Monday, July 23, 2007

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240044
SWODY1
SPC AC 240042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF KS/WRN OK AND
INTO THE ERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES...

..PARTS OF KS/WRN OK/ERN PARTS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES/WRN N TX...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ATTM FROM PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SWRN KS INTO
WRN OK AND THE TX/OH PANHANDLE AREA...INVOF SWWD-MOVING UPPER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. STORMS ARE NOW GENERALLY FOCUSED INVOF
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WITH SOME INCREASE IN COVERAGE
EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS.

WHILE FLOW FIELD IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...20 TO 30 KT NELY
MID-LEVEL FLOW ATOP LOW-LEVEL SLY COMPONENT WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT
IN AMPLE SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED
THREAT FOR LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL WITH A FEW STRONGER STORMS --
AT LEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

..PARTS OF NRN ID/WRN AND CENTRAL MT...
STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF WRN AND CENTRAL MT AND
ADJACENT NRN ID...INVOF WEAK/SUBTLE DISTURBANCES ALOFT MOVING NEWD
AROUND THE NWRN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE -- CENTERED OVER THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS/NRN ROCKIES ATTM. COMBINATION OF MODEST SHEAR AND
AMPLE INSTABILITY /GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE/
SUGGESTS THAT A FEW STRONGER STORMS -- CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS -- WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.

.GOSS.. 07/24/2007

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write chris@lib.siu.edu.

No comments: