SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140210
MOZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-140315-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0394
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0910 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK/NERN TX/WRN AR/SWRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 109...
VALID 140210Z - 140315Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 109
CONTINUES.
REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE NE OF
CENTRAL OK SURFACE LOW ALONG QUASISTATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING
THROUGH NERN OK TO SRN MO...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY DEVELOPING TO
THE E AND SE OF OKC FROM E OF SNL TO VICINITY OF ATOKA. LATEST
OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED INHIBITION IS ALL BUT GONE ACROSS ERN
OK. THIS IS LIKELY A RESULT OF DEEP LAYER ASCENT SPREADING EWD
AHEAD OF OK/N TX SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND INCREASED MOISTENING OF LOW
LEVEL AIR MASS AS SLY LLJ STRENGTHENS IN RESPONSE TO DECOUPLING WITH
LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING. MLCAPE OF 500 J/KG OVER NERN OK/NWRN AR TO
1500 J/KG ALONG THE RED RIVER INTO NERN TX COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR OF 30-45 KT WILL MAINTAIN POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING
UPDRAFTS. THIS COMBINED WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE A THREAT FOR MAINLY HAIL...SOME APPROACHING 2
INCHES...AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.
.PETERS.. 03/14/2008
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...
32839635 33729629 33999592 34309572 34609574 34799606
35279604 35319631 35489655 36189658 36209603 36999598
37009457 37019402 37279400 37289364 37129364 37089283
36479275 35799296 35369325 35169301 34749333 33019342
32869421 32969573 32879576
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment