Saturday, April 21, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0534

ACUS11 KWNS 220345
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220345
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-220445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0534
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 PM CDT SAT APR 21 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN OK...POSSIBLY FAR SRN
KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 157...

VALID 220345Z - 220445Z

LINE OF SEVERE STORMS WILL PERSIST AS IT MOVES EWD OUT OF TX INTO
WRN OK AND POSSIBLY FAR SRN KS. VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN IN
PLACE WHICH WILL MAXIMIZE SEVERE THREAT DESPITE WEAKENING
INSTABILITY. THE PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN
LINEAR STORM MODE...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT
ESPECIALLY EARLY ACROSS WHAT REMAINS OF WW 157 WITH POSSIBLE
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. GIVEN DECREASING INSTABILITY FARTHER E INTO
OK...TORNADO THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH SEVERE WINDS GUSTS THE MAIN
THREAT.

.JEWELL.. 04/22/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

34329836 33680066 35190069 36310103 36850073 37369902
37439841 35769813

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