Saturday, April 5, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060049
SWODY1
SPC AC 060045

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT SAT APR 05 2008

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..COASTAL NC...
EVENING MHX /MOREHEAD CITY NC/ RAOB INDICATES MODERATE INSTABILITY
ABOVE A SHALLOW SURFACE-BASED STABLE LAYER. WHILE A MUCH MORE
STABLE ENVIRONMENT EXISTS FURTHER INLAND WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE
IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S...A NARROW/COASTAL SLIVER EXISTS WHERE
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/AIRMASS INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR A
FEW ADDITIONAL VIGOROUS STORMS. WITH AMPLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT IN
PLACE...IT APPEARS THAT A LOW-PROBABILITY SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

..CENTRAL FL...
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER/MODERATE INSTABILITY PERSISTS ACROSS CENTRAL
FL...SE OF A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM NEAR ST.
AUGUSTINE SWWD TO NEAR TAMPA. A FEW FAIRLY VIGOROUS CELLS PERSIST
-- BOTH WITHIN THIS BROKEN LINE...AND ALONG THE E CENTRAL COAST FROM
DAYTONA BEACH SWD TO NEAR VERO BEACH. ALONG WITH AMPLE
INSTABILITY...EVENING TBW /TAMPA FL/ RAOB -- AS WELL AS MELBOURNE
VWP -- INDICATE SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL ORGANIZATION. WHILE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD ALLOW SEVERE THREAT TO CONTINUE TO
DECREASE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ISOLATED GUSTY WINDS AND
MARGINAL HAIL THREAT MAY LINGER FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS.

.GOSS.. 04/06/2008

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