Monday, February 11, 2008

WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 50

WWUS20 KWNS 120345
SEL0
SPC WW 120345
ARZ000-TXZ000-120800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 50
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
945 PM CST MON FEB 11 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 945 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
BATESVILLE ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 49...

DISCUSSION...STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
DESTABILIZATION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY
REGION NORTH OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY. STORMS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED...BUT
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24040.


..DIAL/CORFIDI

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