SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292052
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-292145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0919
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...PARTS OF EXTREME SW NEB/NW KS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 304...
VALID 292052Z - 292145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 304 CONTINUES.
AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOUTH OF WW 304...ACROSS MUCH
OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN COLORADO...POSSIBLY WESTERN KANSAS.
STRENGTHENING DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW FIELD READILY APPARENT IN
OBSERVATIONAL DATA ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHEAST COLORADO IS PROGGED TO
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY EXPAND AND SHIFT EASTWARD AHEAD OF AMPLIFIED
UPPER TROUGH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE
INCREASING IN NUMBER NEAR/SOUTH OF DENVER INTO THE FORT MORGAN/AKRON
AREAS...AND WEAKENING INHIBITION IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY ALLOW
ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD INTO THE PUEBLO/LA JUNTA
AREAS BY 29/23-30/00Z. DURING THIS TIME...INITIAL SCATTERED
SUPERCELLS STORMS MAY BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE INTO AN INCREASINGLY
ORGANIZED MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. FLOW FIELDS ARE NOT
PARTICULARLY STRONG...BUT NOW VEER FROM A GENERAL EASTERLY DIRECTION
AT LOW-LEVELS TO MODERATE WESTERLY AT MID LEVELS... CREATING STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT OCCURS... AND ACTIVITY
APPROACHES MORE STRONGLY HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER NEAR THE
COLORADO/KANSAS BORDER...DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL PROBABLY WILL
INCREASE BY EARLY EVENING.
.KERR.. 05/29/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
37330429 38060505 39220523 39920542 40340503 40360415
40690315 41070249 41030123 40480110 39660205 38820240
38200259 37690274 37260354 37220391
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