SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232017
KSZ000-OKZ000-232215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 PM CDT SAT JUN 23 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN KS...NRN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 232017Z - 232215Z
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
WITHIN AN ENHANCED CU FIELD ARCING ALONG A HYS-PTT-WLD LINE. WEAK
DYNAMIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SWD MOVING SHORT WAVE
TROUGH/MID-UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE DISCONTINUITY SEEN ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY MAY ENHANCE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...AS AIR MASS IS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG. AREA WIND
PROFILERS SHOW 15-20 KT NORTHERLY MID LEVEL FLOW WITH GENERALLY WEAK
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MEAN WIND VALUES...SUGGESTING PULSE OR
MULTICELL STORMS MOVING SLOWLY SWD WILL BE LIKELY. STRONGER CELLS
WILL HAVE POTENTIAL FOR PRIMARILY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...ISOLATED
WET MICROBURSTS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. WW NOT EXPECTED TO BE
NEEDED GIVEN OVERALL LIMITED SEVERE THREAT.
.WEISS.. 06/23/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...
37939970 38619964 39079945 39009896 38259853 37799788
37669702 37599632 37109608 36469635 36309758 36589855
37159959
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