Friday, June 22, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1252

ACUS11 KWNS 222001
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222000
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-222230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1252
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN WY...SWRN NEB...MUCH OF ERN CO...FAR WRN
KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222000Z - 222230Z

STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH SEVERE HAIL AND WIND POSSIBLE.

RELATIVELY STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE IN PLACE WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY ESPECIALLY INTO NEB AND KS WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE
IN THE 60S. CONTINUED HEATING AND PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS AND SUBSEQUENT REMOVAL OF ANY REMAINING CIN...WILL ALLOW FOR
A CONTINUED INCREASE IN STORMS IN SEVERAL AREAS.

ONE AREA WILL BE IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE FRONT RANGE WITH STORMS
SHIFTING E AND SEWD WITH SUBSTANTIAL OUTFLOW AND GUSTY WINDS. SOME
HAIL COULD OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER CORES. FARTHER E...NEW CELLS HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER FAR ERN CO AND WRN KS WHERE INSTABILITY IS GREATER.
ALTHOUGH WINDS ALOFT ARE NOT STRONG...WEAK SELY FLOW...STEEP LAPSE
RATES...STRONG INSTABILITY AND DEVIANT SLY STORM MOTIONS WILL FAVOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE HAIL.

.JEWELL.. 06/22/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

37020319 37460493 38730528 41450557 41680509 41660420
41440226 40930170 39690142 37100166 37090204

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