Thursday, May 31, 2007

DAY1SVR: Public Severe Weather Outlook (Automatic)

764
WOUS40 KWNS 311643
PWOSPC
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-010045-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1142 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE HAIL...A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE

SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM

A RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE ON SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO SURFACE TROUGH TO
THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
MODERATE TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...IN AN
ENVIRONMENT WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELL STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES. A BAND OF
STRONGER FLOW ALOFT...TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS...IS FORECAST TO RESULT IN MOST NUMEROUS STORMS ACROSS PARTS
OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. EVENTUAL CONSOLIDATION OF ACTIVITY INTO ONE
OR TWO LARGE STORM CLUSTERS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS IS
EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..KERR.. 05/31/2007

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