SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070351
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-070515-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1943
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1051 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 070351Z - 070515Z
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST WITH
EVOLVING MCS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE/DEVELOP E OF WW 668 BETWEEN
04-05Z. AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.
LOW-LEVEL FRONTAL SURGE IS IN THE PROCESS OF OVERTAKING WRN EDGE OF
TSTMS WHICH HAVE PERSISTED OVER NERN KS THIS EVENING WITH CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.
AMBIENT INFLOW AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE MOIST AND RELATIVELY WARM THIS
EVENING...HOWEVER MODIFICATION OF 00Z TOP SOUNDING FOR CURRENT
SURFACE CONDITIONS SUGGEST THAT CAP IS GRADUALLY INCREASING.
LARGE-SCALE FORCING ATTENDANT TO SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRANSLATING EWD
THROUGH SD/NEB COUPLED WITH GROWING/DEEPENING MCS COLD POOL SHOULD
AID IN IT/S MAINTENANCE AS IT PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN
IA AND NWRN MO OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD WITH THIS SYSTEM...THOUGH THE
WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND INCREASING CAP MAY TEND TO LIMIT
A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
.MEAD.. 09/07/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...TOP...
40549458 40629435 40559336 39859270 39089329 38779373
38659424 38799497 38959522 39309513 39469486 39549454
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