SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070404
OKZ000-TXZ000-070500-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0737
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1104 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL TX...SRN/CNTRL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 070404Z - 070500Z
LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND RADAR DATA...SUGGEST ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEEPENING ALONG RED RIVER
CORRIDOR...EXTENDING INTO PORTIONS OF SWRN OK. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EVOLVING WITHIN A WEAKLY CAPPED...BUT QUITE UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
MLCAPE VALUES REMAIN HIGH WITH VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 3500 J/KG
EXTENDING FROM NCNTRL TX...NWD INTO CNTRL OK. ADDITIONALLY...BACKED
LOW LEVEL FLOW AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR CERTAINLY SUPPORT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR...OTHER THAN WEAK LOW
LEVEL CONFLUENCE/WARM ADVECTION...AS TO THE FOCUS FOR FUTURE
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN ORGANIZE WILL DO
SO WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR GENERATING TORNADOES.
.DARROW.. 05/07/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
33399549 33629902 34389945 35199891 36039741 34679720
34389527
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