SWODY1
SPC AC 101953
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT MON MAR 10 2008
VALID 102000Z - 111200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..PORTION OF SCNTRL/LWR VLY TX...
WEAK UPR IMPULSE CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD ACROSS CNTRL/ERN TX THIS AFTN
AND WILL CONTINUE ENEWD INTO THE LWR MS VLY TONIGHT. MCS THAT
IGNITED LAST NIGHT ACROSS CNTRL TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS WAVE WAS
LARGELY MOVING OFF THE SERN TX COAST THIS AFTN. A FEW REPORTS OF
HAIL/SVR WIND AND ISOLD TORNADOES/GUSTNADOES HAVE BEEN RECEIVED THIS
AFTN...MAINLY WITH STRONGER STORMS MOVING INTO THE WRN GULF BASIN AT
MID-AFTN.
THE TRAILING OUTFLOW/COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE LWR VLY LATE THIS
AFTN/EARLY THIS EVE. DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS WAS CHARACTERIZED BY SFC
TEMPERATURES IN THE LWR 80S WITH DEW POINTS AROUND 60F. THIS WAS
CONTRIBUTING TO SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY TO SUPPORT TSTMS. BUT...
RESIDUAL ELEVATED MIXED LAYER VCNTY H7 WILL FAVOR MOSTLY STRONGLY
FORCED PARCELS ATOP THE SURGING COLD OUTFLOW WITH MINIMAL DEEP MOIST
CONVECTION IN THE WARM SECTOR. AS A RESULT...ISOLD MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL COULD OCCUR ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS VCNTY THE MORE INTENSE
CORES/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. OTHERWISE...THE SVR THREAT APPEARS MINIMAL
THROUGH TONIGHT.
.RACY.. 03/10/2008
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