Monday, September 3, 2007

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 030845
SWOD48
SPC AC 030845

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CDT MON SEP 03 2007

VALID 061200Z - 111200Z

..SVR TSTMS WILL BE PSBL THU 06 SEP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPR MS
VLY AND CORN BELT REGION...

..DISCUSSION...
BY MID-WEEK...THE WELL-ADVERTISED UPR TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE
CNTRL/NRN ROCKIES WILL EMERGE ONTO THE PLAINS AND BECOME ABSORBED
INTO THE HIGHER MOMENTUM POLAR WLYS OVER SRN CANADA. AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...MORE QUALITY MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SURGE NWD THROUGH THE
PLAINS...AND LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO MODEST INSTABILITY BY THURSDAY
ACROSS THE UPR MS VLY AND CORN BELT. MOST ALL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
AGREE THAT STRONGEST LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL COINCIDE
WITH PEAK HEATING...LIKELY AIDING IN CINH REMOVAL AND POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG TO SVR TSTMS.

OTHERWISE...MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE BEGINS TO DIVERGE ON THE EVOLUTION
OF ANOTHER IMPULSE EXPECTED TO DIG SEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES REGION
BY NEXT WEEKEND.

.RACY.. 09/03/2007

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