Monday, April 14, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141618
SWODY1
SPC AC 141615

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT MON APR 14 2008

VALID 141630Z - 151200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL FEATURE TROUGHS
PROGRESSING INTO THE WEST AND ACROSS THE EAST WITH A RIDGE SHIFTING
THROUGH THE CNTRL CONUS.

..PACIFIC NW/NRN ROCKIES...
DESPITE THE APPROACH OF A POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH...OVERALL TSTM
POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN QUITE LOW OWING TO MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND A DEARTH OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /AS SAMPLED BY
REGIONAL 12Z RAOBS/. ONE EXCEPTION MAY BE INVOF TROUGH AXIS ALONG
THE ORE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. HERE...MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
SUBSTANTIALLY COOL TO AROUND -32 TO -34 C AT 500 MB BY 15/00Z. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN WEAK INSTABILITY AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF TSTMS.

..CAROLINA COAST...
12Z REGIONAL RAOBS DEPICT A STEEP INVERSION CENTERED AROUND 700
MB...PERMITTING ONLY SHALLOW MOIST CONVECTION TODAY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH ERN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. ANY POTENTIAL FOR DEEP CONVECTION
SUPPORTIVE OF CHARGE SEPARATION SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE GULF
STREAM TONIGHT.

.GRAMS.. 04/14/2008

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