SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032158
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-032300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1636
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 PM CDT FRI AUG 03 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NY...VT...NH..ME..PA...
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 560...
VALID 032158Z - 032300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 560
CONTINUES.
SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
AND SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IS WEAK...20-25 KT ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION...MLCAPE VALUES
RANGING FROM 1500-2500 J/KG ARE FAVORABLE FOR STORMS WITH SEVERE
HAIL AND SOME WIND DAMAGE. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY MOVE INTO FAR SRN
NEW ENGLAND AND SRN NEW YORK...JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CURRENT
WATCH. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF THE WATCH THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. HOWEVER...BUT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AND A
NEW WW WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
.IMY.. 08/03/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...
10372978 14883643 18203892 23153656 19812540 11331843
08111461 05181382 02971486 02351574 05242350 07642630
08422743 09332835
41037385 40957572 41017785 41917878 43137778 44947419
45997045 47076869 45726759 44906745 42637060 41477216
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