SWODY1
SPC AC 230540
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CST TUE JAN 22 2008
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..CNTRL/SRN CA CST...
UPR LOW W OF THE BAY AREA WILL BEGIN TO EJECT EWD WED IN RESPONSE TO
A DISTURBANCE DROPPING SEWD THROUGH THE GULF OF AK. ASSOCD WARM
CONVEYOR WILL SHIFT EWD INTO PARTS OF SRN CA BY AFTN AND EXPAND AS
STRONG UPR DIFFLUENCE DEVELOPS. COLD MID-TROP TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND PSBL STRONGER CONVECTION
WITH SMALL HAIL WED AFTN/EVE...PARTICULARLY FROM SANTA BARBARA NWD
ALONG THE CST IN THE POST-FRONTAL REGIME. ISOLD WATERSPOUTS WILL BE
PSBL IN THE CHANNEL ISLANDS AREA WITH A VERY SLIM CHANCE FOR A BRIEF
TORNADO ALONG THE CST WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLY BACKED.
..CNTRL FL...
NOCTURNAL TSTM CLUSTERS WILL LIKELY LINGER INTO MID-MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CNTRL FL WITH A DECREASE IN COVERAGE BY AFTN. MCS HAS
REMAINED MORE ROBUST THAN EARLIER FCSTS AND A COMPOSITE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY MAY BE IMPETUS FOR NEW UPDRAFTS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY SEWD
ACROSS THE REGION. NO SVR WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AS MUCAPE SHOULD
BE MITIGATED BY MEAGER LAPSE RATES.
.RACY.. 01/23/2008
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