SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272239
MOZ000-KSZ000-280015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0539 PM CDT FRI APR 27 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 272239Z - 280015Z
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE
HOUR ACROSS FAR ERN KS WITH THE THREAT SPREADING INTO FAR WRN MO. A
BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. HAIL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE ACTIVITY. THE THREAT
SHOULD BE TOO BRIEF TO WARRANT A WW EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION.
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOST AXIS EXTENDING NWD FROM ERN OK
ACROSS ERN KS INTO NW MO. A SFC TROUGH/WIND SHIFT IS LOCATED FROM
NEAR KANSAS CITY MO EXTENDING SWWD INTO NRN OK. ROTATING STORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED ALONG THIS SFC TROUGH IN A WEAKLY UNSTABLE BUT STRONGLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. AMPLE SPEED SHEAR EXISTS ON REGIONAL PROFILERS
FOR SUPERCELL STORMS ALTHOUGH SFC WINDS ARE VEERED ACROSS MOST OF
THE MD AREA. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT STILL MAY OCCUR WITH THE
STRONGER ROTATING STORMS. IN ADDITION...STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES BELOW 850 MB SHOWN ON FORECAST
SOUNDINGS LATE THIS AFTERNOON MAY RESULT IN A THREAT FOR HAIL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
.BROYLES.. 04/27/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...
37319416 37439459 38089463 38809460 39109441 39079395
38539374 37579383
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