Sunday, June 10, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1085

ACUS11 KWNS 102035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102035
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-102130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1085
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN OK AND WRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 376...

VALID 102035Z - 102130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 376
CONTINUES.

NUMEROUS STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ACROSS WRN AR
ALONG ERN EDGE OF INSTABILITY AXIS...WHERE MLCAPES IN RAIN FREE
AREAS WERE UP TO 4000 MLCAPES. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ONLY UP
TO 30 KT...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY HAS RESULTED IN SOME MID LEVEL
ROTATION WITH ISOLATED STORMS. THE LACK OF STRONGER SHEAR WILL
PROBABLY RESULT IN THE OCCURRENCE OF ROTATING STORMS TO BE
INFREQUENT...BUT THOSE STORMS THAT DO WILL HAVE AN ENHANCED
HAIL/WIND THREAT. ALSO...THE SLOW MOTION OF STORMS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL.

STORMS WERE ALSO BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS ACROSS CENTRAL OK. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR AT 20-30 KT AND STRONG INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A
HAIL/WIND THREAT THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.

ALTHOUGH ERN OK IS CURRENTLY STORM FREE...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
DEVELOP ACROSS THIS AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS WEAK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IN WRN OK MOVES CLOSER TO THIS AREA.

.IMY.. 06/10/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...OUN...

36369828 36839221 34659228 34279815

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