SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111756
VAZ000-NCZ000-111900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1094
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SRN VA INTO PARTS OF NRN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 111756Z - 111900Z
PULSE-TYPE TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE
APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE SSEWD THROUGH PARTS OF CENTRAL
VA AND NRN NC. ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO
PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF A WW.
REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED TSTMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP IN THE
FOOTHILLS OF THE APPALACHIANS FROM SWRN INTO CENTRAL/NRN VA WHERE
THE AIR MASS IS MARGINALLY UNSTABLE /MLCAPE 500-1000 J/KG/. DESPITE
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S...WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ARE LIMITING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS COMBINED WITH WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL RESULT IN PULSE-TYPE
STORMS...WITH ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS EXPECTED TO BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT...A WW IS UNLIKELY.
.PETERS.. 06/11/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP...
38537784 38017696 37217745 36177919 35957993 36068065
36238106 37078051 37557977 38437839 38547816
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