Wednesday, April 11, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0461

ACUS11 KWNS 112323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112323
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-120100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0623 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL AL INTO W-CNTRL GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 125...

VALID 112323Z - 120100Z

THROUGH 0030-0100Z...GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST
FROM RUSSELL COUNTY AL EWD THROUGH PORTIONS OF
MUSCOGEE...CHATTAHOOCHEE...MARION AND PERHAPS SCHLEY AND MACON
COUNTIES IN W-CNTRL GA. ELSEWHERE...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR
TORNADO WATCH 125 CONTINUES.

AS OF 2310Z...MONTGOMERY AL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED TWO
SUPERCELLS...ONE OVER CHAMBERS COUNTY AL INTO TROUP COUNTY GA AND
THE OTHER AT THE INTERSECTION OF MACON...LEE AND RUSSELL COUNTIES
AL. MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THE NRN MOST STORM SHOULD TEND TO
WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT HOUR AS IT MOVES INTO A COOLER AND MORE STABLE
AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER W-CNTRL GA. HOWEVER...THE SRN STORM APPEARS
TO BE MOVING QUITE NEAR THE RETREATING WEDGE FRONT WHERE RUC
FORECAST SOUNDING MODIFIED FOR CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS AT CSG
INDICATES MLCAPES OF AROUND 600-700 J/KG AND LITTLE OR NO CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION. MOREOVER...LOCALLY BACKED SURFACE WINDS ARE RESULTING
IN RELATIVELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WITH 0-1 KM SRH OF 250-350
M2/S2 PER MODIFICATION OF THIS SOUNDING AND LOCAL VWP DATA.

AS SUCH...EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL TO
CONTINUE FROM THE VICINITY OF CROSSVILLE AND FT. BENNING TO POINTS E
THROUGH 0030-0100Z.

.MEAD.. 04/11/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...

31958782 32438749 32098616 34108610 34638557 34498537
33858526 33768411 33568303 30818302 31098790

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write chris@lib.siu.edu.

No comments: