Monday, October 8, 2007

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 080712
SWODY3
SPC AC 080710

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0210 AM CDT MON OCT 08 2007

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..NM...

MODELS SUGGEST A MINOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER MEAN RIDGE
POSITION THROUGH THE SWRN STATES WEDNESDAY. MLCAPE FROM 500 TO 1000
J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE STEEPER LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS NM. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL. AT
THIS TIME...THREAT APPEARS TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT A RISK AREA.


..ELSEWHERE...

CUTOFF UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT SEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY DURING THE
DAY. NLY OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM THE ATLANTIC TO
THE GULF COASTAL AREAS AS CP HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SEWD IN WAKE OF
COLD FRONT. STABILIZING INFLUENCE OF THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT
SEVERE POTENTIAL OVER THE ERN AND SERN STATES.

ELSEWHERE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD THROUGH THE NRN
ROCKIES BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE TOO LIMITED FOR A SEVERE THREAT IN
THIS REGION.

.DIAL.. 10/08/2007

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