Friday, April 13, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0481

ACUS11 KWNS 131952
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131951
TXZ000-OKZ000-132045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0481
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN/CNTRL TX...EXTREME SRN OK NEAR THE RED
RIVER

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 131951Z - 132045Z

RAPID BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY IS UNDERWAY ACROSS NCNTRL TX THIS
AFTERNOON AS WARM FRONT LIFTS THROUGH THE METROPLEX...NWWD INTO NWRN
TX JUST SW OF SPS WHERE LONG-LIVED POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELL IS
TRACKING SOUTH OF SEY. STRONG HEATING IS ALSO OCCURRING WEST OF
I-35 AND THIS WILL UNDOUBTEDLY ASSIST NEW UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS CAP ERODES. STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS NOTED
ACROSS MOST OF THE WARM SECTOR...ESPECIALLY FOCUSED ALONG NW-SE
ORIENTED WARM FRONT. LATEST THINKING IS ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
WILL EVOLVE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITHIN STRONGEST ZONE OF
HEATING...TO THE NW-SW OF THE METROPLEX...THEN SPREAD NEWD INTO ZONE
OF FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR WHERE TORNADO DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
LIKELY.

PDS TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED BY 21Z FOR MUCH OF NCNTRL/CNTRL TX.
ADDITIONALLY...THIS REGION WILL BE UPGRADED TO A HIGH RISK.

.DARROW.. 04/13/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...

34049772 33779528 31809492 30829618 30969805 32239784

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