NWUS55 KTFX 281646
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1046 AM MDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW ROCKY BOY 48.26N 109.78W
05/28/2012 E7.0 INCH HILL MT MESONET
ESTIMATED 7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AT
THE ROCKY BOY SNOTEL. ELEVATION IS 4700 FEET.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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Monday, May 28, 2012
DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 281632
SWODY1
SPC AC 281630
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
TO MI/IND...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE NORTHEAST...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...
...WI/ERN IA ACROSS IL TO MI...
A BAND OF WEAK PRE-FRONTAL TSTMS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST INTO IL LATE
THIS MORNING WHILE PRIMARY COLD FRONT AND SURFACE LOW REMAIN TO THE
WEST...ACROSS WI/IA. WHILE ONGOING CONVECTION MAY TEND TO INCREASE
IN INTENSITY AS GREATER WARM SECTOR INSTABILITY IS
REALIZED...GREATER SHEAR AND FORCING WILL LIKELY EVOLVE ALONG OR
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. RENEWED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS
ANTICIPATED ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND NEAR SURFACE LOW...FROM WI TO
ERN IA...THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS WHERE MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1800
J/KG WILL BE REACHED AMIDST RELATIVELY WEAK INHIBITION. LIFT ALONG
THE FRONT WILL BE AIDED BY STRONG HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE REGION AND
THESE FACTORS SHOULD SUSTAIN STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS SPREADING
EAST/SOUTHEAST LATER TODAY.
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AROUND 40KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM
MODES...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF MAINLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. GIVEN LINEAR FORCING ALONG THE
ADVANCING FRONT...STORMS MAY MERGE INTO A RELATIVELY EXTENSIVE
SQUALL LINE BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS WILL BE QUITE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS FROM ERN
WI AND NRN IL ACROSS LAKE MI AND INTO MI THROUGH THE EVENING.
...MN TO NRN WI...
A SECONDARY FRONTAL SURGE ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER STRONG VORT LOBE
ROTATING THROUGH THE UPPER LOW OVER ND WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS
NRN/CNTRL MN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE HAVING ALREADY
EXPERIENCED SOME CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADING FRONT ACROSS SRN/CNTRL MN LAST
NIGHT...AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS SECOND FRONT SHOULD DESTABILIZE
SUFFICIENTLY TO SUPPORT STRONGER STORM UPDRAFTS WITH HAIL AND HIGH
WIND POTENTIAL. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE FAR
ENOUGH REMOVED FROM THE STORM/SQUALL LINE DEVELOPMENT FARTHER EAST
AND WILL TRACK TOWARD THE ARROWHEAD OF MN...AND PERHAPS INTO PARTS
OF NRN WI THROUGH LATE TODAY.
...NORTHEAST...
A WEAK UPPER WAVE OBSERVED ON WV IMAGERY OVER W CNTRL NY APPEARS TO
HAVE EMANATED FROM ACROSS MN 24 HRS AGO. THE SUBTLE WAVE HAS
PROVIDED SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT TO MAINTAIN A LOOSELY
ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF STORMS...NOW WEAKENING WHILE MOVING SEWD ACROSS
CNTRL NY. DOWNSTREAM DESTABILIZATION AND LESSENING INHIBITION ALONG
A DIFFUSE QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY FROM NERN PA TO SRN NEW ENGLAND
MAY RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN TSTMS IN THESE AREAS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS REGION LIES WITHIN BROAD RIDGE AXIS WITH ABOUT
15-20KT OF MID FLOW...SOUTH OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW ACROSS PARTS
OF NY AND NRN NEW ENGLAND. WITH HIGH TEMPS FORECAST IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOWER 90S F AND DEWPOINT TEMPS WELL INTO THE 60S F...MODERATE
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP. SOME MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST
AN INCREASE IN SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION IN THE 17-18Z PERIOD BUT
OTHER SCENARIOS DEPICT LESS DEVELOPMENT. ANY STORMS THAT CAN
INITIATE WILL POSE SOME THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL GIVEN
MAGNITUDE OF ANTICIPATED DESTABILIZATION IN THE WARM SECTOR BUT
OVERALL STORM ORGANIZATION MAY REMAIN LIMITED BY LACK OF STRONGER
FLOW/SHEAR.
FARTHER NORTHEAST...A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT HAS SPREAD SWD ACROSS NRN
NEW ENGLAND. DRIER AIR AND CLOUD COVER WILL GREATLY INHIBIT
SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THESE AREAS. HOWEVER...THE
FRONT WILL ACT TO REINFORCE THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE VERY WARM AND
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ACROSS NY AND POINTS SOUTH...AND MAY
ALSO AID DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATER TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. FORCING FOR LIFT ACROSS THIS BOUNDARY IS UNCERTAIN.
HOWEVER...LARGE SCALE PATTERN SUGGESTS THAT WEAK AND ILL-DEFINED
IMPULSES...ORIGINATING IN DEEP CONVECTION UPSTREAM...MAY ENHANCE
LIFT ALONG THIS NW-SE ORIENTED FRONTAL ZONE TO SUPPORT AN INCREASE
IN NOCTURNAL STORMS WITH HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
...SRN PLAINS...
A LARGE WARM SECTOR IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS WRN/CNTRL TX WHERE
SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S F. A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED
FROM WRN OK EXTENDING SWWD ACROSS WEST TX. ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT...MODERATE INSTABILITY IS ALREADY PRESENT. AS
SFC TEMPS WARM INTO EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON...MLCAPE VALUES SHOULD
PEAK IN THE 2500 TO 3500 J/KG RANGE FROM JUST EAST OF THE MIDLAND
AREA NEWD TO AROUND WICHITA FALLS. MODEL FORECASTS ARE IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT...DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS ON THE WRN EDGE OF
INSTABILITY ON THE CAP ROCK NEAR LUBBOCK LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
CONVECTION SHOULD SPREAD NEWD ACROSS NW TX INTO SW OK BY EARLY TO
MID EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE AXIS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KT
WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AT 8.0 TO 8.5 C/KM. THIS SHOULD
BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND THE MORE DOMINANT
SUPERCELLS MAY HAVE HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
THUS....A 30 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF HAIL...SOME SIGNIFICANT IN
EXCESS OF 2 INCHES....WILL BE MAINTAINED IN THIS OTLK ACROSS NW TX.
ALTHOUGH A TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES
ACROSS NW TX EARLY THIS EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS
CONDITIONAL. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT WICHITA FALLS AT 02Z SHOW 15 TO
20 KT OF 0-1 KM SHEAR AND DROP LCL HEIGHTS TO AROUND 1100 METERS
SUGGESTING THE ENVIRONMENT COULD BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. AT THIS POINT...WILL
NOT ADD A 5 PERCENT TORNADO PROBABILITY DUE TO THE CONDITIONAL
NATURE OF THE THREAT. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD ALSO ACCOMPANY
SUPERCELLS WITH THE SEVERE THREAT DEVELOPING NEWD INTO SW OK THIS
EVENING. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS
CNTRL AND NERN OK INTO SW MO BUT WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND WARM
AIR ALOFT WITH NEWD EXTENT SHOULD LIMIT A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL/WIDESPREAD SEVERE THREAT.
...SRN GA/NERN FL...
WILL INCLUDE A VERY LOW TORNADO PROBABILITY WITH THIS OTLK ACROSS
NRN/NERN QUADRANT OF TD BERYL. VERY MOIST/SATURATED TROPICAL
AIRMASS EXISTS WITHIN THE WEAKENING CIRCULATION ACROSS NRN FL AND
SRN GA. WHILE LATEST INDICATIONS ALSO SUGGEST WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER
AND LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY...WIND FIELDS
AROUND THE CYCLONE REMAIN STRONG AND 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 20 TO 30 KT. THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT
LOW-TOPPED ROTATING STORMS IF GREATER DESTABILIZATION CAN BE
REALIZED. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER WITHIN THE
NERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION COULD RESULT IN POCKETS OF
INSTABILITY AND ALLOW FOR A FEW DISCRETE UPDRAFTS TO PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS EXHIBITING PERSISTENT ROTATION IN THE PRESENCE
OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WOULD POSE SOME THREAT OF A WEAK/BRIEF
TORNADO. HOWEVER...THIS REMAINS A LOW PROBABILITY EVENT.
..CARBIN/HURLBUT/BROYLES.. 05/28/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281630
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
TO MI/IND...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE NORTHEAST...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...
...WI/ERN IA ACROSS IL TO MI...
A BAND OF WEAK PRE-FRONTAL TSTMS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST INTO IL LATE
THIS MORNING WHILE PRIMARY COLD FRONT AND SURFACE LOW REMAIN TO THE
WEST...ACROSS WI/IA. WHILE ONGOING CONVECTION MAY TEND TO INCREASE
IN INTENSITY AS GREATER WARM SECTOR INSTABILITY IS
REALIZED...GREATER SHEAR AND FORCING WILL LIKELY EVOLVE ALONG OR
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. RENEWED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS
ANTICIPATED ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND NEAR SURFACE LOW...FROM WI TO
ERN IA...THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS WHERE MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1800
J/KG WILL BE REACHED AMIDST RELATIVELY WEAK INHIBITION. LIFT ALONG
THE FRONT WILL BE AIDED BY STRONG HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE REGION AND
THESE FACTORS SHOULD SUSTAIN STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS SPREADING
EAST/SOUTHEAST LATER TODAY.
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AROUND 40KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM
MODES...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF MAINLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. GIVEN LINEAR FORCING ALONG THE
ADVANCING FRONT...STORMS MAY MERGE INTO A RELATIVELY EXTENSIVE
SQUALL LINE BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS WILL BE QUITE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS FROM ERN
WI AND NRN IL ACROSS LAKE MI AND INTO MI THROUGH THE EVENING.
...MN TO NRN WI...
A SECONDARY FRONTAL SURGE ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER STRONG VORT LOBE
ROTATING THROUGH THE UPPER LOW OVER ND WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS
NRN/CNTRL MN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE HAVING ALREADY
EXPERIENCED SOME CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADING FRONT ACROSS SRN/CNTRL MN LAST
NIGHT...AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS SECOND FRONT SHOULD DESTABILIZE
SUFFICIENTLY TO SUPPORT STRONGER STORM UPDRAFTS WITH HAIL AND HIGH
WIND POTENTIAL. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE FAR
ENOUGH REMOVED FROM THE STORM/SQUALL LINE DEVELOPMENT FARTHER EAST
AND WILL TRACK TOWARD THE ARROWHEAD OF MN...AND PERHAPS INTO PARTS
OF NRN WI THROUGH LATE TODAY.
...NORTHEAST...
A WEAK UPPER WAVE OBSERVED ON WV IMAGERY OVER W CNTRL NY APPEARS TO
HAVE EMANATED FROM ACROSS MN 24 HRS AGO. THE SUBTLE WAVE HAS
PROVIDED SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT TO MAINTAIN A LOOSELY
ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF STORMS...NOW WEAKENING WHILE MOVING SEWD ACROSS
CNTRL NY. DOWNSTREAM DESTABILIZATION AND LESSENING INHIBITION ALONG
A DIFFUSE QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY FROM NERN PA TO SRN NEW ENGLAND
MAY RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN TSTMS IN THESE AREAS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS REGION LIES WITHIN BROAD RIDGE AXIS WITH ABOUT
15-20KT OF MID FLOW...SOUTH OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW ACROSS PARTS
OF NY AND NRN NEW ENGLAND. WITH HIGH TEMPS FORECAST IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOWER 90S F AND DEWPOINT TEMPS WELL INTO THE 60S F...MODERATE
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP. SOME MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST
AN INCREASE IN SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION IN THE 17-18Z PERIOD BUT
OTHER SCENARIOS DEPICT LESS DEVELOPMENT. ANY STORMS THAT CAN
INITIATE WILL POSE SOME THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL GIVEN
MAGNITUDE OF ANTICIPATED DESTABILIZATION IN THE WARM SECTOR BUT
OVERALL STORM ORGANIZATION MAY REMAIN LIMITED BY LACK OF STRONGER
FLOW/SHEAR.
FARTHER NORTHEAST...A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT HAS SPREAD SWD ACROSS NRN
NEW ENGLAND. DRIER AIR AND CLOUD COVER WILL GREATLY INHIBIT
SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THESE AREAS. HOWEVER...THE
FRONT WILL ACT TO REINFORCE THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE VERY WARM AND
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ACROSS NY AND POINTS SOUTH...AND MAY
ALSO AID DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATER TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. FORCING FOR LIFT ACROSS THIS BOUNDARY IS UNCERTAIN.
HOWEVER...LARGE SCALE PATTERN SUGGESTS THAT WEAK AND ILL-DEFINED
IMPULSES...ORIGINATING IN DEEP CONVECTION UPSTREAM...MAY ENHANCE
LIFT ALONG THIS NW-SE ORIENTED FRONTAL ZONE TO SUPPORT AN INCREASE
IN NOCTURNAL STORMS WITH HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
...SRN PLAINS...
A LARGE WARM SECTOR IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS WRN/CNTRL TX WHERE
SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S F. A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED
FROM WRN OK EXTENDING SWWD ACROSS WEST TX. ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT...MODERATE INSTABILITY IS ALREADY PRESENT. AS
SFC TEMPS WARM INTO EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON...MLCAPE VALUES SHOULD
PEAK IN THE 2500 TO 3500 J/KG RANGE FROM JUST EAST OF THE MIDLAND
AREA NEWD TO AROUND WICHITA FALLS. MODEL FORECASTS ARE IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT...DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS ON THE WRN EDGE OF
INSTABILITY ON THE CAP ROCK NEAR LUBBOCK LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
CONVECTION SHOULD SPREAD NEWD ACROSS NW TX INTO SW OK BY EARLY TO
MID EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE AXIS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KT
WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AT 8.0 TO 8.5 C/KM. THIS SHOULD
BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND THE MORE DOMINANT
SUPERCELLS MAY HAVE HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
THUS....A 30 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF HAIL...SOME SIGNIFICANT IN
EXCESS OF 2 INCHES....WILL BE MAINTAINED IN THIS OTLK ACROSS NW TX.
ALTHOUGH A TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES
ACROSS NW TX EARLY THIS EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS
CONDITIONAL. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT WICHITA FALLS AT 02Z SHOW 15 TO
20 KT OF 0-1 KM SHEAR AND DROP LCL HEIGHTS TO AROUND 1100 METERS
SUGGESTING THE ENVIRONMENT COULD BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. AT THIS POINT...WILL
NOT ADD A 5 PERCENT TORNADO PROBABILITY DUE TO THE CONDITIONAL
NATURE OF THE THREAT. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD ALSO ACCOMPANY
SUPERCELLS WITH THE SEVERE THREAT DEVELOPING NEWD INTO SW OK THIS
EVENING. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS
CNTRL AND NERN OK INTO SW MO BUT WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND WARM
AIR ALOFT WITH NEWD EXTENT SHOULD LIMIT A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL/WIDESPREAD SEVERE THREAT.
...SRN GA/NERN FL...
WILL INCLUDE A VERY LOW TORNADO PROBABILITY WITH THIS OTLK ACROSS
NRN/NERN QUADRANT OF TD BERYL. VERY MOIST/SATURATED TROPICAL
AIRMASS EXISTS WITHIN THE WEAKENING CIRCULATION ACROSS NRN FL AND
SRN GA. WHILE LATEST INDICATIONS ALSO SUGGEST WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER
AND LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY...WIND FIELDS
AROUND THE CYCLONE REMAIN STRONG AND 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 20 TO 30 KT. THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT
LOW-TOPPED ROTATING STORMS IF GREATER DESTABILIZATION CAN BE
REALIZED. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER WITHIN THE
NERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION COULD RESULT IN POCKETS OF
INSTABILITY AND ALLOW FOR A FEW DISCRETE UPDRAFTS TO PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS EXHIBITING PERSISTENT ROTATION IN THE PRESENCE
OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WOULD POSE SOME THREAT OF A WEAK/BRIEF
TORNADO. HOWEVER...THIS REMAINS A LOW PROBABILITY EVENT.
..CARBIN/HURLBUT/BROYLES.. 05/28/2012
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KFSD [281628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KFSD 281628
LSRFSD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1128 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0620 PM TSTM WND DMG ROCK RAPIDS 43.43N 96.17W
05/27/2012 LYON IA BROADCAST MEDIA
TWO LARGE GRAIN BINS BLOWN OVER NEAR INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 75 AND 13TH AVENUE
&&
$$
KWEISSER
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LSRFSD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1128 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0620 PM TSTM WND DMG ROCK RAPIDS 43.43N 96.17W
05/27/2012 LYON IA BROADCAST MEDIA
TWO LARGE GRAIN BINS BLOWN OVER NEAR INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 75 AND 13TH AVENUE
&&
$$
KWEISSER
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KCYS [281615]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 281615
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1015 AM MDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0936 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
05/28/2012 M61 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WIND 45 MPH.
0915 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE ARLINGTON 41.58N 106.17W
05/28/2012 M60 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
&&
$$
DDEAL
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1015 AM MDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0936 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
05/28/2012 M61 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WIND 45 MPH.
0915 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE ARLINGTON 41.58N 106.17W
05/28/2012 M60 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
&&
$$
DDEAL
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KMLB [281608]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMLB 281608
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1208 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1150 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW DELTONA 28.93N 81.22W
05/28/2012 VOLUSIA FL TRAINED SPOTTER
ESTIMATED 7 TO 8 INCH BRANCH FELL OFF TREE AND ONTO ROOF.
&&
$$
ARB
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LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1208 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1150 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW DELTONA 28.93N 81.22W
05/28/2012 VOLUSIA FL TRAINED SPOTTER
ESTIMATED 7 TO 8 INCH BRANCH FELL OFF TREE AND ONTO ROOF.
&&
$$
ARB
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KFSD [281559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KFSD 281559
LSRFSD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1059 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 PM FLASH FLOOD ADRIAN 43.63N 95.93W
05/27/2012 NOBLES MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
SMALL CREEK OVERFLOWED INTO CAMPGROUND ON NORTHWEST SIDE
OF ADRIAN. STILL SOME STANDING WATER THIS MORNING.
&&
$$
KWEISSER
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LSRFSD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1059 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 PM FLASH FLOOD ADRIAN 43.63N 95.93W
05/27/2012 NOBLES MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
SMALL CREEK OVERFLOWED INTO CAMPGROUND ON NORTHWEST SIDE
OF ADRIAN. STILL SOME STANDING WATER THIS MORNING.
&&
$$
KWEISSER
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KOAX [281554]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 281554
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1054 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY RAIN OSMOND 42.36N 97.60W
05/28/2012 M2.07 INCH PIERCE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 745PM.
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE STANTON 42.02N 97.13W
05/28/2012 M2.85 INCH STANTON NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 730PM
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN WAYNE 42.24N 97.02W
05/28/2012 M2.27 INCH WAYNE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 730PM
&&
$$
PEARSON
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LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1054 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY RAIN OSMOND 42.36N 97.60W
05/28/2012 M2.07 INCH PIERCE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 745PM.
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE STANTON 42.02N 97.13W
05/28/2012 M2.85 INCH STANTON NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 730PM
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN WAYNE 42.24N 97.02W
05/28/2012 M2.27 INCH WAYNE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 730PM
&&
$$
PEARSON
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KOAX [281554]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS53 KOAX 281554
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1054 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S ELGIN 41.97N 98.08W
05/27/2012 M4.09 INCH ANTELOPE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 5PM.
&&
$$
PEARSON
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LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1054 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S ELGIN 41.97N 98.08W
05/27/2012 M4.09 INCH ANTELOPE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
BEGAN AROUND 5PM.
&&
$$
PEARSON
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KGID [281549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGID 281549
LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1049 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM HAIL HEBRON 40.17N 97.59W
05/27/2012 E1.00 INCH THAYER NE CO-OP OBSERVER
DELAYED REPORT FROM COOP OBSERVER. HAIL LASTED UNTIL 527
PM CDT. DAMAGE TO VEHICLE WAS REPORTED WITH HAIL AS WELL.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1049 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM HAIL HEBRON 40.17N 97.59W
05/27/2012 E1.00 INCH THAYER NE CO-OP OBSERVER
DELAYED REPORT FROM COOP OBSERVER. HAIL LASTED UNTIL 527
PM CDT. DAMAGE TO VEHICLE WAS REPORTED WITH HAIL AS WELL.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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KJAX [281533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 281533
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1132 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1043 AM TROPICAL STORM JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
05/28/2012 DUVAL FL NWS EMPLOYEE
FLOODING REPORTED AT THE CORNER OF COPLAND AND RIVER
BOULEVARD...PARTS OF SEAWALL RIPPED OFF AND MOVED 8 TO 12
FEET...A DOCK WAS DISTROYED AND DEBREE IS ALL OVER THE
AREA...PEAK FLOODING WAS ARROUND 5 TO 6 AM.
&&
$$
AWALKER
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1132 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1043 AM TROPICAL STORM JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
05/28/2012 DUVAL FL NWS EMPLOYEE
FLOODING REPORTED AT THE CORNER OF COPLAND AND RIVER
BOULEVARD...PARTS OF SEAWALL RIPPED OFF AND MOVED 8 TO 12
FEET...A DOCK WAS DISTROYED AND DEBREE IS ALL OVER THE
AREA...PEAK FLOODING WAS ARROUND 5 TO 6 AM.
&&
$$
AWALKER
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0937
ACUS11 KWNS 281520
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281519
CTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-281615-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0937
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...S CNTRL AND SERN NY...NERN PA...NRN NJ...SRN NEW
ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 281519Z - 281615Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...POORLY ORGANIZED MCS OVER CNTRL NY MAY BECOME MORE
ORGANIZED AND CONTINUE TO PROGRESS ESEWD. SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS AND
SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE BROADER CIRCULATION WILL BE CAPABLE OF DMGG
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER WAVE OBSERVED ON 15Z WV IMAGERY OVER W
CNTRL NY APPEARS TO HAVE EMANATED FROM SRN MN 24 HRS AGO. THE SUBTLE
WAVE HAS PROVIDED SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A CURRENTLY ELEVATED COMPLEX OF STORMS...NOW ORIENTED ACROSS
CNTRL NY. 15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A WAVY STATIONARY FRONT FROM
SRN NEW ENGLAND TO APPROXIMATELY BUFFALO...AND SHOULD SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT/SUSTENANCE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE
PERSISTENCE OF A BROADER ERN UPPER RIDGE...WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES FORECAST IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S F AND A
LINGERING MOIST AIR MASS /CHARACTERIZED BY DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S F/ WILL ERODE REMAINING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND
CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE INSTABILITY. MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST NEAR
SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE IN THE 17-18Z PERIOD...WITH A
SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN DMGG WIND POTENTIAL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN. THE 12Z BUFFALO SOUNDING
REFLECTS AN EWD ADVECTION OF THE EML...WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES NEAR 7 C/KM. WITH STRONGER MID-LEVEL WINDS AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...OCCASIONALLY ROTATING STORMS AND
SEMI-ORGANIZED BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SURFACE-BASED STORMS DEVELOP LATER TODAY.
..HURLBUT/CARBIN.. 05/28/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
LAT...LON 42767507 42257338 41607289 41297326 41067416 40957508
41657623 42287616 42767507
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281519
CTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-281615-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0937
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...S CNTRL AND SERN NY...NERN PA...NRN NJ...SRN NEW
ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 281519Z - 281615Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...POORLY ORGANIZED MCS OVER CNTRL NY MAY BECOME MORE
ORGANIZED AND CONTINUE TO PROGRESS ESEWD. SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS AND
SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE BROADER CIRCULATION WILL BE CAPABLE OF DMGG
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER WAVE OBSERVED ON 15Z WV IMAGERY OVER W
CNTRL NY APPEARS TO HAVE EMANATED FROM SRN MN 24 HRS AGO. THE SUBTLE
WAVE HAS PROVIDED SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A CURRENTLY ELEVATED COMPLEX OF STORMS...NOW ORIENTED ACROSS
CNTRL NY. 15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A WAVY STATIONARY FRONT FROM
SRN NEW ENGLAND TO APPROXIMATELY BUFFALO...AND SHOULD SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT/SUSTENANCE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE
PERSISTENCE OF A BROADER ERN UPPER RIDGE...WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES FORECAST IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S F AND A
LINGERING MOIST AIR MASS /CHARACTERIZED BY DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S F/ WILL ERODE REMAINING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND
CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE INSTABILITY. MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST NEAR
SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE IN THE 17-18Z PERIOD...WITH A
SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN DMGG WIND POTENTIAL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN. THE 12Z BUFFALO SOUNDING
REFLECTS AN EWD ADVECTION OF THE EML...WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES NEAR 7 C/KM. WITH STRONGER MID-LEVEL WINDS AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...OCCASIONALLY ROTATING STORMS AND
SEMI-ORGANIZED BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SURFACE-BASED STORMS DEVELOP LATER TODAY.
..HURLBUT/CARBIN.. 05/28/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
LAT...LON 42767507 42257338 41607289 41297326 41067416 40957508
41657623 42287616 42767507
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KTFX [281519]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 281519
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
919 AM MDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 AM SNOW 11 SE LINCOLN 46.84N 112.51W
05/28/2012 E5.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT MESONET
ESTIMATED 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AT
THE NEVADA RIDGE SNOTEL. ELEVATION IS 7020 FEET.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
919 AM MDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 AM SNOW 11 SE LINCOLN 46.84N 112.51W
05/28/2012 E5.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT MESONET
ESTIMATED 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AT
THE NEVADA RIDGE SNOTEL. ELEVATION IS 7020 FEET.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KOAX [281518]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 281518
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1017 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S ELGIN 41.97N 98.08W
05/28/2012 M4.09 INCH ANTELOPE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR REPORT BUT LIKELY FELL OVER A 4 HOUR TIME PERIOD.
&&
$$
PEARSON
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LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1017 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S ELGIN 41.97N 98.08W
05/28/2012 M4.09 INCH ANTELOPE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR REPORT BUT LIKELY FELL OVER A 4 HOUR TIME PERIOD.
&&
$$
PEARSON
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KJAX [281513]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 281513
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1113 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1043 AM TROPICAL STORM JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
05/28/2012 DUVAL FL NWS EMPLOYEE
FLOODING REPORTED AT 1596 LANCASTER TERRACE AT THE
BROADVIEW TOWERS CONDOMINIUM. THE RIVER CAME UP SIMILAR
TO FAY. BELOW GROUND PARKING LOT COMPLETELY FLOODED WITH
THREE CARS FLOATING. THE RIVER IS STILL BREAKING OVER THE
SEAWALL. THE PEAK FLOODING WAS ARROUND 4 TO 5 AM.
&&
$$
AWALKER
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1113 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1043 AM TROPICAL STORM JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
05/28/2012 DUVAL FL NWS EMPLOYEE
FLOODING REPORTED AT 1596 LANCASTER TERRACE AT THE
BROADVIEW TOWERS CONDOMINIUM. THE RIVER CAME UP SIMILAR
TO FAY. BELOW GROUND PARKING LOT COMPLETELY FLOODED WITH
THREE CARS FLOATING. THE RIVER IS STILL BREAKING OVER THE
SEAWALL. THE PEAK FLOODING WAS ARROUND 4 TO 5 AM.
&&
$$
AWALKER
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0936
ACUS11 KWNS 281501
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281500
GAZ000-FLZ000-281630-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0936
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SE GA...FAR NE FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 281500Z - 281630Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR NE FL AND SERN GA. THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN TOO ISOLATED TO WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PLACES TROPICAL
DEPRESSION BERYL ABOUT 60 STATUTE MILES WEST OF JACKSONVILLE FL.
MESOANALYSIS DATA CURRENTLY SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND
2.10 INCHES EXTENDING NEWD FROM BERYL'S CENTER ACROSS NE FL AND SE
GA WHERE 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES ARE ESTIMATED FROM 20 TO 30 KT. THIS
ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH FURTHER DESTABILIZATION LATE THIS MORNING
INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FEW DISCRETE UPDRAFTS
TO EXHIBIT ROTATION. AS BERYL MOVES SLOWLY WWD...THE THREAT MAY
EXTEND FURTHER INLAND ESPECIALLY IF BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER CAN
RESULT IN SFC HEATING IN AREAS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF
JACKSONVILLE. STORMS THAT ROTATE MAY HAVE A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT
IF GREATER INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP IN THE NERN QUADRANT OF BERYL
THIS AFTERNOON.
..BROYLES.. 05/28/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 32238206 32308262 32218282 31938303 31578309 31288265
30948225 30348185 29938175 29818140 29978107 30518083
31178090 31938158 32238206
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281500
GAZ000-FLZ000-281630-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0936
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SE GA...FAR NE FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 281500Z - 281630Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR NE FL AND SERN GA. THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN TOO ISOLATED TO WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PLACES TROPICAL
DEPRESSION BERYL ABOUT 60 STATUTE MILES WEST OF JACKSONVILLE FL.
MESOANALYSIS DATA CURRENTLY SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND
2.10 INCHES EXTENDING NEWD FROM BERYL'S CENTER ACROSS NE FL AND SE
GA WHERE 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES ARE ESTIMATED FROM 20 TO 30 KT. THIS
ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH FURTHER DESTABILIZATION LATE THIS MORNING
INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FEW DISCRETE UPDRAFTS
TO EXHIBIT ROTATION. AS BERYL MOVES SLOWLY WWD...THE THREAT MAY
EXTEND FURTHER INLAND ESPECIALLY IF BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER CAN
RESULT IN SFC HEATING IN AREAS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF
JACKSONVILLE. STORMS THAT ROTATE MAY HAVE A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT
IF GREATER INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP IN THE NERN QUADRANT OF BERYL
THIS AFTERNOON.
..BROYLES.. 05/28/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 32238206 32308262 32218282 31938303 31578309 31288265
30948225 30348185 29938175 29818140 29978107 30518083
31178090 31938158 32238206
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KGID [281452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGID 281452
LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
952 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0949 AM HEAVY RAIN HARLAN COUNTY DAM 40.07N 99.21W
05/28/2012 M2.22 INCH HARLAN NE CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR TOTAL.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
952 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0949 AM HEAVY RAIN HARLAN COUNTY DAM 40.07N 99.21W
05/28/2012 M2.22 INCH HARLAN NE CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR TOTAL.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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KGID [281450]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGID 281450
LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
950 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0949 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NE SHELBY 41.22N 97.39W
05/28/2012 M2.37 INCH POLK NE CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR TOTAL.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
950 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0949 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NE SHELBY 41.22N 97.39W
05/28/2012 M2.37 INCH POLK NE CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR TOTAL.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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KPIH [281443]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 281443
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
843 AM MDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0842 AM HEAVY RAIN IDAHO FALLS 43.49N 112.04W
05/28/2012 M1.45 INCH BONNEVILLE ID TRAINED SPOTTER
2 DAY STORM TOTAL
&&
$$
DMH
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
843 AM MDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0842 AM HEAVY RAIN IDAHO FALLS 43.49N 112.04W
05/28/2012 M1.45 INCH BONNEVILLE ID TRAINED SPOTTER
2 DAY STORM TOTAL
&&
$$
DMH
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KGID [281434]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGID 281434
LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
934 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM HAIL 4 SW BLUE HILL 40.29N 98.50W
05/27/2012 E1.75 INCH WEBSTER NE CO-OP OBSERVER
DELAYED REPORT FROM COOP OBSERVER. NICKEL AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL WAS ALSO OBSERVED.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
934 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM HAIL 4 SW BLUE HILL 40.29N 98.50W
05/27/2012 E1.75 INCH WEBSTER NE CO-OP OBSERVER
DELAYED REPORT FROM COOP OBSERVER. NICKEL AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL WAS ALSO OBSERVED.
&&
$$
GUERRERO
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KDLH [281422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDLH 281422
LSRDLH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
922 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE BRUNO 46.35N 92.56W
05/28/2012 M3.58 INCH PINE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HR TOTAL.
0913 AM HEAVY RAIN TRADE LAKE 45.69N 92.59W
05/28/2012 M4.50 INCH BURNETT WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL FROM LAST NIGHT. 3 INCHES IN 1 HR FROM 6 PM
TO 7 PM.
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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LSRDLH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
922 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE BRUNO 46.35N 92.56W
05/28/2012 M3.58 INCH PINE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HR TOTAL.
0913 AM HEAVY RAIN TRADE LAKE 45.69N 92.59W
05/28/2012 M4.50 INCH BURNETT WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL FROM LAST NIGHT. 3 INCHES IN 1 HR FROM 6 PM
TO 7 PM.
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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