SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031948
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-032145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1368
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT TUE JUL 03 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO/SW NEB/WRN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 031948Z - 032145Z
..PORTIONS OF ERN CO/WRN NEB/WRN KS BEING MONITORED FOR WEATHER
WATCH...
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM JUST SOUTH
OF AKO/LXN TO WEST OF OFK. LEE TROUGH IS ALSO NOTED EXTENDING SOUTH
FROM SFC LOW SE OF DENVER. STORMS ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING OVER THE CO
ROCKIES AND NEAR LIMON/COLORADO SPRINGS...AND IT IS LIKELY THAT THIS
IS JUST THE BEGINNING OF ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT FOR THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS. SHEAR PROFILES ARE A BIT UNUSUAL IN THAT UPPER FLOW IS
N/NWLY...ATOP ELY UPSLOPE FLOW. HOWEVER...STEEP LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH FOCUSED SFC CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH
OUTFLOW/LEE TROUGH INTERSECTION WILL FAVOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
DEVELOPING THIS AFTN...LIKELY EVOLVING INTO A LARGE CLUSTER BY LATE
AFTN/EARLY EVENING. MAIN THREATS APPEAR TO BE STRONG/SEVERE WIND
GUSTS WITH LARGE HAIL. SEVERE WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR PORTIONS
OF WRN NEB/ERN CO AND WRN KS BY 21Z.
.TAYLOR.. 07/03/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
37780162 37740446 40920453 41290389 41410297 41320055
38720005
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