SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091247
TXZ000-NMZ000-091445-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0761
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT WED MAY 09 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF SW TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 091247Z - 091445Z
STORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AND A WW COULD BE REQUIRED
MAINLY FOR HAIL.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LIFT FROM UPPER TROUGH EMERGING OUT OF NM
INTO SW TX...WITH STORMS ALREADY ERUPTING OVER A LARGE AREA. EPZ
SOUNDING SHOWS STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH MODERATE MID TO
UPPER LEVEL FLOW...WHILE DRT SOUNDING SHOWS A VERY MOIST PROFILE
WITH DEEP SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW ADVECTING MOISTURE NWWD. THE RESULT IS
AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND SOME
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL WITH MAXIMUM SIZE UP TO GOLF BALL
ACROSS THE TRANSPECOS REGION.
.JEWELL.. 05/09/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...EPZ...
31080502 31670439 32010311 32140251 32170146 30659989
29729963 28910012 28600052 29360105 29700152 29710221
29650262 28860314 29150365 29560452 30130474 30560496
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