SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162131
TXZ000-OKZ000-162230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 57...
VALID 162131Z - 162230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 57
CONTINUES.
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
VALID PORTIONS OF SVR TSTM WATCH 57. HOWEVER...BULK OF ACTIVITY IN
THIS WATCH APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS AS
MORE INTENSE STORMS DEVELOP EAST ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARY.
WITH THE STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STILL EMERGING ACROSS WEST
TX...MAGNITUDE OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH THIS FEATURE COULD STILL
LEND SUPPORT FOR A COUPLE OF MORE INTENSE ELEVATED STORMS INTO THE
EVENING. LATEST TRENDS...AND LACK OF GREATER DESTABILIZATION...DO
SUGGEST THAT ANY HAIL THREAT FROM THIS CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN
QUITE ISOLATED. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT LARGE PARTS OF SEVERE TSTM WATCH
57 MAY BE CANCELED PRIOR TO NORMAL EXPIRATION AT 01Z.
.CARBIN.. 02/16/2008
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
33829829 33789566 29749789 29690036
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