE ADAMS GROVE 36.68N 77.34W
08/28/2012 M6.30 INCH SOUTHAMPTON VA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1200717 AKQ1200718 AKQ1200725 AKQ1200722 AKQ1200724
AKQ1200719 AKQ1200723 AKQ1200720 AKQ1200721

$$

WRS

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KAKQ [291809]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KAKQ 291809
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
208 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NNW NEWMARKET 37.03N 76.44W
08/28/2012 CITY OF HAMPTON VA PUBLIC

CAR SURROUNDED BY 3 FEET OF WATER

0555 PM FLASH FLOOD CHERRY ACRES 37.04N 76.34W
08/28/2012 CITY OF HAMPTON VA PUBLIC

FOX HILL ROAD ALMOST IMPASSABLE AT MERCURY BLVD

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD HAMPTON 37.05N 76.30W
08/28/2012 CITY OF HAMPTON VA EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED OR IMPASASBLE...APARTMENT COMPLEX
EVACUATED. FLOODING ENDED AROUND 10 PM.

0845 PM FLOOD EMPORIA 36.69N 77.54W
08/28/2012 CITY OF EMPORIA VA EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS STREETS FLOODED THROUGHOUT CITY BETWEEN 845 PM
AND 11 PM. WATER TO BOTTOM OF A FEW BUILDINGS. MORE
WIDESPREAD THAN SATURDAYS EVENT.

0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE ADAMS GROVE 36.68N 77.34W
08/28/2012 M3.10 INCH SOUTHAMPTON VA TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER OVERFLOWING FIELDS INTO THE ROAD

0930 PM FLOOD CAPRON 36.71N 77.20W
08/28/2012 SOUTHAMPTON VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED...MAINLY WESTERN SECTIONS OF
COUNTY ALONG AND SOUTH OF RT. 58. FLOODING SUBSIDED
AFTER 4 AM.

0940 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE ADAMS GROVE 36.68N 77.34W
08/28/2012 M5.00 INCH SOUTHAMPTON VA TRAINED SPOTTER

SIDE ROADS IMPASSABLE

1055 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE ADAMS GROVE 36.68N 77.34W
08/28/2012 M6.30 INCH SOUTHAMPTON VA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1200717 AKQ1200718 AKQ1200722 AKQ1200724 AKQ1200719
AKQ1200723 AKQ1200720 AKQ1200721

$$

WRS

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 291730
SWODY2
SPC AC 291728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE SHOULD SHIFT FROM THE MID-MS VALLEY TO THE
SRN APPALACHIANS...AS TC ISAAC TRACKS NNW ACROSS LA INTO WRN AR PER
LATEST NHC FORECAST. QUASI-ZONAL FLOW REGIME WILL EXIST ACROSS THE
NRN CONUS WITH A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE IMPULSE PROGRESSING
RAPIDLY FROM THE SRN PRAIRIE PROVINCES TO QUEBEC BY EARLY FRI. AN
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND
BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY ALONG THE SD/NEB BORDER.

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
ALTHOUGH TC ISAAC IS FORECAST TO BE IN A WEAKENING PHASE...STRONG TO
INTENSE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. IN
FACT...A RELATIVE INCREASE IN THE TORNADO THREAT MAY OCCUR AS ISAAC
MOVES FARTHER INLAND...WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER DIURNAL HEATING
IN THE SERN QUADRANT. THIS SCENARIO WILL BE PREDICATED ON THE
OCCURRENCE OF GREATER INSOLATION RESULTING IN INCREASING
DESTABILIZATION. ALTHOUGH THE NAM TRACK APPEARS TO BE A WWD
OUTLIER...CONVECTION-ALLOWING NAM NESTS AND WRF HI-RES WINDOWS DO
SUGGEST THAT GENERALLY N/S-ORIENTED BANDS OF STRONG CONVECTION
SHOULD INDEED DIURNALLY INCREASE. AS SUCH...FOLLOWING THE NHC TRACK
AND GFS/ECMWF GUIDANCE FOR THE STRENGTH/SPATIAL EXTENT OF LOW-LEVEL
SLYS...HAVE SHIFTED AND SOMEWHAT EXPANDED THE SLIGHT RISK EWD.

...UPPER GREAT LAKES...
ISOLATED ELEVATED TSTMS ROOTED AROUND 600-650 MB MAY DEVELOP THU
MORNING AND THEN AGAIN EARLY FRI WITHIN A RESIDUAL MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE PLUME TRAILING THE FAST-MOVING IMPULSE ACROSS S-CNTRL/SERN
CANADA. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN SETUP
WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A VERY STOUT CAPPING INVERSION FOR
SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION AS THE PLAINS EML SPREADS EWD.

..GRAMS.. 08/29/2012

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1832

ACUS11 KWNS 291649
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291648
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-291845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1832
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN AL...SRN MS AND SERN LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 594...

VALID 291648Z - 291845Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 594 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN THE
CURVED CONVECTIVE RAINBANDS WITHIN THE ERN SEMICIRCLE OF HURRICANE
ISAAC...AS EMBEDDED...SHALLOW TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS TRACK NNWWD
THROUGH WW 594. A SLOW NW TRACK OF HURRICANE ISAAC...AS INDICATED BY
NHC...SUGGESTS STRONGER WIND FIELDS SHOULD SPREAD A LITTLE FARTHER
NWD ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL LA/MS. THE INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL WINDS
WAS ALREADY INDICATED BY THE WSR-88D VAD AT WFO JAN. THUS...TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY NWD SHIFT IN THE OUTER CONVECTIVE BAND AND
SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN A TORNADO THREAT/NEW WW ISSUANCE POTENTIAL.

DISCUSSION...AT 15Z...NHC POSITION OF ISAAC SHOWED IT CENTERED OVER
SERN LA...NEAR HOUMA...WITH THE ERN SEMICIRCLE CONVECTIVE RAINBANDS
EXTENDING OUTWARD THROUGH SERN LA...SRN MS AND FAR SWRN AL. GIVEN
THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST MOVEMENT BEING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NW...SOME
NWD EXPANSION OF STRONGER WIND FIELDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH IN THE
SHORT TERM AREAL COVERAGE OF WW 594 APPEARS TO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT
TORNADO THREAT. TIME-LAPSE OF LIX/MOB WSR-88DS INDICATED SHALLOW
SUPERCELLS WITH LOW LEVEL ROTATIONS EMBEDDED IN THE CONVECTIVE
RAINBANDS. THESE TRANSIENT ROTATIONS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN DETECTED
THUS FAR FROM OFFSHORE SERN LA THROUGH SERN LA...SERN MS AND FAR
SWRN AL.

ANALYSIS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED WSR-88D VADS INDICATED RECENT WINDS
AROUND 65 KT AT 0.5-1 KM AGL AT LIX AND 55-60 KT VALUES IN THE SAME
LEVELS AT MOB. GIVEN THESE WINDS SPEEDS AND ACCOUNTING FOR CURRENT
SURFACE WINDS AND GENERALLY 50 KT STORM MOTION IN THE OUTER BAND AND
60 KT MOTION IN THE MIDDLE BAND...0-1 KM SRH IS RANGING FROM AROUND
400 M2/S2 IN SERN LA AND ADJACENT MS COUNTIES TO AROUND 200 M2/S2 IN
FAR SERN MS/FAR SWRN AL. OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED GRADUAL
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS WW 594...WITH THIS PRIMARILY ATTRIBUTED TO
THE TRANSPORT/ADVECTION OF HIGH-THETAE MARINE AIR INTO THE NERN
QUADRANT OF ISAAC...GIVEN THE LACK OF DIABATIC HEATING. GIVEN THESE
KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC FACTORS...A TORNADO THREAT PERSISTS
ACROSS WW 594.

..PETERS.. 08/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 28929131 29859132 30719187 31239153 31629082 31888848
31548798 31168764 30038721 29738847 28738876 28448925
28688983 28609063 28719126 28929131

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291632
SWODY1
SPC AC 291630

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

VALID 291630Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
HURRICANE ISAAC IS DRIFTING NWWD OVER SRN LA AND LATEST NHC FORECAST
INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL REACH CENTRAL LA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
12Z RAOB AT SIL AND LATEST VAD PROFILES AT KLIX AND KMOB EXHIBIT
VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH 50-65 KT SELY
WINDS IN THE LOWEST 1 KM...WITH ENLARGED CLOCKWISE TURNING
HODOGRAPHS IN THE LOWEST 3 KM. INCORPORATION OF OBSERVED STORM
MOTIONS RESULTS IN SRH OF 150-400 M2/S2 SUPPORTIVE OF CONVECTIVE
UPDRAFT ROTATION. AREA RADARS CONTINUE TO SHOW SMALL TRANSIENT
ROTATIONAL COUPLETS EMBEDDED WITHIN SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS OVER
EXTREME SERN MS AS CELLS MOVE RAPIDLY NWWD. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
SUGGESTS THAT DIURNAL HEATING WILL BE LIMITED THIS AFTERNOON AMIDST
A MOIST ADIABATIC THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE WITH GENERALLY WEAK CAPE.
HOWEVER...THE FAVORABLE KINEMATIC FIELDS INDICATE A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR SHALLOW SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WITHIN THE MORE
FAVORABLE NERN QUADRANT OF ISAAC AS IT DRIFTS NWWD THROUGH TONIGHT.

...NRN PLAINS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH/VORTICITY MAX MOVING
ONSHORE INTO THE PACIFIC NW. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ENEWD
AND FLATTEN THE NRN PORTION OF THE UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. A STRONG SURFACE
COLD FRONT IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS
EWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL DIABATIC HEATING THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DEEP
WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED STORMS MAY FROM DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING NEAR THE FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT AND ATTENDANT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN WEST/NORTH OF
THE WARM SECTOR...SUFFICIENT SHEAR /25-30 KT IN THE LOWEST 6 KM/ FOR
ORGANIZED MAINLY MULTICELL STORMS TO DEVELOP WITH POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AND POSSIBLE HAIL.

...SE GA/SC...
THE NERN EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC AND
DIURNAL HEATING S OF THE THICKER CLOUDS AND A WEAK SURFACE FRONT IN
THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF
1500-2000 J/KG. DCAPE OF 600-1000 J/KG AND MODERATE BUOYANCY COULD
RESULT IN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG PRECIPITATION LOADING AND DOWNDRAFTS
FOR A MARGINAL DAMAGING WIND RISK WITH THE STRONGEST MULTICELL
CLUSTERS.

..WEISS/GARNER.. 08/29/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291254
SWODY1
SPC AC 291252

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...

...LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...
HURRICANE ISAAC IS DRIFTING WWD OVER SE LA...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST TODAY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FROM NHC
PROJECTS A PATH INTO S CENTRAL LA BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD...THOUGH SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE LONGER-TERM
PATH OF ISAAC AND THE INFLUENCE OF THE MIDLEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPING EWD
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MS VALLEY. ASSUMING ISAAC MOVES
FARTHER INLAND...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED.

THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF ISAAC HAS BECOME MORE PROTOTYPICAL OF A
LANDFALLING HURRICANE...WITH ASYMMETRY IN THE CONVECTION FAVORING
THE ERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE STORM. CONVECTION IS ALSO MORE CLEARLY
PHASED WITH THE REGION OF STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR TO THE NE OF THE
CYCLONE CENTER...WHERE PERSISTENT BANDS WITH EMBEDDED ROTATING
STORMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED FROM THE MS SOUND NWWD INTO SE MS. THIS
BASIC SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE INTO THE DAY...WHEN OCCASIONAL CLOUD
BREAKS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POCKETS OF STRONGER SURFACE HEATING/
BUOYANCY. AS SUCH...THE PATTERN SUPPORTS THE RISK FOR A FEW
TORNADOES ACROSS EXTREME SW AL AND SRN MS THIS MORNING...WITH A
GRADUAL WWD AND INLAND SPREAD OF THE TORNADO THREAT ACROSS LA/MS
TODAY IN CONJUNCTION WITH WWD MOVEMENT OF THE CYCLONE.

...CENTRAL ND LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES THIS MORNING WILL
EJECT ENEWD OVER MT AND THE SRN PRAIRIE PROVINCES BY EARLY
TONIGHT...AS AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT CROSSES MT AND THE
DAKOTAS. REGIONAL 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW A WARM EML AND SOMEWHAT
LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AOA 100 F NEEDED TO MIX THROUGH THE BASE OF THE EML
NEAR 850 MB. THERE WILL BE A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR
HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
ACROSS CENTRAL ND...WITH A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR ISOLATED
STRONG/DAMAGING OUTFLOW GUSTS.

...SE GA/SC THIS AFTERNOON...
THE NERN EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC AND
DAYTIME HEATING S OF THE THICKER CLOUDS AND A WEAK SURFACE FRONT IN
THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF
1500-2000 J/KG. DCAPE OF 600-1000 J/KG AND MODERATE BUOYANCY COULD
RESULT IN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG PRECIPITATION LOADING AND DOWNDRAFTS
FOR A MARGINAL DAMAGING WIND RISK WITH THE STRONGEST MULTICELL
CLUSTERS.

..THOMPSON/COHEN.. 08/29/2012

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 594

WWUS20 KWNS 291136
SEL4
SPC WW 291136
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-292100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 594
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
635 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 635 AM UNTIL
400 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
MOBILE ALABAMA TO 60 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 593. WATCH NUMBER 593 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
635 AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...HURRICANE ISAAC WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY WWD TODAY
NEAR THE SE LA COAST. MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE BANDS WILL PERSIST IN THE
AREA OF STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR NE OF THE CYCLONE CENTER...WHERE
THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND A FEW
TORNADOES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 16050.


...THOMPSON

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KJAN [291100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 291100
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
559 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM TROPICAL STORM SANDERSVILLE 31.79N 89.04W
08/28/2012 JONES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS A ROAD.


&&

$$

19

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KJAN [291059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 291059
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
558 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TROPICAL STORM SANDERSVILLE 31.79N 89.04W
08/28/2012 JONES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ONTO POWERLINES.


&&

$$

19

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1831

ACUS11 KWNS 291047
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291046
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-291215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1831
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0546 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SRN AL...SRN MS...SERN LA...EXTREME WRN
PANHANDLE OF FL.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 593...

VALID 291046Z - 291215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 593 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES IN MIDDLE-OUTER BANDS OF THIS
SYSTEM...AND SHOULD SHIFT INLAND/NWWD WITH TIME THROUGH REMAINDER
MORNING. THREAT ALSO MAY INCREASE INLAND DURING DAY. AS
SUCH...NEW/REPLACEMENT WW IS LIKELY...95%...BEFORE SCHEDULED 12Z
EXPIRATION OF WW 593.

DISCUSSION...AS CENTER OF ISAAC PROCEEDS GENERALLY NWWD...PER NHC
FCSTS...SPIRAL BANDS WITH EPISODIC/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL SHIFT
TORNADO THREAT INLAND/NWWD IN STEP WITH PARENT CIRCULATION. A FEW
SHORT-LIVED/WEAK MESOCYCLONES HAVE BEEN EVIDENT OVERNIGHT NE OF
CENTER...IN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY LARGE HODOGRAPHS AND
EFFECTIVE SRH 300-600 J/KG OVER EXTREME SERN MS AND SRN AL. THIS
SRH REMAINS BEST JUXTAPOSED WITH FAVORABLE CAPE OVER EXTREME SERN MS
AND SWRN AL. MODIFIED RAOBS AND FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MLCAPE
RANGES FROM AROUND 100-200 J/KG OVER LOWER PEARL RIVER REGION TO
AROUND 500 J/KG BETWEEN MOB-PNS. FAVORABLE BUOYANCY SHOULD SPREAD
INLAND THROUGH DAYLIGHT HOURS...WITH COMBINATION OF SUBTLE DIABATIC
HEATING AND INLAND TRANSPORT/ADVECTION OF HIGH-THETAE MARINE AIR ON
EITHER SIDE OF SPIRAL BANDS. SUCH DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR IN
GRADUAL/PATCHWORK FASHION DUE TO OFFSETTING/STABILIZING EFFECTS OF
PERSISTENT PRECIP AREAS. ALSO...UNLIKE IN PREVIOUS STAGES OF THIS
SYSTEM...CONVECTIVE ASYMMETRY IS INCLINED TOWARD MOST FAVORABLE
CAPE/SHEAR SECTOR N THROUGH ESE OF CENTER.

NET EFFECT SHOULD BE INCREASE IN FAVORABLE CAPE/SHEAR OVERLAP DURING
DAY...AND THEREFORE...MAINTAINED AND PERHAPS INCREASED TORNADO
POTENTIAL WITH TIME. ISOLATED/WEAKER CELLS ALONG FRINGE OF
CIRCULATION...S OF WRN FL PANHANDLE...WILL POSE NONZERO BUT
SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER TORNADO RISK THAN BANDED CONVECTION..SINCE IT
WILL REMAIN IN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGHER CAPE BUT MORE MRGL SHEAR.

..EDWARDS.. 08/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 30288728 30198808 30238865 30188902 30008881 29698885
29538903 29398931 29358915 29258911 29218895 28948911
29058925 28818947 29098934 29218950 29278978 29079019
29019065 30239145 31429116 31878864 31378784 30698730
30288728

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KLIX [291030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KLIX 291030
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
530 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 AM FLOOD 3 ENE BELLE CHASSE 29.86N 89.96W
08/29/2012 PLAQUEMINES LA EMERGENCY MNGR

PLAQUEMINES PARISH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT REPORTED OVERTOPPING OF A PARISH BACK LEVEE
FROM THE ST. BERNARD PARISH LINE TO WHITE DITCH. FLOOD
WATERS ARE ENTERING THE EAST BANK OF PLAQUEMINES PARISH
BETWEEN THOSE LOCATIONS AND EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE
TAKING PLACE.

0420 AM FLOOD 3 ENE BELLE CHASSE 29.86N 89.96W
08/29/2012 PLAQUEMINES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 5 FEET OF WATER IN THE
WOODLAWN FIRE DEPARTMENT.


&&

$$

98/SO

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KLIX [291030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 291030
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
529 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 AM FLASH FLOOD NEW ORLEANS 29.97N 90.08W
08/29/2012 ORLEANS LA PUBLIC

WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN
DOWNTOWN AREA OF NEW ORLEANS.


&&

$$

11

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KLIX [290946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 290946
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
446 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 AM FLOOD 3 WNW BELLE CHASSE 29.86N 90.05W
08/29/2012 JEFFERSON LA EMERGENCY MNGR

PLAQUEMINES PARISH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT REPORTED OVERTOPPING OF A PARISH BACK LEVEE
FROM THE ST. BERNARD PARISH LINE TO WHITE DITCH. FLOOD
WATERS ARE ENTERING THE EAST BANK OF PLAQUEMINES PARISH
BETWEEN THOSE LOCATIONS AND EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE
TAKING PLACE.

0420 AM FLOOD 3 WNW BELLE CHASSE 29.86N 90.05W
08/29/2012 JEFFERSON LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 5 FEET OF WATER IN THE
WOODLAWN FIRE DEPARTMENT.


&&

$$

98/SO

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KLIX [290937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 290937
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
437 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 AM HURRICANE 4 ENE METAIRIE 30.03N 90.11W
08/29/2012 GMZ530 LA C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH WAS MEASURED AT NEW CANAL CMAN
STATION.


&&

$$

11

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 290723
SWOD48
SPC AC 290723

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...
ON SUN/D5...THE BASE OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN
PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...WITH A WEAK SFC PRESSURE
TROUGH ROUGHLY ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS AND WRN MN BY SUN EVENING. SLY
WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS AS WELL AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE REMNANT
TROPICAL SYSTEM SHOULD HELP RAISE BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 60S F AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. ALTHOUGH SCATTERED STORMS
ARE LIKELY...SHEAR PROFILES WILL NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG AND ONLY
MARGINAL WIND AND HAIL ARE PROBABLE.

THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS WI AND MI ON MON/D6...WITH
SIMILAR POTENTIAL ALTHOUGH WITH A BIT MORE DEFINITION TO THE COLD
FRONT BY THIS TIME SUGGESTING LINEAR STORM MODE.

THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC ARE FORECAST TO BECOME ABSORBED INTO THIS
TROUGH LATER IN THE PERIOD...WITH THE MAIN FOCUS BEING HEAVY RAIN
FROM THE OH/TN VALLEYS NEWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS FOR D7 AND D8.

..JEWELL.. 08/29/2012

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KLIX [290710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 290710
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
210 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 AM HURRICANE BELLE CHASSE 29.85N 90.00W
08/29/2012 PLAQUEMINES LA AMATEUR RADIO

BELLE CHASSE FERRY DOCK MEASURED 113 MPH WIND GUST.


&&

$$

24/RR

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1830

ACUS11 KWNS 290656
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290655
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-290900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1830
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN LA...SRN MS...SWRN AL...WRN PANHANDLE
OF FL.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 593...

VALID 290655Z - 290900Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 593 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...GREATEST UNCONDITIONAL TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO
BE WITH MINI-SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN OUTER BAND CURRENTLY
EXTENDING SEWD FROM MOB AREA ACROSS COASTAL/OFFSHORE WATERS OF AL.
INNER BANDING OFFSHORE MS COAST ALSO MAY OFFER BRIEF SPINUPS OVER
COASTAL MS AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. THESE FEATURES SHOULD EXPERIENCE
NET WWD SHIFT IN STEP WITH THAT COMPONENT OF ISAAC'S TRANSLATION.
GIVEN CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF THIS SYSTEM...AND DECREASE IN
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR EWD...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS E OF OUTERMOST BAND APPEAR
IMPROBABLE...AND WW MAY BE CLEARED FROM E-W ACCORDINGLY.

DISCUSSION...GREATEST JUXTAPOSITION OF BUOYANCY AND LOW-LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN WITH OUTER-BANDING FEATURES AND
INDIVIDUAL/EMBEDDED SUPERCELL ELEMENTS MOVING OFF GULF. IN
NOCTURNAL ABSENCE OF DIABATIC SFC HEATING...LOW-LEVEL BUOYANCY
ARISES FROM SUFFICIENT MARINE-LAYER THETAE...ADVECTING NWWD FROM
GULF ADJACENT TO OUTER BANDING AND BECOMING PART OF INFLOW LAYER FOR
EMBEDDED CELLS. MODIFIED SOUNDINGS ACCORDINGLY SUGGEST HIGHEST
OVERLAND 0-3 KM CAPE VALUES ALONG COAST FROM AL EWD...CONTRIBUTING
TO TOTAL MLCAPE OF AROUND 500-1000 J/KG. CAPE WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH WITH NWWD/INLAND EXTENT DUE TO PRECIP EFFECTS...AND DROPS
OFF SHARPLY NW OF NEARLY COLLOCATED SFC TROUGH AND WEAK BAROCLINIC
BOUNDARY. AT 6Z THIS BOUNDARY WAS DRAWN FROM NEAR GPT NEWD TO NEAR
MGM...AND SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY NWWD APACE WITH TC TRANSLATION.
VWP...RAOBS AND MODIFIED MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST GREATEST EFFECTIVE
SRH OVER COASTAL AL AND EXTREME SERN MS...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WITH
EWD EXTENT AWAY FROM STRONGEST 925-850 MB WINDS THAT CONTRIBUTE TO
LARGE HODOGRAPHS. AS SMALL CAPE/SRH OVERLAP NOW OVER COASTAL AL AND
SERN MS SHIFTS WWD...SO WILL RELATIVE MAX IN TORNADO THREAT.

..EDWARDS.. 08/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 30288728 30198808 30238865 30188902 30008881 29698885
29538903 29398931 29358915 29258911 29218895 28948911
29058925 28818947 29098934 29218950 29278978 29079019
29019065 30239145 31429116 31878864 31138733 30428711
30288728

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 290604
SWODY3
SPC AC 290603

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0103 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE PLAINS STATES WITH
ISAAC BRINGING MOISTURE NWWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS
VALLEY. TO THE NE...A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD THE NERN
STATES WITH MODERATE NWLY FLOW AND COOLING ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE...A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL TRAIL SWWD FROM THE PARENT LOW INTO
NEW ENGLAND WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. ELSEWHERE...DAYTIME STORMS
WILL PERSIST OVER THE GREAT BASIN.

...AR INTO NRN LA...
THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC SHOULD CONTINUE NWD ACROSS WRN AR INTO SWRN MO
WITH WIND AND RAIN. ENHANCED SHEAR PROFILES E OF THE LOW CENTER WILL
BE ENHANCED AND THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE MAY LEAD TO A FEW
BRIEF TORNADOES WITH THE MORE INTENSE RAIN BAND STORMS. POCKETS OF
HEATING WILL ENHANCE THE THREAT LOCALLY. THE DENOTED SEVERE AREA IS
LIKELY TO SHIFT SOMEWHAT AS STORM TRACK IS ADJUSTED.

...NRN NY EWD INTO ME...
A NWLY FLOW REGIME WILL MATERIALIZE ACROSS THE NERN STATES ON
FRIDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME SEVERE HAIL AND WIND.
HODOGRAPHS WILL BE LONG AND WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS. WITH DAYTIME
HEATING...LOW TO MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALSO BE STEEP...AND WILL
SUPPORT LARGE HAIL EVEN WITH MARGINAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. GIVEN WEAK
FORCING...STORM COVERAGE IS UNCERTAIN...BUT CONDITIONALLY THERE WITH
BE A SEVERE THREAT.

..JEWELL.. 08/29/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 290546
SWODY1
SPC AC 290543

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1243 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE ISAAC IS FORECAST TO MOVE NWWD INTO CENTRAL LA BY 30/12Z
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM BY THAT TIME.

AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL LIFT NEWD INTO SRN CANADA
AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NRN PLAINS. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD WHILE UPPER
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES EWD
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY.

...CENTRAL GULF COAST...
HURRICANE ISAAC IS FORECAST TO MOVE NWWD AND BE CENTERED OVER
CENTRAL LA BY 30/12Z. THE SLOW MOVEMENT WILL ALLOW FOR A PROLONGED
FLOW OF VERY MOIST AIR/LOW LCLS TO PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
COASTAL REGION. BASED ON THE FORECAST INTENSITY AS ISAAC MOVES
INLAND...STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WEDNESDAY. POSSIBLE BREAKS IN
CLOUD COVER MAY ALLOW FOR GREATER HEATING/DESTABILIZATION ON THE
OUTER FRINGES OF THE CIRCULATION AND PERHAPS MORE PERSISTENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. THE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES SHOULD LESSEN
LATE IN THE PERIOD AS LOW-LEVEL WINDS AND INSTABILITY BOTH DIMINISH.


...PORTIONS OF ND/SD...
INTENSE DIABATIC HEATING WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A DEEP/WELL-MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON WED. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE PROVINCES WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION WED AFTERNOON/EVENING. ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH AND A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL LARGELY REMAIN NORTH OF
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. IN ADDITION...VERY WARM MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD EFFECTIVELY PREVENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATE
IN THE DAY. A FEW HIGH-BASED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP LATE NEAR THE
FRONT...AS SUGGESTED BY THE NSSL WRF-ARW...AND THE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..BUNTING/ROGERS.. 08/29/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 290456
SWODY2
SPC AC 290455

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF LA...WRN MS AND
FAR SRN AR...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL STRETCH FROM THE FOUR CORNERS STATES EWD TO THE
APPALACHIANS ON THU WITH TROPICAL SYSTEM ISAAC AFFECTING THE LOWER
MS VALLEY AREA. THE STRONGER FLOW WILL BE ACROSS THE NRN U.S. WITH A
LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AFFECTING THE UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT
LAKES REGION BUT WITH LITTLE MOISTURE FOR STORMS. A GREATER THREAT
FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS AZ INTO THE GREAT BASIN AS MOISTURE
STREAMS NWD AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE.

...LA...SWRN MS...SRN AR...
ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BE IN A WEAKENING PHASE AS IT CONTINUES NWWD
ACROSS LA AND INTO SRN AR BY THU EVENING. SUBSTANTIAL WIND FIELDS
WILL STILL EXIST AROUND THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH MINIMAL INSTABILITY.
AS SUCH...A FEW BRIEF TORNADOES MAY OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER
CELLS WITHIN THE RAIN BANDS MAINLY ALONG AND JUST E OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION WHERE THE STRONGEST SHEAR AND FORCING WILL COEXIST.

...CNTRL MN INTO NRN WI AND UPPER MI...
A WEAK SFC TROUGH WILL TRAIL SWWD ACROSS NRN WI INTO SRN MN BY LATE
AFTERNOON. WEAK CONVERGENCE AND HEATING NEAR THE BOUNDARY MAY ALLOW
FOR A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP...WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS BY PEAK HEATING. VERY LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT
BUT MODEST WIND FIELDS A WELL AS VERY DRY AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS
COULD SUPPORT SOME STRONGER WIND GUSTS.

..JEWELL.. 08/29/2012

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KRAH [290400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 290400
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1200 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 PM FLASH FLOOD WINSTON-SALEM 36.10N 80.26W
08/28/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200899

$$

CBL

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