Thursday, March 27, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271946
SWODY1
SPC AC 271943

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OZARKS
AND VICINITY...

..E CENTRAL AND NERN OK ENEWD INTO THE OZARKS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE
MIDWEST/LOWER AND MID OH VALLEY/MID SOUTH REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...WHERE A STRONGER CELL OR TWO REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL APPROACHING -- OR LOCALLY EXCEEDING -- SEVERE LEVELS.
HOWEVER...VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THAT THREAT WILL REMAIN
LOW.

A SOMEWHAT GREATER/CONDITIONAL SEVERE THREAT COULD EVOLVE ACROSS THE
OZARKS REGION AND VICINITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AS
COLD FRONT SHIFTS SWD ACROSS MO TOWARD OK/AR. WHILE INSTABILITY
SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED...SHEAR COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER CELLS.
IT APPEARS ATTM THAT POTENTIAL COVERAGE OF STRONGER UPDRAFTS -- AND
ASSOCIATED HAIL THREAT -- REMAINS GREAT ENOUGH TO WARRANT
MAINTAINING SLIGHT RISK FORECAST ATTM.

.GOSS.. 03/27/2008

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