Thursday, April 3, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0544

ACUS11 KWNS 032313
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032312
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-040115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0544
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0612 PM CDT THU APR 03 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN AR...SERN HALF OF OK...WRN N TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 153...154...

VALID 032312Z - 040115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 153...154...CONTINUES.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE...WITHIN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
A CONTINUED SEVERE THREAT.

CONVECTION -- WHICH INITIATED EARLIER NEAR THE DRYLINE ACROSS WRN N
TX -- CONTINUES MOVING ENEWD...WITH ONE STORM NOW IN S CENTRAL OK
AND THE OTHER JUST NE OF ABILENE TX. MEANWHILE...OTHER STORMS ARE
DEVELOPING FROM NE-SW ALONG VARIOUS BOUNDARIES ACROSS OK.

OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE/SUPERCELL
STORMS...AS WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW NEAR 70 KT IS INDICATED IN
CONJUNCTION WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY /1000 TO 1500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER
CAPE/. WHILE SOME THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LARGE HAIL. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE -- AND LIKELY BECOME ELEVATED WITH
TIME -- FROM SERN OK/N TX INTO AR...AS LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES THIS
EVENING ATOP SURFACE COLD FRONT SHIFTING SEWD ACROSS OK AND INTO N
TX WITH TIME.

.GOSS.. 04/03/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...

34489902 35169808 36599552 36459217 35529260 33619703
32689816 33219983

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