SWODY1
SPC AC 181255
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2007
VALID 181300Z - 191200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..SYNOPSIS...
FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD...WITH
MAIN BELT OF THE WLYS DISPLACED SOMEWHAT FARTHER N THAN NORMAL
ACROSS THE WRN AND CNTRL STATES. SRN STREAM DISTURBANCE OVER E TX
WILL CONTINUE TO SHEAR E IN CONFLUENT FLOW OVER THE GULF CST
REGION...WHILE COMPLEX NRN STREAM TROUGH REACHES WRN WA/ORE.
..SE TX INTO LA...
CONVECTION WITHIN ONGOING MCS OVER SE TX SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
TODAY AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT DIMINISHES WITH CONTINUED
EWD MOTION OF E TX UPR TROUGH. INFLOW OF INCREASINGLY RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE LIKELY WILL MAINTAIN SOME REGENERATIVE
CONVECTION/POSSIBLE THUNDER ATOP SYSTEM COLD POOL OVER THE NWRN GULF
AND ADJACENT PARTS OF SE TX/SRN LA THROUGH THE DAY INTO EARLY
TONIGHT. BUT WEAK MID LVL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED DEEP SHEAR NEAR
UPR TROUGH AXIS SUGGEST THAT STORMS SHOULD DECREASE IN AREAL
COVERAGE/INTENSITY THROUGH TONIGHT.
..WRN WA...
STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT/COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH NRN
MEMBER OF COMPLEX TROUGH APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NW SHOULD REMAIN
OFFSHORE TIL AFTER 12Z MONDAY...LIMITING THUNDER POTENTIAL THIS
PERIOD OVER CSTL WA.
.CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 11/18/2007
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment