SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102341
MNZ000-110045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1716
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND/NW MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 581...
VALID 102341Z - 110045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 581
CONTINUES.
CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED ACROSS NW MN...AND THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS/HAIL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING. IF THESE TRENDS CONTINUE...WW
581 MAY BE CANCELED PRIOR TO THE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION AT 03Z.
THE LOOSELY ORGANIZED MCS HAS MOVED FROM ERN ND INTO NW MN...WITH
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTING A CLEAR WEAKENING TREND DURING THE
PAST HOUR. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TO THE SE OF THE ONGOING STORMS
SHOW THAT DEWPOINTS HAVE MIXED INTO THE UPPER 50S...WHICH IS
LIMITING INSTABILITY DESPITE TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 F. ISOLATED
STRONG STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE EWD/SEWD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY...BUT MUCH OF NE ND/NW MN HAVE BEEN STABILIZED BY THE
ONGOING STORMS...AND THE SEVERE STORM THREAT IS DECREASING.
.THOMPSON.. 08/10/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
48209582 48729579 49029548 49219488 48579438 47619458
47359519 47249585 47559613
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