Thursday, June 14, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1146

ACUS11 KWNS 141755
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141755
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-141900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SWRN/SRN NC...NRN/NWRN SC...AND NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 141755Z - 141900Z

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS SWRN/SRN NC...NRN/NWRN SC AND INTO NRN GA.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED SEVERAL SMALL CIRCULATION CENTERS
LOCATED WITHIN A SHEAR ZONE EXTENDING FROM FAR NRN GA EWD TO ALONG
THE NC/SC BORDER. ASCENT ATTENDANT WITH THESE FEATURES COMBINED
WITH SURFACE HEATING HAS SUPPORTED TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN IN THIS REGION AND ALONG A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY IN
SRN NC. ALTHOUGH MLCAPE VALUES MAY REACH AROUND 1000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON...WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION WITH
MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY BEING PULSE. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SHOULD PROMOTE THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AS ACTIVITY
SPREADS SLOWLY SWD.

.PETERS.. 06/14/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

35187967 34098014 33938143 33798309 33988397 34488458
34728467 35228380 35458316 35608239 35678173 35508070

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