Wednesday, January 16, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161603
SWODY1
SPC AC 161600

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CST WED JAN 16 2008

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...
SURFACE LOW OVER THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO IS FORECAST TO LIFT
GENERALLY NEWD SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH THE
DAY...MOVING INLAND INVOF THE FL PANHANDLE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
COASTAL AREAS REMAIN UNDER MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITHIN BROAD MOIST
PLUME THIS MORNING...AND THIS WILL LIMIT NWD RETURN OF COASTAL/WARM
FRONT THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. EXCEPTION MAY BE NEAR THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD AS SURFACE LOW APPROACHES...WHEN WINDS TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LOW CENTER BEGIN TO VEER TO MORE SELY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL REMAIN LARGE
THROUGH THE PERIOD...MUCH OF THIS WILL NOT BE INFUSED BY THE MOIST
CONVECTION WHICH WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER. WILL MAINTAIN CONDITIONAL...LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES OF
WIND/TORNADO SHOULD MARINE AIR /AND ATTENDANT SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY/ DEVELOP INLAND LATER TONIGHT.

.EVANS.. 01/16/2008

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