SWOD48
SPC AC 170900
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
VALID 201200Z - 251200Z
..DISCUSSION...
EXTREME RUN-TO-RUN MODEL VARIABILITY -- AND DRASTIC DIFFERENCES ALSO
EXIST BETWEEN GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE. SEVERE
THREAT AREA PREVIOUSLY OUTLOOKED FOR SUN. OCT. 21 APPEARS MUCH LESS
LIKELY ATTM. GIVEN MODEL VARIABILITY...WILL NOT ATTEMPT TO
DELINEATE ANY SEVERE THREAT AREAS THIS FORECAST.
.GOSS.. 10/17/2007
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