SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282034
COZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-282230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN WY/EASTERN CO/NORTHEAST NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 282034Z - 282230Z
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL/STRONG WIND GUSTS...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH
MID/LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR OF EASTERN CO/EASTERN
WY/NORTHEAST NM. ALTHOUGH CURRENT THINKING IS THE SEVERE RISK WILL
REMAIN ISOLATED...WILL MONITOR FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH SHOULD A
SUFFICIENT NUMBER/ORGANIZATION OF STORMS SUGGEST OTHERWISE.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FEATURES THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN/FRONT RANGE FROM SOUTHEAST WY INTO NORTHEAST NM.
ADDITIONAL HEATING AND SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE REGIME WILL
ALLOW STORMS TO FURTHER INCREASE/DEVELOP INTO THE I-25 CORRIDOR OF
EASTERN WY/EASTERN CO/NORTHEAST NM THROUGH MID/LATE
AFTERNOON...WHERE A RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST AIRMASS WITH 50S F
DEWPOINTS RESIDES. PERHAPS AIDED BY A WEAK MID LEVEL IMPULSE MOVING
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN WY PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...VEERING
WIND PROFILES /WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 30-35 KT/ MAY SUPPORT
SOME ROTATING STORMS. THIS WOULD ENHANCE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
POTENTIAL...WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO EVEN POSSIBLE AS WELL. MEAN
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY STORM STORMS SHOULD KEEP STORMS FAIRLY CLOSE TO
THE I-25 CORRIDOR...WITH POSSIBLE EVOLUTION OF ONE OR MORE SMALL
LINEAR CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.
.GUYER.. 06/28/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...RIW...
43460600 43290492 41380425 39090372 37370394 36230474
36270586 37270633 40120604 41330600 42720637
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