SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062035
OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-062300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2061
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT SAT OCT 06 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM...WRN TX/OK PANHANDLES...SERN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 062035Z - 062300Z
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS BUT A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROUGH SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE FOUR
CORNERS STATES WITH SOME MINOR COOLING ALOFT/HEIGHT FALLS INDICATED
FARTHER E OVER THE MD AREA. MEANWHILE...CU IS INCREASING WITHIN
SURFACE TROUGH FROM SERN CO INTO NERN NM. TCU PROFILER SHOWS
MODERATE WIND FIELDS IN PLACE WHICH ARE SUFFICIENT FOR UPDRAFT
ORGANIZATION...YET ALSO NOT TOO STRONG GIVEN ONLY MARGINAL
INSTABILITY IN PLACE. THUS...WITH CONTINUED HEATING AND PERSISTENT
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH MARGINAL
WIND AND HAIL THREAT. BACKING SURFACE WINDS E OF THE AREA ALONG WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES SHOULD MAINTAIN CAPPING AND THUS KEEP THE THREAT
AREA IN A RELATIVELY NARROW ZONE.
.JEWELL.. 10/06/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...
38430227 35910257 34620266 33740300 33560353 33500418
33760459 34200484 34970454 36420410 37000393 38410319
38610270
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