Friday, October 5, 2007

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 050810
SWOD48
SPC AC 050809

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0309 AM CDT FRI OCT 05 2007

VALID 081200Z - 131200Z

..DISCUSSION...

GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT UPPER LOW WILL CUTOFF AS IT MOVES
INTO THE PLAINS REGION BY MONDAY DAY 4. THE GFS SOLUTION WOULD
SUPPORT SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER LINGERING INTO THE MS
VALLEY REGION DURING THE DAY MONDAY. HOWEVER...MODEL SOLUTIONS
INCLUDING THE MREF...ECMWF AND UKMET DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
HANDLING OF THIS FEATURE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH RESULTING LOW
PREDICTABILITY.

.DIAL.. 10/05/2007

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